QualityDipStocks / Industrials · Other Specialty Stores
Gold.com GOLD
Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 37% below its 52-week high.
Outside our quality screen. No fair value estimate for now: the model result is under review.
Worth knowing
- Down 40% from its 52-week high while revenue grew 132%
- Revenue up 132% in a year, top 2% of the 2194 we measure
From the data on this page, as of the last close. How we pick these
- Fair value est.
- n/a
- Market Value
- $39.60price +1%
- Off 52-wk high
- −37%
- Risk vs market
- Highbeta 1.55
52-week range 39% of the way from its 52-week low to its high
Price $40.14Market Value $39.60
5 bullish · 5 bearish See why
Repriced or dip?
Dip: business intact
The price is 37% below its 52-week high (Feb 9), but the business held up: revenue +62.7%, revenue growth rate +84.4 pts, earnings per share +518.3%.
Some numbers held up (revenue +62.7%, revenue growth rate +84.4 pts, earnings per share +518.3%), others slipped (shares outstanding more shares, each owns less). The price is 37% below its 52-week high.
The price is 37% below its 52-week high, and the business changed too: shares outstanding more shares, each owns less.
Within 10% of its 52-week high, so there is no dip to judge yet.
The evidence 8 numbers, high vs now
- Revenue, last 12 months$15.7B → $25.5B (+62.7%)held up
- Revenue growth rate+48.0% → +132.4% a year (+84.4 pts)held up
- Earnings per share, 12 months$0.49 → $3.02 (+518.3%)held up
- Free cash flow, 12 months$310M → $1.2B (+290.0%)held up
- Shares outstanding+6.8% (more shares, each owns less)changed
- Stock vs its sector (Industrials)stock −37%, sector median −6% since Feb 9changed
- Price fall vs business numbersprice −37%, revenue/EPS/FCF median +290% (shown, not scored)
- Valuation multipleP/FCF 5.3× at the high → 0.9× now (shown, not scored)
Business numbers as reported at the high (12 months to Dec 31, 2025) vs the latest filing (12 months to Jun 30, 2026). Each measure is scored from −1 (business changed) to +1 (business intact) and weighted: revenue, earnings per share, free cash flow, operating margin, revenue growth rate, share count, net cash and the move vs its sector. 60 or more reads as a dip, 40 or less as a repricing. Analyst estimates are not in our data, so they are not used. How to read it
Data-based read, not advice.
Priced in
How much growth the market assumed at the 52-week high, the low and today (a reverse DCF).
At the high ($64.14, Feb 9) the price assumed about −16%/yr free-cash-flow growth; at the low ($24.73, Nov 4) about −20%. The last 3 years delivered 40%/yr (revenue).
Dashed line: what the last 3 years delivered, 40%/yr (revenue)
| High | Low | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price | $64.14Feb 9 | $24.73Nov 4 | $40.14 |
| Implied growth | −16% | −20% | below −30% |
| P/E | 131.3× | 34.9× | 13.3× |
| P/FCF | 5.3× | 4.3× | 0.9× |
What this means: the higher the implied growth, the more the price already counts on. If today's number sits well below what the business has delivered, the market expects less than its track record.
How it’s computed
Reverse DCF: the same 10-year free-cash-flow model as our fair value estimate (9.5% discount rate, growth for years 1–5 fading to 3% by year 10, 3% after), solved for the growth that makes it equal the market value at each price. For the high and the low we use only the filings that were public on that day, so nothing from a later report leaks back. Market value = that close × diluted shares. P/E = market value / 12-month net income; Price / FCF = market value / 12-month free cash flow; EV / Sales = (market value + debt − cash) / 12-month revenue. Hidden when the share count moved over 20% (split, merger), free cash flow is negative, or the company reports in another currency.
Valuation
What we estimate it's worth, and how it ranks on value vs every stock we cover.
Fair value estimate
No estimate for GOLD: Result (34.1x the price) looks implausible; held back for review. We’d rather show nothing than a made-up number.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 31 to Nov 2, 252 sessions). Beta = how much GOLD moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Swings much more than the market, and its own price swings are 4.2× the S&P 500’s.
- Beta vs S&P 500
- 1.55
- Volatility
- 53% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- 0.37
- Correlation QQQ
- 0.33
Valuation details
MV $39.60 · FCF value $342.86
Fundamentals
The business itself: sales, profits, cash and debt, from SEC filings.
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 5 of 5
ValuationFree-cash-flow yield of 110.6% (price / FCF 0.9×): $1.2B of free cash in the last 12 months.
GrowthSales grew 132% to $25.5B over the last 12 months vs the 12 months before (SEC filings).
GrowthDiluted EPS grew 325% to $3.02 in FY2026.
GrowthSales compounded 40% a year from FY2023 to FY2026.
ValuationP/E of 13.3× vs a 26.3× median for the 245 Industrials companies we cover.
Top bearish points 5 of 5
Cash returnsShare count up 20.1% in a year: existing holders are being diluted.
ProfitabilityGross margin of 1.8%, below the 32% median for the 246 Industrials companies we cover.
QualityDoesn’t pass our quality screen: ROE under 12% and ROIC under 10%.
RiskReports earnings Nov 4 (consensus EPS $0.88): results can move the price sharply and reset Market Value.
RiskSwings hard: beta 1.55 vs the S&P 500 and 53% yearly volatility (SPY 13%).
All fundamentals
P/E 13.3 · FCF yield 110.6% · ROE 11%
Valuation
- P/E
- 13.3×Industrials median 26.3×
- Price / FCF
- 0.9×
- FCF yield
- 110.6%
- EV / EBITDA
- n/aD&A or debt not tagged in SEC data
- Price / sales
- 0.04×
- Price / book
- 1.25×
- Market cap
- $1.1Bprice × diluted shares
- Enterprise value
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- $25.5B
- Sales growth, 12 months
- +132.4%vs the 12 months before
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- +40.1%/yrfrom FY2023
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- $3.02
- EPS growth, last FY
- +325.4%
- Net income, 12 months
- $82M
- Net income growth
- +375%12 months vs before
Profitability
- Gross margin
- 1.8%
- Operating margin
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Net margin
- 0.3%
- FCF margin
- 4.7%
- Return on equity
- 11%
- Return on invested capital
- n/aoperating income, debt, equity or cash not tagged
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- $578M
- Total debt
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Net cash
- n/acash or debt not tagged in SEC data
- Debt / equity
- n/adebt or equity not tagged in SEC data
- Interest coverage
- n/ainterest expense not tagged in SEC data
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- $1.2B
- FCF growth, 12 months
- n/an/m: free cash flow a year ago near zero
- Dividend yield
- 2.06%$23M paid
- Payout ratio
- 27%
- Buybacks, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Share count, 1 year
- +20.1%diluted shares vs a year ago
- Stock-based comp
- $2M
Trailing 12 months to Jun 30, 2026; balance sheet at Jun 30, 2026. From Gold.com’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
The business
FCF $0.4B · Sales +99%
- Free cash flow, 12 months$0.4B
- Free-cash-flow yield110.6%
- Free-cash-flow margin2%
- Gross margin2%
- Operating margin0%
- Return on equity11%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+99%
- Net debt / EBITDA1.8×
Chart & levels
Where the price is vs its key levels and trends.
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $40.14
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$24.73−38.4%
- Market Valueavg paid since Oct 2$39.60−1.3%
- PriceMon Nov 2 close$40.14you are here
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$64.14+59.8%
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 49 · 5 days +3.9%
Signals
Reversal signal setups, the public ledger and the next earnings date.
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.
Next report
Nov 4
- DateWed Nov 4, after the close
- Consensus EPS$0.88
- Year-ago EPS$0.20
- QuarterSep/2026
From Nasdaq’s earnings calendar. A report resets Market Value.
GOLD is outside our quality screen
One text when a published rule fires on one of the 332 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.
Voices & buzz
Who is talking about it, and how it compares with peers.
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on Gold.com in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 3, 5:14 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in Industrials
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.