QualityDipStocks / Basic Materials · Paper
International Paper Company IP
Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 26% below its 52-week high.
Outside our quality screen. No fair value estimate for now: a capital-spending surge is squeezing its free cash flow.
- Fair value est.
- n/a
- Market Value
- forming
- Off 52-wk high
- −26%
- Risk vs market
- Above marketbeta 1.24
4 bullish · 5 bearish See why
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $36.37
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$29.38−19.2%
- PriceFri Oct 30 close$36.37you are here
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$49.19+35.2%
Fair value estimate
Estimate unreliable for IP: free cash flow is squeezed by a capital-spending surge (capex is 81% of operating cash flow over the last 12 months, vs 43% in FY2022), so a DCF on today's free cash flow would understate the business. We’d rather show nothing than a made-up number.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 30 to Oct 30, 252 sessions). Beta = how much IP moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Swings more than the market, and its own price swings are 3.5× the S&P 500’s.
- Beta vs S&P 500
- 1.24
- Volatility
- 44% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- 0.36
- Correlation QQQ
- 0.21
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 4 of 5
GrowthSales grew 35% to $24.2B over the last 12 months vs the 12 months before (SEC filings).
Cash returnsDividend yield of 5.1% ($979M paid over 12 months).
ValuationPrice / book of 1.3×, below the 3.8× median for the 19 Basic Materials companies we cover.
Cash returnsShare count down 0.6% over 12 months, below the −0.0% median for the 10 Basic Materials companies we cover.
Top bearish points 5 of 5
ProfitabilityLost $3.4B over the last 12 months (net income, SEC filings).
ProfitabilityReturn on equity fell 27 points in two fiscal years, to -24% in FY2025.
Balance sheetDebt rose 62% to $8.8B from FY2023 to FY2025.
Balance sheetNet debt of $7.5B, 39% of the market cap (Jun 30, 2026).
QualityDoesn’t pass our quality screen: ROE under 12% and ROIC under 10%; sales down vs the year-ago quarter.
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on International Paper Company in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 1, 9:09 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in Basic Materials
All fundamentals
FCF yield 2.6% · ROE -21% · Sales +35%
Valuation
- P/E
- n/aloss over the last 12 months
- Price / FCF
- 38.8×
- FCF yield
- 2.6%
- EV / EBITDA
- n/aD&A or debt not tagged in SEC data
- Price / sales
- 0.79×
- Price / book
- 1.32×
- Market cap
- $19.1Blisted
- Enterprise value
- $26.6B
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- $24.2B
- Sales growth, 12 months
- +35.3%vs the 12 months before
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- +3.8%/yrfrom FY2022
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- −$6.80
- EPS growth, last FY
- n/afewer than two years of diluted EPS
- Net income, 12 months
- −$3.4B
- Net income growth
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Profitability
- Gross margin
- 29.8%
- Operating margin
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Net margin
- −14.2%
- FCF margin
- 2.0%
- Return on equity
- −21%
- Return on invested capital
- n/aoperating income, debt, equity or cash not tagged
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- $726M
- Total debt
- $8.2B
- Net cash
- −$7.5B
- Debt / equity
- 0.57×
- Interest coverage
- n/ainterest expense not tagged in SEC data
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- $492M
- FCF growth, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Dividend yield
- 5.13%$979M paid
- Payout ratio
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Buybacks, 12 months
- $33M0.2% of market cap
- Share count, 1 year
- −0.6%diluted shares vs a year ago
- Stock-based comp
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Trailing 12 months to Jun 30, 2026; balance sheet at Jun 30, 2026. From International Paper Company’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
Valuation details
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 68 · 5 days +9.6%
The business
FCF $2.3B · Sales 0%
- Free cash flow, 12 months$2.3B
- Free-cash-flow yield12.1%
- Free-cash-flow margin10%
- Gross margin30%
- Operating margin6%
- Return on invested capital5%
- Return on equity−22%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)0%
- Net debt / EBITDA2.5×
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.
IP is outside our quality screen
One text when a published rule fires on one of the 333 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.