QualityDipStocks / Industrials · Defense & government services
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions KTOS
Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 69% below its 52-week high.
Outside our quality screen, 14% under its Market Value. No fair value estimate for now: its free cash flow is negative.
- Fair value est.
- n/a
- Market Value
- $47.77price −14%
- Off 52-wk high
- −69%
- Risk vs market
- Highbeta 2.14
5 bullish · 5 bearish See why
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $41.09
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$38.27−6.9%
- PriceFri Oct 30 close$41.09you are here
- Market Valueavg paid since Aug 4$47.77+16.3%
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$130.72+218.1%
Fair value estimate
No estimate for KTOS: negative free cash flow. We’d rather show nothing than a made-up number.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 30 to Oct 30, 252 sessions). Beta = how much KTOS moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Swings much more than the market, and its own price swings are 5.5× the S&P 500’s.
- Beta vs S&P 500
- 2.14
- Volatility
- 70% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- 0.39
- Correlation QQQ
- 0.33
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 5 of 5
GrowthSales grew 26% to $1.5B over the last 12 months vs the 12 months before (SEC filings).
GrowthDiluted EPS grew 18% to $0.13 in FY2025.
GrowthSales grew 14% a year over the last three fiscal years, above the 4.5% median for the 146 Industrials companies we cover.
ValuationPrice / book of 2.4×, below the 4.4× median for the 134 Industrials companies we cover.
ValuationTrades 14.0% below its Market Value of $47.77, the average price paid since the Aug 4 filing.
Top bearish points 5 of 5
ValuationFree cash flow is negative (−$129M over the last 12 months), so there’s no cash-flow value under the price.
ValuationP/E of 265.4× vs a 27.5× median for the 130 Industrials companies we cover.
Cash returnsShare count up 20.8% in a year: existing holders are being diluted.
QualityDoesn’t pass our quality screen: no positive free cash flow; ROE under 12% and ROIC under 10%.
RiskSwings hard: beta 2.14 vs the S&P 500 and 70% yearly volatility (SPY 13%).
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on Kratos Defense & Security Solutions in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 1, 9:09 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in Defense & government services
All fundamentals
P/E 265.4 · FCF yield -1.6% · ROE 1%
Valuation
- P/E
- 265.4×Industrials median 27.5×
- Price / FCF
- n/anegative free cash flow
- FCF yield
- −1.6%
- EV / EBITDA
- n/aD&A or debt not tagged in SEC data
- Price / sales
- 5.39×
- Price / book
- 2.39×
- Market cap
- $8.2Blisted
- Enterprise value
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- $1.5B
- Sales growth, 12 months
- +25.5%vs the 12 months before
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- +14.5%/yrfrom FY2022
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- $0.17
- EPS growth, last FY
- +18.2%
- Net income, 12 months
- $31M
- Net income growth
- +113%12 months vs before
Profitability
- Gross margin
- 23.0%
- Operating margin
- 1.2%
- Net margin
- 2.0%
- FCF margin
- −8.5%
- Return on equity
- 1%
- Return on invested capital
- n/aoperating income, debt, equity or cash not tagged
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- $1.4B
- Total debt
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Net cash
- n/acash or debt not tagged in SEC data
- Debt / equity
- n/adebt or equity not tagged in SEC data
- Interest coverage
- n/ainterest expense not tagged in SEC data
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- −$129M
- FCF growth, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Dividend yield
- 0%
- Payout ratio
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Buybacks, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Share count, 1 year
- +20.8%diluted shares vs a year ago
- Stock-based comp
- $50M
Trailing 12 months to Jun 28, 2026; balance sheet at Jun 28, 2026. From Kratos Defense & Security Solutions’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
Valuation details
MV $47.77
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 46 · 5 days +6.2%
The business
FCF $-0.1B · Sales +30%
- Free cash flow, 12 months−$0.1B
- Free-cash-flow yield−1.5%
- Free-cash-flow margin−8%
- Gross margin23%
- Operating margin0%
- Return on invested capital0%
- Return on equity1%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+30%
- Net debt / EBITDA−14.3×
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.
KTOS is outside our quality screen
One text when a published rule fires on one of the 333 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.