QualityDipStocks / Telecommunications · Cable & media
Liberty Latin America LILA
Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 3% below its 52-week high.
Outside our quality screen. No fair value estimate for now: the model’s result is too extreme to stand behind.
Worth knowing
- FCF yield 24%, top 1% of the 1322 we measure
- Share count down 5% in 2 years
From the data on this page, as of the last close. How we pick these
- Fair value est.
- n/a
- Market Value
- $8.47price +2%
- Off 52-wk high
- −3%
- Risk vs market
- Lowbeta 0.15
52-week range 93% of the way from its 52-week low to its high
Price $8.63Market Value $8.47
4 bullish · 5 bearish See why
Repriced or dip?
Near its high
The price is 3% below its 52-week high (Oct 7), but the business held up: net cash (cash minus debt) 0.0% of market cap since the high, shares outstanding unchanged, operating margin 0.0 pts.
Some numbers held up (net cash (cash minus debt) 0.0% of market cap since the high, shares outstanding unchanged, operating margin 0.0 pts), others slipped. The price is 3% below its 52-week high.
The price is 3% below its 52-week high, and the business changed too.
Within 10% of its 52-week high, so there is no dip to judge yet.
Data-based read, not advice.
Priced in
How much growth the market assumed at the 52-week high, the low and today (a reverse DCF).
At the high ($8.91, Oct 7) the price assumed about −20%/yr free-cash-flow growth; at the low ($4.65, Jan 7) about −19%; today about −20%. The last 3 years delivered 80%/yr (free cash flow).
Dashed line: what the last 3 years delivered, 80%/yr (free cash flow)
| High | Low | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price | $8.91Oct 7 | $4.65Jan 7 | $8.63 |
| Implied growth | −20% | −19% | −20% |
| P/FCF | 4.3× | 4.4× | 4.2× |
| EV/Sales | 2.1× | 2.0× | 2.1× |
What this means: the higher the implied growth, the more the price already counts on. If today's number sits well below what the business has delivered, the market expects less than its track record.
How it’s computed
Reverse DCF: the same 10-year free-cash-flow model as our fair value estimate (9.5% discount rate, growth for years 1–5 fading to 3% by year 10, 3% after), solved for the growth that makes it equal the market value at each price. For the high and the low we use only the filings that were public on that day, so nothing from a later report leaks back. Market value = that close × diluted shares. P/E = market value / 12-month net income; Price / FCF = market value / 12-month free cash flow; EV / Sales = (market value + debt − cash) / 12-month revenue. Hidden when the share count moved over 20% (split, merger), free cash flow is negative, or the company reports in another currency.
Valuation
What we estimate it's worth, and how it ranks on value vs every stock we cover.
Fair value estimate
Estimate unreliable for LILA: the model gives 279% above the price, more than we can stand behind (usually peak-cycle cash flow, heavy debt, or cash flows that include customer or loan balances). We’d rather show nothing than a made-up number.
What the price implies To be worth today’s price, LILA’s free cash flow would need to shrink about 20% a year for five years; our estimate uses 3%.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 31 to Nov 2, 252 sessions). Beta = how much LILA moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Has moved mostly independently of the market, but its own price swings are 3.4× the S&P 500’s (it moves on its own news).
- Beta vs S&P 500
- 0.15
- Volatility
- 44% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- 0.04
- Correlation QQQ
- −0.07
How it ranks
Where LILA stands vs every one of the 2,467 stocks we cover that has the number. Longer bar = better.
Top quarter on 1 of 5 measures
- Free cash flow yield24% · free cash flow vs market capTop 2%of 1,690
- Dividends + buybacks yield1.5% · cash paid out or used to retire shares, vs market capLowest 38%of 2,227
- Revenue growth, last 12 months+1.3% · vs the 12 months beforeLowest 18%of 2,184
- Operating margin14% · of sales kept as operating profitTop 39%of 1,549
- Return on invested capital5% · profit per dollar of capitalLowest 27%of 1,001
From SEC filings and our fair value estimate model. A ranking, not advice.
Valuation details
MV $8.47 · FCF value $54.57
Fundamentals
The business itself: sales, profits, cash and debt, from SEC filings.
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 4 of 5
ValuationFree-cash-flow yield of 23.9% (price / FCF 4.2×): $415M of free cash in the last 12 months.
Cash returnsFree cash flow grew 92% over the last 12 months vs the 12 months before.
ValuationEV/EBITDA of 6.1×: modest for what the business earns before interest, tax and depreciation.
ProfitabilityGross margin of 78%, above the 58% median for the 21 Telecommunications companies we cover.
Top bearish points 5 of 5
Balance sheetDebt is 16.0× shareholders’ equity.
Balance sheetOperating income covers interest only 1.0× over the last 12 months.
ProfitabilityOperating margin narrowed to 2.4% in FY2025 from 11.5% in FY2023 (SEC filings).
ProfitabilityLost $100M over the last 12 months (net income, SEC filings).
QualityDoesn’t pass our quality screen: ROE under 12% and ROIC under 10%; net debt 7.2× EBITDA (limit 3×).
All fundamentals
FCF yield 23.9% · ROE -18% · Sales +1%
Valuation
- P/E
- n/aloss over the last 12 months
- Price / FCF
- 4.2×
- FCF yield
- 23.9%
- EV / EBITDA
- 6.1×
- Price / sales
- 0.39×
- Price / book
- 3.29×
- Market cap
- $1.7Bprice × diluted shares
- Enterprise value
- $9.5B
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- $4.5B
- Sales growth, 12 months
- +1.3%vs the 12 months before
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- −2.6%/yrfrom FY2022
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- −$0.48
- EPS growth, last FY
- n/afewer than two years of diluted EPS
- Net income, 12 months
- −$100M
- Net income growth
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Profitability
- Gross margin
- 78.1%
- Operating margin
- 14.3%
- Net margin
- −2.2%
- FCF margin
- 9.3%
- Return on equity
- −18%
- Return on invested capital
- 5%
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- $714M
- Total debt
- $8.4B
- Net cash
- −$7.7B
- Debt / equity
- 15.98×
- Interest coverage
- 1.0×operating income / interest
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- $415M
- FCF growth, 12 months
- +92%
- Dividend yield
- 0%
- Payout ratio
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Buybacks, 12 months
- $26M1.5% of market cap
- Share count, 1 year
- +0.6%diluted shares vs a year ago
- Stock-based comp
- $49M
Trailing 12 months to Jun 30, 2026; balance sheet at Jun 30, 2026. From Liberty Latin America’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
The business
FCF $0.4B · Sales +2%
- Free cash flow, 12 months$0.4B
- Free-cash-flow yield23.9%
- Free-cash-flow margin10%
- Gross margin78%
- Operating margin18%
- Return on invested capital7%
- Return on equity−4%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+2%
- Net debt / EBITDA7.2×
Chart & levels
Where the price is vs its key levels and trends.
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $8.63
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$4.65−46.2%
- Market Valueavg paid since Aug 5$8.47−1.9%
- PriceMon Nov 2 close$8.63you are here
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$8.91+3.2%
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 58 · 5 days +11.2%
Signals
Reversal signal setups, the public ledger and the next earnings date.
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.
Next report
Nov 4
- DateWed Nov 4, after the close
- Consensus EPS($0.16)
- Year-ago EPS$0.02
- QuarterSep/2026
From Nasdaq’s earnings calendar. A report resets Market Value.
LILA is outside our quality screen
One text when a published rule fires on one of the 332 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.
Voices & buzz
Who is talking about it, and how it compares with peers.
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on Liberty Latin America in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 3, 5:14 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in Cable & Other Pay Television Services
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.