QualityDipStocks / Finance · Real Estate
Millrose Properties MRP
Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 17% below its 52-week high.
Outside our quality screen, 6% over its Market Value. No fair value estimate for now: there isn’t enough data.
Worth knowing
- Dividend yield 11%, top 1% of the 1731 we measure
From the data on this page, as of the last close. How we pick these
- Fair value est.
- n/a
- Market Value
- $25.42price +6%
- Off 52-wk high
- −17%
- Risk vs market
- Below marketbeta 0.72
4 bullish · 5 bearish See why
Priced in
How much growth the market assumed at the 52-week high, the low and today (a reverse DCF).
52-wk low: P/E 7.4×; now: P/E 9.5×.
| Low | Now | |
|---|---|---|
| Price | $21.22Oct 14 | $26.81 |
| Implied growth | n/a | n/a |
| P/E | 7.4× | 9.5× |
What this means: a lower P/E than at the high means you pay less for each dollar of profit than buyers did then.
How it’s computed
Reverse DCF: the same 10-year free-cash-flow model as our fair value estimate (9.5% discount rate, growth for years 1–5 fading to 3% by year 10, 3% after), solved for the growth that makes it equal the market value at each price. For the high and the low we use only the filings that were public on that day, so nothing from a later report leaks back. Market value = that close × diluted shares. P/E = market value / 12-month net income; Price / FCF = market value / 12-month free cash flow; EV / Sales = (market value + debt − cash) / 12-month revenue. Hidden when the share count moved over 20% (split, merger), free cash flow is negative, or the company reports in another currency.
Valuation
What we estimate it's worth, and how it ranks on value vs every stock we cover.
Fair value estimate
No estimate for MRP: Capital spending isn't tagged in SEC XBRL data. We’d rather show nothing than a made-up number.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 31 to Nov 2, 252 sessions). Beta = how much MRP moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Moves a bit less than the market, but its own price swings are 2.5× the S&P 500’s (it moves on its own news).
- Beta vs S&P 500
- 0.72
- Volatility
- 32% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- 0.29
- Correlation QQQ
- 0.15
Valuation details
MV $25.42
Fundamentals
The business itself: sales, profits, cash and debt, from SEC filings.
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 4 of 5
ProfitabilityOperating margin of 85% over the last 12 months.
Cash returnsDividend yield of 10.8% ($486M paid over 12 months).
ValuationP/E of 9.5× vs a 13.6× median for the 291 Finance companies we cover.
ValuationPrice / book of 0.8×, below the 1.7× median for the 296 Finance companies we cover.
Top bearish points 5 of 5
Cash returnsPays out more in dividends than it earns: $486M paid vs $476M of net income.
ProfitabilityReturn on equity of 8.1%, below the 12% median for the 291 Finance companies we cover.
Cash returnsShare count up 0.0% over 12 months, above the −1.7% median for the 249 Finance companies we cover.
QualityDoesn’t pass our quality screen: no cash-flow data; ROE under 12% and ROIC under 10%; debt load unclear or high.
ValuationTrades 5.5% above its Market Value of $25.42, the average price paid since the Oct 27 filing.
All fundamentals
P/E 9.5 · ROE 8%
Valuation
- P/E
- 9.5×Finance median 13.6×
- Price / FCF
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- FCF yield
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- EV / EBITDA
- n/aD&A or debt not tagged in SEC data
- Price / sales
- 5.92×
- Price / book
- 0.77×
- Market cap
- $4.5Blisted
- Enterprise value
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- $761M
- Sales growth, 12 months
- n/ano year-ago 12-month revenue
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- $2.87
- EPS growth, last FY
- n/afewer than two years of diluted EPS
- Net income, 12 months
- $476M
- Net income growth
- n/an/m: earnings a year ago near zero
Profitability
- Gross margin
- n/agross profit isn't reported (common for service and financial companies)
- Operating margin
- 85.1%
- Net margin
- 62.6%
- FCF margin
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Return on equity
- 8%
- Return on invested capital
- n/aoperating income, debt, equity or cash not tagged
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- $34M
- Total debt
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Net cash
- n/acash or debt not tagged in SEC data
- Debt / equity
- n/adebt or equity not tagged in SEC data
- Interest coverage
- 4.1×operating income / interest
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- FCF growth, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Dividend yield
- 10.81%$486M paid
- Payout ratio
- 102%
- Buybacks, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Share count, 1 year
- +0.0%diluted shares vs a year ago
- Stock-based comp
- $1M
Trailing 12 months to Jun 30, 2026; balance sheet at Jun 30, 2026. From Millrose Properties’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
The business
Sales +18%
- Gross margin85%
- Operating margin86%
- Return on invested capital6%
- Return on equity9%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+18%
Chart & levels
Where the price is vs its key levels and trends.
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $26.81
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$21.22−20.9%
- Market Valueavg paid since Oct 27$25.42−5.2%
- PriceMon Nov 2 close$26.81you are here
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$32.21+20.1%
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 62 · 5 days +12.1%
Signals
Reversal signal setups, the public ledger and the next earnings date.
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.
MRP is outside our quality screen
One text when a published rule fires on one of the 332 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.
Voices & buzz
Who is talking about it, and how it compares with peers.
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on Millrose Properties in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 3, 1:01 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in Real Estate
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.