QualityDipStocks / Utilities · Water Supply
Middlesex Water Company MSEX
Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 2% below its 52-week high.
Outside our quality screen. No fair value estimate for now: there isn’t enough data.
- Fair value est.
- n/a
- Market Value
- forming
- Off 52-wk high
- −2%
- Risk vs market
- Lowbeta −0.26
52-week range 90% of the way from its 52-week low to its high
Price $58.33
4 bullish · 5 bearish See why
Repriced or dip?
Near its high
The price is 2% below its 52-week high (Aug 24), but the business held up: revenue growth rate +3.7 pts, operating margin +1.3 pts, net cash (cash minus debt) +0.3% of market cap since the high.
Some numbers held up (revenue growth rate +3.7 pts, operating margin +1.3 pts, net cash (cash minus debt) +0.3% of market cap since the high), others slipped. The price is 2% below its 52-week high.
The price is 2% below its 52-week high, and the business changed too.
Within 10% of its 52-week high, so there is no dip to judge yet.
Data-based read, not advice.
Priced in
How much growth the market assumed at the 52-week high, the low and today (a reverse DCF).
52-wk high: P/E 23.3×; 52-wk low: P/E 20.5×; now: P/E 21.2×.
| High | Low | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price | $59.47Aug 24 | $48.59Nov 20 | $58.33 |
| Implied growth | n/a | n/a | n/a |
| P/E | 23.3× | 20.5× | 21.2× |
| EV/Sales | 7.4× | 6.3× | 7.1× |
What this means: a lower P/E than at the high means you pay less for each dollar of profit than buyers did then.
How it’s computed
Reverse DCF: the same 10-year free-cash-flow model as our fair value estimate (9.5% discount rate, growth for years 1–5 fading to 3% by year 10, 3% after), solved for the growth that makes it equal the market value at each price. For the high and the low we use only the filings that were public on that day, so nothing from a later report leaks back. Market value = that close × diluted shares. P/E = market value / 12-month net income; Price / FCF = market value / 12-month free cash flow; EV / Sales = (market value + debt − cash) / 12-month revenue. Hidden when the share count moved over 20% (split, merger), free cash flow is negative, or the company reports in another currency.
Valuation
What we estimate it's worth, and how it ranks on value vs every stock we cover.
Fair value estimate
No estimate for MSEX: Capital spending isn't tagged for the latest period in SEC XBRL data. We’d rather show nothing than a made-up number.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 31 to Nov 2, 252 sessions). Beta = how much MSEX moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Has moved mostly independently of the market, but its own price swings are 2.3× the S&P 500’s (it moves on its own news).
- Beta vs S&P 500
- -0.26
- Volatility
- 29% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- −0.12
- Correlation QQQ
- −0.23
How it ranks
Where MSEX stands vs every one of the 2,467 stocks we cover that has the number. Longer bar = better.
Top quarter on 1 of 4 measures
- Dividends + buybacks yield2.4% · cash paid out or used to retire shares, vs market capLowest 48%of 2,227
- Revenue growth, last 12 months+8.9% · vs the 12 months beforeLowest 48%of 2,184
- Operating margin31% · of sales kept as operating profitTop 10%of 1,549
- Return on invested capital6.1% · profit per dollar of capitalLowest 35%of 1,001
From SEC filings and our fair value estimate model. A ranking, not advice.
Valuation details
Fundamentals
The business itself: sales, profits, cash and debt, from SEC filings.
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 4 of 5
ProfitabilityOperating margin widened to 27.9% in FY2025 from 23.6% in FY2023 (SEC filings).
GrowthSales grew 9% to $212M over the last 12 months vs the 12 months before (SEC filings).
Cash returnsDividend yield of 2.4% ($27M paid over 12 months, 52% of earnings).
Balance sheetDebt / equity of 0.7×, below the 1.4× median for the 69 Utilities companies we cover.
Top bearish points 5 of 5
Balance sheetNet debt of $398M, 36% of the market cap (Sep 30, 2026).
Cash returnsShare count up 4.8% in a year: existing holders are being diluted.
GrowthDiluted EPS fell 4.5% in the last fiscal year, below the 5.8% median for the 82 Utilities companies we cover.
ValuationEV/EBITDA of 15.6×, above the 13.5× median for the 62 Utilities companies we cover.
QualityDoesn’t pass our quality screen: ROE under 12% and ROIC under 10%; net debt 4.3× EBITDA (limit 3×).
All fundamentals
P/E 21.2 · ROE 10% · Sales +9%
Valuation
- P/E
- 21.2×Utilities median 21.1×
- Price / FCF
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- FCF yield
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- EV / EBITDA
- 15.6×
- Price / sales
- 5.18×
- Price / book
- 2.01×
- Market cap
- $1.1Blisted
- Enterprise value
- $1.5B
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- $212M
- Sales growth, 12 months
- +8.9%vs the 12 months before
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- +6.3%/yrfrom FY2022
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- $2.77
- EPS growth, last FY
- −4.5%
- Net income, 12 months
- $52M
- Net income growth
- +21%12 months vs before
Profitability
- Gross margin
- n/agross profit isn't reported (common for service and financial companies)
- Operating margin
- 30.5%
- Net margin
- 24.5%
- FCF margin
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Return on equity
- 10%
- Return on invested capital
- 6%
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- $2M
- Total debt
- $400M
- Net cash
- −$398M
- Debt / equity
- 0.73×
- Interest coverage
- 4.3×operating income / interest
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- FCF growth, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Dividend yield
- 2.44%$27M paid
- Payout ratio
- 52%
- Buybacks, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Share count, 1 year
- +4.8%diluted shares vs a year ago
- Stock-based comp
- $2M
Trailing 12 months to Sep 30, 2026; balance sheet at Sep 30, 2026. From Middlesex Water Company’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
The business
FCF $-0.0B · Sales +11%
- Free cash flow, 12 months−$0.0B
- Free-cash-flow yield−3.6%
- Free-cash-flow margin−19%
- Gross margin55%
- Operating margin39%
- Return on invested capital7%
- Return on equity10%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+11%
- Net debt / EBITDA4.3×
Chart & levels
Where the price is vs its key levels and trends.
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $58.33
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$48.59−16.7%
- PriceMon Nov 2 close$58.33you are here
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$59.47+2.0%
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 69 · 5 days +3.8%
Signals
Reversal signal setups, the public ledger and the next earnings date.
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.
MSEX is outside our quality screen
One text when a published rule fires on one of the 332 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.
Voices & buzz
Who is talking about it, and how it compares with peers.
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on Middlesex Water Company in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 3, 5:14 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in Water Supply
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.