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NBIS

Nebius Group NBIS

Technology · Software & internet services
$154.14−10.38% dayFri Oct 30 close

Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 46% below its 52-week high.

Outside our quality screen. No fair value estimate for now: its free cash flow is negative.

Outside our quality screenReports Nov 10
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Fair value est.
n/a
Market Value
—
Off 52-wk high
−46%
Risk vs market
Highbeta 3.91

4 bullish · 5 bearish See why

$100$200Jan ’26AprJulOct
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Covered for reference — doesn’t pass our quality screen (ROE under 12% and ROIC under 10%). We show its price, Market Value and DCF, but it never appears in Dips, Top Picks or reversal signals. The screen

Key levels

Every level vs today’s $154.14

  1. 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$73.87−52.1%
  2. PriceFri Oct 30 close$154.14you are here
  3. 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$286.69+86.0%

Fair value estimate

No estimate for NBIS: negative free cash flow. We’d rather show nothing than a made-up number.

Risk vs market

How risk vs market is measured

One year of daily returns (Oct 30 to Oct 30, 252 sessions). Beta = how much NBIS moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.

High

Swings much more than the market, and its own price swings are 8.6× the S&P 500’s.

Beta vs S&P 500
3.91
Volatility
110% vs 13% SPY
Correlation SPY
0.46
Correlation QQQ
0.54

Bull vs bear

Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.

Top bullish points 4 of 5

  1. GrowthSales grew 479% to $530M over the last 12 months vs the 12 months before (SEC filings).

  2. ProfitabilityGross margin widened to 68.6% in FY2025 from −100.0% in FY2023 (SEC filings).

  3. ProfitabilityOperating margin widened to −115.5% in FY2025 from −2915.3% in FY2023 (SEC filings).

  4. GrowthSales compounded 240% a year from FY2022 to FY2025.

Top bearish points 5 of 5

  1. ValuationFree cash flow is negative (−$3.7B over the last 12 months), so there’s no cash-flow value under the price.

  2. Balance sheetOperating income covers interest only -9.9× over the last 12 months.

  3. Balance sheetDebt rose 160% to $4.1B from FY2023 to FY2025.

  4. ProfitabilityLoses money at the operating line: −115% operating margin over the last 12 months.

  5. QualityDoesn’t pass our quality screen: ROE under 12% and ROIC under 10%.

Who’s talking about it

Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on Nebius Group in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.

No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 1, 9:09 PM ET.

Compare with peers

Closest in size in Software & internet services

All fundamentals

FCF yield -7.9% · ROE 2% · Sales +479%

Valuation

P/E
n/an/m: earnings near zero (P/E above 300)
Price / FCF
n/anegative free cash flow
FCF yield
−7.9%
EV / EBITDA
n/anegative EBITDA
Price / sales
88.34×
Price / book
10.19×
Market cap
$46.8Blisted
Enterprise value
$47.2B

Growth

Revenue, 12 months
$530M
Sales growth, 12 months
+479.0%vs the 12 months before
Sales growth, 3 yrs
+239.8%/yrfrom FY2022
Diluted EPS, 12 months
$0.33
EPS growth, last FY
n/afewer than two years of diluted EPS
Net income, 12 months
$82M
Net income growth
n/anot reported in its SEC filings

Profitability

Gross margin
68.6%
Operating margin
−115.5%
Net margin
15.6%
FCF margin
n/an/m: revenue near zero
Return on equity
2%
Return on invested capital
−9%

Balance sheet

Cash & short-term inv.
$3.7B
Total debt
$4.1B
Net cash
−$425M
Debt / equity
0.89×
Interest coverage
-9.9×operating income / interest

Cash flow & returns

Free cash flow, 12 months
−$3.7B
FCF growth, 12 months
n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Dividend yield
0%
Payout ratio
n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Buybacks, 12 months
n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Share count, 1 year
n/ano quarterly diluted share count
Stock-based comp
$83M

Trailing 12 months to Dec 31, 2025; balance sheet at Dec 31, 2025. From Nebius Group’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.

Valuation details

How

Market ValueNo thesis-changing filing in the window we track
—
Fair value estimaten/a — negative free cash flow
n/a
FCF valueTrailing free cash flow is negative
n/a

Setup & signals

No setup armed

All setups

No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.

Momentum & 52-week range

RSI 36 · 5 days −2.9%
$154.14now
52-wk low $73.87high $286.69
Off 52-wk high−46.2%
5 days−2.9%
vs 50-day avg−26.5%
vs 200-day avg−13.2%
RSI (14)36
Market cap$47B

The business

FCF $-5.9B · Sales +454%
  • Free cash flow, 12 months−$5.9B
  • Free-cash-flow yield−12.6%
  • Gross margin74%
  • Operating margin−50%
  • Return on invested capital−3%
  • Return on equity1%
  • Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+454%
  • Net debt / EBITDA1.8×

Next report

Nov 10

Calendar

  • DateTue Nov 10
  • Consensus EPS($0.43)
  • Year-ago EPS($0.39)
  • QuarterSep/2026

From Nasdaq’s earnings calendar. A report resets Market Value.

Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.

NBIS is outside our quality screen

One text when a published rule fires on one of the 333 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.

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