QualityDipStocks / Industrials · Auto Manufacturing
NIO American depositary shares each representing one ordinary share NIO
Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 57% below its 52-week high.
Outside our quality screen. No fair value estimate for now: its free cash flow is negative.
- Fair value est.
- n/a
- Market Value
- —
- Off 52-wk high
- −57%
- Risk vs market
- Above marketbeta 1.20
4 bullish · 5 bearish See why
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $3.21
- PriceFri Oct 30 close$3.21you are here
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$3.21at the price
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$7.42+131.2%
Fair value estimate
No estimate for NIO: negative free cash flow. We’d rather show nothing than a made-up number.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 30 to Oct 30, 252 sessions). Beta = how much NIO moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Swings more than the market, and its own price swings are 3.9× the S&P 500’s.
- Beta vs S&P 500
- 1.20
- Volatility
- 50% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- 0.31
- Correlation QQQ
- 0.30
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 4 of 5
ProfitabilityOperating margin widened to −16.0% in FY2025 from −13551.4% in FY2023 (SEC filings).
Balance sheetNet cash of $2.6B: cash and short-term investments exceed debt (Dec 31, 2025).
GrowthSales grew 33% to $13.2B over the last 12 months vs the 12 months before (SEC filings).
Balance sheetPaid down debt: $2.1B at FY2025, 39% less than at FY2023.
Top bearish points 5 of 5
ValuationFree cash flow is negative (−$462M over the last 12 months), so there’s no cash-flow value under the price.
ProfitabilityGross margin narrowed to 13.6% in FY2025 from 1825.5% in FY2023 (SEC filings).
Balance sheetOperating income covers interest only -15.9× over the last 12 months.
ProfitabilityLost $2.3B over the last 12 months (net income, SEC filings).
QualityDoesn’t pass our quality screen: no cash-flow data; ROE under 12% and ROIC under 10%.
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on NIO American depositary shares each representing one ordinary share in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 1, 9:09 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in Auto Manufacturing
All fundamentals
FCF yield -5.6% · Sales +33%
Valuation
- P/E
- n/aloss over the last 12 months
- Price / FCF
- n/anegative free cash flow
- FCF yield
- −5.6%
- EV / EBITDA
- n/anegative EBITDA
- Price / sales
- 0.63×
- Price / book
- 13.26×
- Market cap
- $8.3Blisted
- Enterprise value
- $5.7B
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- $13.2B
- Sales growth, 12 months
- +33.1%vs the 12 months before
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- n/an/m
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- −$6.85
- EPS growth, last FY
- n/afewer than two years of diluted EPS
- Net income, 12 months
- −$2.3B
- Net income growth
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Profitability
- Gross margin
- 13.6%
- Operating margin
- −16.0%
- Net margin
- −17.8%
- FCF margin
- −3.5%
- Return on equity
- n/an/m: very small or negative equity
- Return on invested capital
- n/aoperating income, debt, equity or cash not tagged
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- $4.7B
- Total debt
- $2.1B
- Net cash
- $2.6B
- Debt / equity
- 3.36×
- Interest coverage
- -15.9×operating income / interest
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- −$462M
- FCF growth, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Dividend yield
- 0%
- Payout ratio
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Buybacks, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Share count, 1 year
- n/ano quarterly diluted share count
- Stock-based comp
- $269M
Trailing 12 months to Dec 31, 2025; balance sheet at Dec 31, 2025. From NIO American depositary shares each representing one ordinary share’s SEC filings, reported in CNY and converted to US dollars. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
Valuation details
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 35 · 5 days −2.4%
The business
Sales +69%
- Gross margin17%
- Operating margin−1%
- Return on equity−45%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+69%
- Net debt / EBITDA−4.1×
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.
NIO is outside our quality screen
One text when a published rule fires on one of the 333 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.