QualityDipStocks / Technology · Software
Oracle ORCL
Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 50% below its 52-week high.
Outside our quality screen, 6% under its Market Value. No fair value estimate for now: its free cash flow is negative.
- Fair value est.
- n/a
- Market Value
- $138.89price −6%
- Off 52-wk high
- −50%
- Risk vs market
- Highbeta 2.30
5 bullish · 5 bearish See why
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $130.67
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$114.99−12.0%
- PriceFri Oct 30 close$130.67you are here
- Market Valueavg paid since Sep 10$138.89+6.3%
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$262.61+101.0%
Fair value estimate
No estimate for ORCL: negative free cash flow. We’d rather show nothing than a made-up number.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 30 to Oct 30, 252 sessions). Beta = how much ORCL moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Swings much more than the market, and its own price swings are 4.6× the S&P 500’s.
- Beta vs S&P 500
- 2.30
- Volatility
- 58% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- 0.50
- Correlation QQQ
- 0.53
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 5 of 5
ProfitabilityReturn on equity of 41% over the last 12 months.
ValuationP/E of 22.5× vs a 33.9× median for the 138 Technology companies we cover.
GrowthDiluted EPS grew 34% to $5.83 in FY2026.
GrowthSales grew 22% to $71.8B over the last 12 months vs the 12 months before (SEC filings).
ValuationTrades 5.9% below its Market Value of $138.89, the average price paid since the Sep 10 filing.
Top bearish points 5 of 5
ValuationFree cash flow is negative (−$28.7B over the last 12 months), so there’s no cash-flow value under the price.
ProfitabilityReturn on equity fell 80 points in two fiscal years, to 40% in FY2026.
ValuationFree-cash-flow yield of −6.8%, below the 3.1% median for the 161 Technology companies we cover.
QualityDoesn’t pass our quality screen: net debt 3.2× EBITDA (limit 3×).
RiskSwings hard: beta 2.30 vs the S&P 500 and 58% yearly volatility (SPY 13%).
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on Oracle in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
Larry EllisonChairman, OracleCompany
'They're not done': Oracle co-founder Larry Ellison says AI can finally help us 'finish' building apps, dismissing SaaSpocalypse fearsTechRadar ·
Checked Nov 1, 9:09 PM ET. Matched by name against a maintained list plus the company’s own executives. Information only, not advice.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in Software
All fundamentals
P/E 22.5 · FCF yield -6.8% · ROE 41%
Valuation
- P/E
- 22.5×Technology median 33.9×
- Price / FCF
- n/anegative free cash flow
- FCF yield
- −6.8%
- EV / EBITDA
- n/aD&A or debt not tagged in SEC data
- Price / sales
- 5.88×
- Price / book
- 6.32×
- Market cap
- $422Blisted
- Enterprise value
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- $71.8B
- Sales growth, 12 months
- +21.6%vs the 12 months before
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- +10.5%/yrfrom FY2023
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- $6.38
- EPS growth, last FY
- +34.3%
- Net income, 12 months
- $18.7B
- Net income growth
- +51%12 months vs before
Profitability
- Gross margin
- n/agross profit isn't reported (common for service and financial companies)
- Operating margin
- 32.1%
- Net margin
- 26.1%
- FCF margin
- −40.0%
- Return on equity
- 41%
- Return on invested capital
- n/aoperating income, debt, equity or cash not tagged
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- $37.1B
- Total debt
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Net cash
- n/acash or debt not tagged in SEC data
- Debt / equity
- n/adebt or equity not tagged in SEC data
- Interest coverage
- 4.5×operating income / interest
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- −$28.7B
- FCF growth, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Dividend yield
- 1.41%$5.9B paid
- Payout ratio
- 32%
- Buybacks, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Share count, 1 year
- +3.1%diluted shares vs a year ago
- Stock-based comp
- $4.8B
Trailing 12 months to Aug 31, 2026; balance sheet at Aug 31, 2026. From Oracle’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
Valuation details
MV $138.89
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 46 · 5 days +3.6%
The business
FCF $-28.7B · Sales +30%
- Free cash flow, 12 months−$28.7B
- Free-cash-flow yield−6.8%
- Free-cash-flow margin−40%
- Gross margin64%
- Operating margin34%
- Return on invested capital10%
- Return on equity47%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+30%
- Net debt / EBITDA3.2×
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.
ORCL is outside our quality screen
One text when a published rule fires on one of the 333 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.