QualityDipStocks / Energy · Oil & Gas Production
Petroleo Brasileiro Petrobras ADS PBR
Not in a dip by our rules: 16% below its 52-week high.
A quality company. No fair value estimate for now: its share count is unclear.
- Fair value est.
- n/a
- Market Value
- —
- Off 52-wk high
- −16%
- Risk vs market
- Lowbeta −0.34
5 bullish · 5 bearish See why
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $22.05
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$11.54−47.7%
- PriceFri Oct 30 close$22.05you are here
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$26.16+18.6%
Fair value estimate
No estimate for PBR: SEC share count doesn't match the listed ADRs (ADR ratio unclear). We’d rather show nothing than a made-up number.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 30 to Oct 30, 252 sessions). Beta = how much PBR moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Has moved mostly independently of the market, but its own price swings are 3.0× the S&P 500’s (it moves on its own news).
- Beta vs S&P 500
- -0.34
- Volatility
- 38% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- −0.11
- Correlation QQQ
- −0.11
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 5 of 5
ValuationFree-cash-flow yield of 10.1% (price / FCF 9.9×): $16.5B of free cash in the last 12 months.
GrowthDiluted EPS grew 162% to $1.52 in FY2025.
ValuationP/E of 8.4× is 35% below its own average of 12.8× at the last 3 fiscal year-ends.
ValuationP/E of 8.4× vs a 16.2× median for the 43 Energy companies we cover.
QualityPasses all four of our quality checks: cash generation, returns on capital, growth and balance sheet.
Top bearish points 5 of 5
ProfitabilityOperating margin narrowed to 29.3% in FY2025 from 37.1% in FY2023 (SEC filings).
GrowthSales shrank 11% a year from FY2022 to FY2025.
ProfitabilityGross margin narrowed to 47.6% in FY2025 from 52.7% in FY2023 (SEC filings).
Cash returnsFree cash flow fell 29% over the last 12 months vs the 12 months before.
RiskCyclical business: one strong year of cash flow can make it look cheaper than it is.
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on Petroleo Brasileiro Petrobras ADS in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 1, 9:09 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in Oil & Gas Production
All fundamentals
P/E 8.4 · FCF yield 10.1% · Sales −2%
Valuation
- P/E
- 8.4×3-yr-end avg 12.8× · Energy median 16.2×
- Price / FCF
- 9.9×
- FCF yield
- 10.1%
- EV / EBITDA
- n/aD&A or debt not tagged in SEC data
- Price / sales
- 1.84×
- Price / book
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Market cap
- $164Bprice × diluted shares
- Enterprise value
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- $89.2B
- Sales growth, 12 months
- −2.4%vs the 12 months before
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- −10.5%/yrfrom FY2022
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- $1.52
- EPS growth, last FY
- +162.1%
- Net income, 12 months
- $19.6B
- Net income growth
- +161%12 months vs before
Profitability
- Gross margin
- 47.6%
- Operating margin
- 29.3%
- Net margin
- 22.0%
- FCF margin
- 18.5%
- Return on equity
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Return on invested capital
- n/aoperating income, debt, equity or cash not tagged
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Total debt
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Net cash
- n/acash or debt not tagged in SEC data
- Debt / equity
- n/adebt or equity not tagged in SEC data
- Interest coverage
- 6.1×operating income / interest
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- $16.5B
- FCF growth, 12 months
- −29%
- Dividend yield
- 3.69%$6.1B paid
- Payout ratio
- 31%
- Buybacks, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Share count, 1 year
- n/ano quarterly diluted share count
- Stock-based comp
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Trailing 12 months to Dec 31, 2025. From Petroleo Brasileiro Petrobras ADS’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
Valuation details
FCF value $78.60
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only arm once a company is in a dip.
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 41 · 5 days −15.7%
The business
FCF $20.1B · Sales +60%
- Free cash flow, 12 months$20.1B
- Free-cash-flow yield14.3%
- Free-cash-flow margin19%
- Gross margin51%
- Operating margin35%
- Return on invested capital24%
- Return on equity32%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+60%
- Net debt / EBITDA1.2×
Next report
Nov 10
- DateTue Nov 10, after the close
- Consensus EPS$1.23
- Year-ago EPS$0.82
- QuarterSep/2026
From Nasdaq’s earnings calendar. A report resets Market Value.
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.
Get a text when PBR fires a reversal signal
One text when a published rule fires on PBR or any of the 333 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.