QualityDipStocks / Finance · Consumer finance
Perella Weinberg Partners PWP
Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 41% below its 52-week high.
Outside our quality screen, trading well below our fair value estimate.
Worth knowing
- Lowest close since Jun 2024
From the data on this page, as of the last close. How we pick these
- Fair value est.
- $18.36+27%
- Market Value
- forming
- Off 52-wk high
- −41%
- Risk vs market
- Highbeta 1.59
52-week range 17% of the way from its 52-week low to its high
Price $14.47Fair value est. $18.36
4 bullish · 5 bearish See why
Repriced or dip?
Mixed signals
The price is 41% below its 52-week high (Feb 9), but the business held up: revenue growth rate +14.9 pts, free cash flow +36.7%, revenue +2.5%.
Some numbers held up (revenue growth rate +14.9 pts, free cash flow +36.7%, revenue +2.5%), others slipped (earnings per share −30.1%). The price is 41% below its 52-week high.
The price is 41% below its 52-week high, and the business changed too: earnings per share −30.1%.
Within 10% of its 52-week high, so there is no dip to judge yet.
The evidence 9 numbers, high vs now
- Revenue, last 12 months$757M → $776M (+2.5%)held up
- Revenue growth rate−12.4% → +2.5% a year (+14.9 pts)held up
- Earnings per share, 12 months$0.47 → $0.33 (−30.1%)changed
- Free cash flow, 12 months$74M → $101M (+36.7%)held up
- Operating margin6.7% → 5.9% (−0.8 pts)about the same
- Shares outstanding+3.1% (more shares, each owns less)about the same
- Stock vs its sector (Finance)stock −41%, sector median +2% since Feb 9changed
- Price fall vs business numbersprice −41%, revenue/EPS/FCF median +2% (shown, not scored)
- Valuation multipleP/FCF 32.9× at the high → 14.7× now (shown, not scored)
Business numbers as reported at the high (12 months to Sep 30, 2025) vs the latest filing (12 months to Sep 30, 2026). Each measure is scored from −1 (business changed) to +1 (business intact) and weighted: revenue, earnings per share, free cash flow, operating margin, revenue growth rate, share count, net cash and the move vs its sector. 60 or more reads as a dip, 40 or less as a repricing. Analyst estimates are not in our data, so they are not used. How to read it
Data-based read, not advice.
Priced in
How much growth the market assumed at the 52-week high, the low and today (a reverse DCF).
At the high ($24.34, Feb 9) the price assumed about 16%/yr free-cash-flow growth; at the low ($12.38, Oct 23) about 1%; today about 2%. The last 3 years delivered 6%/yr (revenue).
Dashed line: what the last 3 years delivered, 6%/yr (revenue)
| High | Low | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price | $24.34Feb 9 | $12.38Oct 23 | $14.47 |
| Implied growth | +16% | +1% | +2% |
| P/E | 52.1× | 56.8× | 44.3× |
| P/FCF | 32.9× | 14.3× | 14.7× |
What this means: the higher the implied growth, the more the price already counts on. If today's number sits well below what the business has delivered, the market expects less than its track record.
How it’s computed
Reverse DCF: the same 10-year free-cash-flow model as our fair value estimate (9.5% discount rate, growth for years 1–5 fading to 3% by year 10, 3% after), solved for the growth that makes it equal the market value at each price. For the high and the low we use only the filings that were public on that day, so nothing from a later report leaks back. Market value = that close × diluted shares. P/E = market value / 12-month net income; Price / FCF = market value / 12-month free cash flow; EV / Sales = (market value + debt − cash) / 12-month revenue. Hidden when the share count moved over 20% (split, merger), free cash flow is negative, or the company reports in another currency.
Valuation
What we estimate it's worth, and how it ranks on value vs every stock we cover.
Fair value estimate
How the range is computed
Ten-year free-cash-flow DCF. Same 10-year free-cash-flow model as the base: discount rate 9.5% ±1 point and growth 5.9% ±2 points. Bear = 10.5% and 3.9%; bull = 8.5% and 7.9% (both fade to 3%). A model estimate from public filings, not a forecast of where the price will go.
Price sits inside the range.
What the price implies To be worth today’s price, PWP’s free cash flow would need to grow about 2% a year for five years; our estimate uses 6%.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 31 to Nov 2, 252 sessions). Beta = how much PWP moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Swings much more than the market, and its own price swings are 4.3× the S&P 500’s.
- Beta vs S&P 500
- 1.59
- Volatility
- 56% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- 0.37
- Correlation QQQ
- 0.23
How it ranks
Where PWP stands vs every one of the 2,467 stocks we cover that has the number. Longer bar = better.
Not in the top quarter on any of these 3 measures
- Discount to fair value estimate27% · price below our base caseTop 31%of 1,507
- Dividends + buybacks yield1.8% · cash paid out or used to retire shares, vs market capLowest 41%of 2,227
- Revenue growth, last 12 months+2.5% · vs the 12 months beforeLowest 22%of 2,184
From SEC filings and our fair value estimate model. A ranking, not advice.
Valuation details
DCF $18.36
Assumes 5.9% growth for 5 years (revenue grew 5.9% a year FY22–FY25), fading to 3%; 9.5% discount rate, 3% terminal growth. FCF base $0.98 a share (trailing 12 months to Sep 30, 2026), from the 10-Q filed Oct 30, 2026.
Fundamentals
The business itself: sales, profits, cash and debt, from SEC filings.
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 4 of 5
ValuationOur DCF fair value estimate is $18.36, 27% above the price.
ProfitabilityOperating margin widened to 6.4% in FY2025 from −17.7% in FY2023 (SEC filings).
ValuationFree-cash-flow yield of 6.8% (price / FCF 14.7×): $101M of free cash in the last 12 months.
Cash returnsFree cash flow grew 37% over the last 12 months vs the 12 months before.
Top bearish points 5 of 5
ValuationP/E of 44.3× vs a 13.3× median for the 364 Finance companies we cover.
Cash returnsShare count up 3.1% in a year: existing holders are being diluted.
GrowthSales grew 2.5% over the last 12 months, below the 12% median for the 352 Finance companies we cover.
Cash returnsDividends take 81% of earnings ($27M paid over 12 months), leaving little to reinvest or raise the payout.
RiskSwings hard: beta 1.59 vs the S&P 500 and 56% yearly volatility (SPY 13%).
All fundamentals
P/E 44.3 · FCF yield 6.8% · Sales +2%
Valuation
- P/E
- 44.3×Finance median 13.3×
- Price / FCF
- 14.7×
- FCF yield
- 6.8%
- EV / EBITDA
- n/aD&A or debt not tagged in SEC data
- Price / sales
- 1.93×
- Price / book
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Market cap
- $1.5Bprice × diluted shares
- Enterprise value
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- $776M
- Sales growth, 12 months
- +2.5%vs the 12 months before
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- +5.9%/yrfrom FY2022
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- $0.39
- EPS growth, last FY
- n/afewer than two years of diluted EPS
- Net income, 12 months
- $34M
- Net income growth
- −28%12 months vs before
Profitability
- Gross margin
- n/agross profit isn't reported (common for service and financial companies)
- Operating margin
- 5.9%
- Net margin
- 4.3%
- FCF margin
- 13.1%
- Return on equity
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Return on invested capital
- n/aoperating income, debt, equity or cash not tagged
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Total debt
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Net cash
- n/acash or debt not tagged in SEC data
- Debt / equity
- n/adebt or equity not tagged in SEC data
- Interest coverage
- n/ainterest expense not tagged in SEC data
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- $101M
- FCF growth, 12 months
- +37%
- Dividend yield
- 1.83%$27M paid
- Payout ratio
- 81%
- Buybacks, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Share count, 1 year
- +3.1%diluted shares vs a year ago
- Stock-based comp
- $125M
Trailing 12 months to Sep 30, 2026. From Perella Weinberg Partners’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
The business
FCF $0.1B · Sales +53%
- Free cash flow, 12 months$0.1B
- Free-cash-flow yield6.8%
- Return on equity15%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+53%
Chart & levels
Where the price is vs its key levels and trends.
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $14.47
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$12.38−14.4%
- PriceMon Nov 2 close$14.47you are here
- Fair value est.base case$18.36+26.9%
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$24.34+68.2%
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 54 · 5 days +15.4%
Signals
Reversal signal setups, the public ledger and the next earnings date.
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.
PWP is outside our quality screen
One text when a published rule fires on one of the 332 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.
Voices & buzz
Who is talking about it, and how it compares with peers.
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on Perella Weinberg Partners in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 3, 5:14 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in Consumer finance
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.