QualityDipStocks / Consumer Discretionary · Entertainment & recreation
Rush Street Interactive RSI
Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 67% below its 52-week high.
Outside our quality screen. No fair value estimate for now: the model’s result is too extreme to stand behind.
Worth knowing
- Down 67% from its 52-week high while revenue grew 39%
- Deepest drop from a 52-week high in over 3 years
From the data on this page, as of the last close. How we pick these
- Fair value est.
- n/a
- Market Value
- forming
- Off 52-wk high
- −67%
- Risk vs market
- Lowbeta 0.63
5 bullish · 2 bearish See why
Repriced or dip?
Dip: business intact
The price is 67% below its 52-week high (Jul 20), but the business held up: revenue +18.7%, revenue growth rate +10.5 pts, free cash flow +35.5%.
Some numbers held up (revenue +18.7%, revenue growth rate +10.5 pts, free cash flow +35.5%), others slipped (shares outstanding more shares, each owns less, earnings per share −10.1%). The price is 67% below its 52-week high.
The price is 67% below its 52-week high, and the business changed too: shares outstanding more shares, each owns less, earnings per share −10.1%.
Within 10% of its 52-week high, so there is no dip to judge yet.
The evidence 9 numbers, high vs now
- Revenue, last 12 months$1.2B → $1.5B (+18.7%)held up
- Revenue growth rate+28.2% → +38.7% a year (+10.5 pts)held up
- Earnings per share, 12 months$0.35 → $0.31 (−10.1%)changed
- Free cash flow, 12 months$156M → $211M (+35.5%)held up
- Operating margin9.3% → 10.9% (+1.6 pts)held up
- Shares outstanding+13.1% (more shares, each owns less)changed
- Stock vs its sector (Consumer Discretionary)stock −67%, sector median +3% since Jul 20changed
- Price fall vs business numbersprice −67%, revenue/EPS/FCF median +19% (shown, not scored)
- Valuation multipleP/FCF 23.7× at the high → 6.5× now (shown, not scored)
Business numbers as reported at the high (12 months to Mar 31, 2026) vs the latest filing (12 months to Sep 30, 2026). Each measure is scored from −1 (business changed) to +1 (business intact) and weighted: revenue, earnings per share, free cash flow, operating margin, revenue growth rate, share count, net cash and the move vs its sector. 60 or more reads as a dip, 40 or less as a repricing. Analyst estimates are not in our data, so they are not used. How to read it
Data-based read, not advice.
Priced in
How much growth the market assumed at the 52-week high, the low and today (a reverse DCF).
At the high ($34.52, Jul 20) the price assumed about 10%/yr free-cash-flow growth; at the low ($11.40, Nov 2) about −12%; today about −12%. The last 3 years delivered 24%/yr (revenue).
Dashed line: what the last 3 years delivered, 24%/yr (revenue)
| High | Low | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price | $34.52Jul 20 | $11.40Nov 2 | $11.40 |
| Implied growth | +10% | −12% | −12% |
| P/E | 99.5× | 36.5× | 36.5× |
| P/FCF | 23.7× | 6.5× | 6.5× |
What this means: the higher the implied growth, the more the price already counts on. If today's number sits well below what the business has delivered, the market expects less than its track record.
How it’s computed
Reverse DCF: the same 10-year free-cash-flow model as our fair value estimate (9.5% discount rate, growth for years 1–5 fading to 3% by year 10, 3% after), solved for the growth that makes it equal the market value at each price. For the high and the low we use only the filings that were public on that day, so nothing from a later report leaks back. Market value = that close × diluted shares. P/E = market value / 12-month net income; Price / FCF = market value / 12-month free cash flow; EV / Sales = (market value + debt − cash) / 12-month revenue. Hidden when the share count moved over 20% (split, merger), free cash flow is negative, or the company reports in another currency.
Valuation
What we estimate it's worth, and how it ranks on value vs every stock we cover.
Fair value estimate
Estimate unreliable for RSI: the model gives 372% above the price, more than we can stand behind (usually peak-cycle cash flow, heavy debt, or cash flows that include customer or loan balances). We’d rather show nothing than a made-up number.
What the price implies To be worth today’s price, RSI’s free cash flow would need to shrink about 12% a year for five years; our estimate uses 15%.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 31 to Nov 2, 252 sessions). Beta = how much RSI moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Moves much less than the market, but its own price swings are 3.9× the S&P 500’s (it moves on its own news).
- Beta vs S&P 500
- 0.63
- Volatility
- 50% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- 0.16
- Correlation QQQ
- 0.12
How it ranks
Where RSI stands vs every one of the 1,996 stocks we cover that has the number. Longer bar = better.
Top quarter on 2 of 4 measures
- Free cash flow yield8.1% · free cash flow vs market capTop 17%of 1,391
- Dividends + buybacks yield0.5% · cash paid out or used to retire shares, vs market capLowest 25%of 1,836
- Revenue growth, last 12 months+39% · vs the 12 months beforeTop 11%of 1,814
- Operating margin11% · of sales kept as operating profitLowest 46%of 1,288
From SEC filings and our fair value estimate model. A ranking, not advice.
Valuation details
FCF value $16.44
Fundamentals
The business itself: sales, profits, cash and debt, from SEC filings.
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 5 of 5
ProfitabilityOperating margin widened to 7.7% in FY2025 from −7.5% in FY2023 (SEC filings).
GrowthSales grew 39% to $1.5B over the last 12 months vs the 12 months before (SEC filings).
Cash returnsShare count down 48.9% in a year: $14M of buybacks over 12 months.
ValuationFree-cash-flow yield of 8.1% (price / FCF 12.3×): $211M of free cash in the last 12 months.
TechnicalRSI(14) of 14: oversold, the zone where our reversal signal rules start watching.
Top bearish points 2 of 5
ValuationP/E of 69.0× vs a 20.7× median for the 341 Consumer Discretionary companies we cover.
ValuationPrice / book of 13.3×, above the 3.2× median for the 336 Consumer Discretionary companies we cover.
All fundamentals
P/E 69.0 · FCF yield 8.1% · ROE 23%
Valuation
- P/E
- 69.0×Consumer Discretionary median 20.7×
- Price / FCF
- 12.3×
- FCF yield
- 8.1%
- EV / EBITDA
- n/aD&A or debt not tagged in SEC data
- Price / sales
- 1.76×
- Price / book
- 13.31×
- Market cap
- $2.6Blisted
- Enterprise value
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- $1.5B
- Sales growth, 12 months
- +38.7%vs the 12 months before
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- +24.2%/yrfrom FY2022
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- $0.36
- EPS growth, last FY
- n/an/m: EPS a year ago near zero
- Net income, 12 months
- $38M
- Net income growth
- +25%12 months vs before
Profitability
- Gross margin
- 35.5%
- Operating margin
- 10.9%
- Net margin
- 2.6%
- FCF margin
- 14.3%
- Return on equity
- 23%
- Return on invested capital
- n/aoperating income, debt, equity or cash not tagged
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- $388M
- Total debt
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Net cash
- n/acash or debt not tagged in SEC data
- Debt / equity
- n/adebt or equity not tagged in SEC data
- Interest coverage
- n/ainterest expense not tagged in SEC data
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- $211M
- FCF growth, 12 months
- +74%
- Dividend yield
- 0%
- Payout ratio
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Buybacks, 12 months
- $14M0.5% of market cap
- Share count, 1 year
- −48.9%diluted shares vs a year ago
- Stock-based comp
- $26M
Trailing 12 months to Sep 30, 2026; balance sheet at Sep 30, 2026. From Rush Street Interactive’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
The business
FCF $0.1B · Sales +39%
- Free cash flow, 12 months$0.1B
- Free-cash-flow yield8.1%
- Free-cash-flow margin10%
- Gross margin36%
- Operating margin11%
- Return on equity32%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+39%
- Net debt / EBITDA−1.9×
Chart & levels
Where the price is vs its key levels and trends.
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $11.40
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$11.40at the price
- PriceMon Nov 2 close$11.40you are here
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$34.52+202.8%
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 14 · 5 days −30.1%
Signals
Reversal signal setups, the public ledger and the next earnings date.
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.
RSI is outside our quality screen
One text when a published rule fires on one of the 332 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.
Voices & buzz
Who is talking about it, and how it compares with peers.
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on Rush Street Interactive in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 3, 1:01 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.