QualityDipStocks / Technology · Semiconductors
Silicon Motion Technology SIMO
Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 44% below its 52-week high.
Outside our quality screen. No fair value estimate for now: a capital-spending surge is squeezing its free cash flow.
Worth knowing
- Down 47% from its 52-week high while revenue grew 10%
From the data on this page, as of the last close. How we pick these
- Fair value est.
- n/a
- Market Value
- —
- Off 52-wk high
- −44%
- Risk vs market
- Highbeta 2.50
5 bullish · 5 bearish See why
Valuation
What we estimate it's worth, and how it ranks on value vs every stock we cover.
Fair value estimate
Estimate unreliable for SIMO: free cash flow is squeezed by a capital-spending surge (capex is 90% of operating cash flow over the last 12 months, vs 39% in FY2022), so a DCF on today's free cash flow would understate the business. We’d rather show nothing than a made-up number.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 31 to Nov 2, 252 sessions). Beta = how much SIMO moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Swings much more than the market, and its own price swings are 7.0× the S&P 500’s.
- Beta vs S&P 500
- 2.50
- Volatility
- 89% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- 0.36
- Correlation QQQ
- 0.50
How it ranks
Where SIMO stands vs every one of the 1,996 stocks we cover that has the number. Longer bar = better.
Not in the top quarter on any of these 4 measures
- Free cash flow yield0.1% · free cash flow vs market capLowest 17%of 1,391
- Dividends + buybacks yield1.4% · cash paid out or used to retire shares, vs market capLowest 35%of 1,836
- Revenue growth, last 12 months+10% · vs the 12 months beforeTop 48%of 1,814
- Operating margin11% · of sales kept as operating profitLowest 44%of 1,288
From SEC filings and our fair value estimate model. A ranking, not advice.
Valuation details
Fundamentals
The business itself: sales, profits, cash and debt, from SEC filings.
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 5 of 5
GrowthDiluted EPS grew 38% to $0.91 in FY2025.
ProfitabilityGross margin widened to 48.3% in FY2025 from 42.3% in FY2023 (SEC filings).
ProfitabilityOperating margin widened to 10.5% in FY2025 from 6.2% in FY2023 (SEC filings).
GrowthSales grew 10% to $886M over the last 12 months vs the 12 months before (SEC filings).
ProfitabilityReturn on equity of 15% over the last 12 months, up 8 points in two years.
Top bearish points 5 of 5
Cash returnsFree cash flow fell 81% over the last 12 months vs the 12 months before.
ValuationFree-cash-flow yield is just 0.1%.
ValuationP/E of 52.2× vs a 33.0× median for the 220 Technology companies we cover.
QualityDoesn’t pass our quality screen: no positive free cash flow.
RiskSwings hard: beta 2.50 vs the S&P 500 and 89% yearly volatility (SPY 13%).
All fundamentals
P/E 52.2 · FCF yield 0.1% · ROE 15%
Valuation
- P/E
- 52.2×Technology median 33.0×
- Price / FCF
- n/an/m: free cash flow near zero
- FCF yield
- 0.1%
- EV / EBITDA
- n/aD&A or debt not tagged in SEC data
- Price / sales
- 7.23×
- Price / book
- 7.70×
- Market cap
- $6.4Blisted
- Enterprise value
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- $886M
- Sales growth, 12 months
- +10.2%vs the 12 months before
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- −2.2%/yrfrom FY2022
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- $0.91
- EPS growth, last FY
- +37.9%
- Net income, 12 months
- $123M
- Net income growth
- +37%12 months vs before
Profitability
- Gross margin
- 48.3%
- Operating margin
- 10.5%
- Net margin
- 13.8%
- FCF margin
- 0.7%
- Return on equity
- 15%
- Return on invested capital
- n/aoperating income, debt, equity or cash not tagged
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- $202M
- Total debt
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Net cash
- n/acash or debt not tagged in SEC data
- Debt / equity
- n/adebt or equity not tagged in SEC data
- Interest coverage
- n/ainterest expense not tagged in SEC data
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- $6M
- FCF growth, 12 months
- −81%
- Dividend yield
- 1.05%$67M paid
- Payout ratio
- 55%
- Buybacks, 12 months
- $24M0.4% of market cap
- Share count, 1 year
- n/ano quarterly diluted share count
- Stock-based comp
- $26M
Trailing 12 months to Dec 31, 2025; balance sheet at Dec 31, 2025. From Silicon Motion Technology’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
The business
FCF $-0.5B · Sales +132%
- Free cash flow, 12 months−$0.5B
- Free-cash-flow yield0.1%
- Free-cash-flow margin−31%
- Gross margin50%
- Operating margin29%
- Return on invested capital28%
- Return on equity32%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+132%
- Net debt / EBITDA0.7×
Chart & levels
Where the price is vs its key levels and trends.
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $187.90
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$80.16−57.3%
- PriceMon Nov 2 close$187.90you are here
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$336.90+79.3%
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 36 · 5 days −0.7%
Signals
Reversal signal setups, the public ledger and the next earnings date.
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.
SIMO is outside our quality screen
One text when a published rule fires on one of the 332 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.
Voices & buzz
Who is talking about it, and how it compares with peers.
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on Silicon Motion Technology in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 3, 1:01 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in Semiconductors
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.