QualityDipStocks / Utilities · Pipelines
Ultrapar Participacoes UGP
Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 28% below its 52-week high.
Outside our quality screen. No fair value estimate for now: its filings are too old.
Worth knowing
- Dividend yield 6.3%, top 4% of the 1731 we measure
From the data on this page, as of the last close. How we pick these
- Fair value est.
- n/a
- Market Value
- —
- Off 52-wk high
- −28%
- Risk vs market
- Lowbeta 0.60
4 bullish · 5 bearish See why
Valuation
What we estimate it's worth, and how it ranks on value vs every stock we cover.
Fair value estimate
No estimate for UGP: Latest cash-flow data in SEC XBRL ends 2024-12-31, too old to use. We’d rather show nothing than a made-up number.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 31 to Nov 2, 252 sessions). Beta = how much UGP moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Moves much less than the market, but its own price swings are 3.0× the S&P 500’s (it moves on its own news).
- Beta vs S&P 500
- 0.60
- Volatility
- 38% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- 0.20
- Correlation QQQ
- 0.16
Valuation details
FCF value $131.87
Fundamentals
The business itself: sales, profits, cash and debt, from SEC filings.
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 4 of 5
ValuationP/E of 14.1× vs a 21.2× median for the 87 Utilities companies we cover.
Cash returnsDividend yield of 6.3% ($396M paid over 12 months, 89% of earnings).
ProfitabilityReturn on equity of 16% over the last 12 months.
Balance sheetDebt / equity of 0.3×, below the 1.5× median for the 66 Utilities companies we cover.
Top bearish points 5 of 5
ProfitabilityGross margin of 6.6%, below the 40% median for the 31 Utilities companies we cover.
Cash returnsDividends take 89% of earnings ($396M paid over 12 months), leaving little to reinvest or raise the payout.
GrowthSales fell 0.3% a year over the last three fiscal years, below the 3.9% median for the 92 Utilities companies we cover.
RiskCyclical business: one strong year of cash flow can make it look cheaper than it is.
RiskReports earnings Nov 11 (consensus EPS $0.28): results can move the price sharply and reset Market Value.
All fundamentals
P/E 14.1 · ROE 16% · Sales +7%
Valuation
- P/E
- 14.1×Utilities median 21.2×
- Price / FCF
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- FCF yield
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- EV / EBITDA
- n/aD&A or debt not tagged in SEC data
- Price / sales
- 0.24×
- Price / book
- 2.21×
- Market cap
- $6.3Blisted
- Enterprise value
- $6.5B
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- $25.9B
- Sales growth, 12 months
- +6.6%vs the 12 months before
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- −0.3%/yrfrom FY2022
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- $2.24
- EPS growth, last FY
- +6.0%
- Net income, 12 months
- $447M
- Net income growth
- +4%12 months vs before
Profitability
- Gross margin
- 6.6%
- Operating margin
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Net margin
- 1.7%
- FCF margin
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Return on equity
- 16%
- Return on invested capital
- n/aoperating income, debt, equity or cash not tagged
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- $579M
- Total debt
- $775M
- Net cash
- −$196M
- Debt / equity
- 0.27×
- Interest coverage
- n/ainterest expense not tagged in SEC data
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- FCF growth, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Dividend yield
- 6.28%$396M paid
- Payout ratio
- 89%
- Buybacks, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Share count, 1 year
- n/ano quarterly diluted share count
- Stock-based comp
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Trailing 12 months to Dec 31, 2025; balance sheet at Dec 31, 2025. From Ultrapar Participacoes’s SEC filings, reported in BRL and converted to US dollars. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
The business
FCF $5.8B · Sales +22%
- Free cash flow, 12 months$5.8B
- Free-cash-flow yield92.5%
- Free-cash-flow margin4%
- Gross margin8%
- Operating margin8%
- Return on equity20%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+22%
- Net debt / EBITDA1.1×
Chart & levels
Where the price is vs its key levels and trends.
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $5.70
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$3.63−36.3%
- PriceMon Nov 2 close$5.70you are here
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$7.97+39.8%
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 20 · 5 days −13.1%
Signals
Reversal signal setups, the public ledger and the next earnings date.
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.
Next report
Nov 11
- DateWed Nov 11
- Consensus EPS$0.28
- Year-ago EPS$0.12
- QuarterSep/2026
From Nasdaq’s earnings calendar. A report resets Market Value.
UGP is outside our quality screen
One text when a published rule fires on one of the 332 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.
Voices & buzz
Who is talking about it, and how it compares with peers.
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on Ultrapar Participacoes in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 3, 1:01 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in Pipelines
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.