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Stocks / Technology · Software

VERX

Vertex VERX

Technology · Software
$15.83+3.33% dayMon Nov 2 close

Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 31% below its 52-week high.

Outside our quality screen, 23% over its Market Value. No fair value estimate for now: there isn’t enough data.

Worth knowing

  • Down 32% from its 52-week high while revenue grew 11%

From the data on this page, as of the last close. How we pick these

Outside our quality screenReports Nov 4
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Fair value est.
n/a
Market Value
$12.92price +23%
Off 52-wk high
−31%
Risk vs market
Lowbeta 0.37

4 bullish · 5 bearish See why

Covered for reference — doesn’t pass our quality screen (market cap $2.6B, under our $20B floor; ROE under 12% and ROIC under 10%; net debt 6.2× EBITDA (limit 3×)). We show its price, Market Value and DCF, but it never appears in Dips, Top Picks or reversal signals. The screen

Repriced or dip?

Mixed signals

55/100

Some numbers held up (revenue +10.8%, net cash (cash minus debt) −2.2% of market cap since the high), others slipped (revenue growth rate −4.2 pts). The price is 31% below its 52-week high.

The evidence 6 numbers, high vs now
  • Revenue, last 12 months$711M → $787M (+10.8%)held up
  • Revenue growth rate+15.0% → +10.8% a year (−4.2 pts)changed
  • Operating margin−1.1% → −1.7% (−0.6 pts)about the same
  • Net cash (cash minus debt)−2.2% of market cap since the highheld up
  • Stock vs its sector (Technology)stock −31%, sector median +6% since Oct 31changed
  • Price fall vs business numbersprice −31%, revenue/EPS/FCF median +11% (shown, not scored)

Business numbers as reported at the high (12 months to Jun 30, 2025) vs the latest filing (12 months to Jun 30, 2026). Each measure is scored from −1 (business changed) to +1 (business intact) and weighted: revenue, earnings per share, free cash flow, operating margin, revenue growth rate, share count, net cash and the move vs its sector. 60 or more reads as a dip, 40 or less as a repricing. Analyst estimates are not in our data, so they are not used. How to read it

Data-based read, not advice.

Valuation

What we estimate it's worth, and how it ranks on value vs every stock we cover.

Fair value estimate

No estimate for VERX: Capital spending isn't tagged for the latest period in SEC XBRL data. We’d rather show nothing than a made-up number.

Risk vs market

How risk vs market is measured

One year of daily returns (Oct 31 to Nov 2, 252 sessions). Beta = how much VERX moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.

Low

Moves much less than the market, but its own price swings are 4.8× the S&P 500’s (it moves on its own news).

Beta vs S&P 500
0.37
Volatility
61% vs 13% SPY
Correlation SPY
0.08
Correlation QQQ
−0.03

How it ranks

Where VERX stands vs every one of the 1,996 stocks we cover that has the number. Longer bar = better.

Not in the top quarter on any of these 3 measures

  1. Revenue growth, last 12 months+11% · vs the 12 months before
    Top 45%of 1,814
  2. Operating margin−1.7% · of sales kept as operating profit
    Lowest 11%of 1,288
  3. Return on invested capital−3% · profit per dollar of capital
    Lowest 6%of 838

From SEC filings and our fair value estimate model. A ranking, not advice.

Valuation details

MV $12.92 · FCF value $10.65

How

Market ValueAverage paid since the Aug 3 filing, 64 trading days
$12.92price +23%
Fair value estimaten/a — Capital spending isn't tagged for the latest period in SEC XBRL data
n/a
FCF valuePrice at a 4% yield on trailing free cash flow ($0.1B)
$10.65price +49%

Fundamentals

The business itself: sales, profits, cash and debt, from SEC filings.

Bull vs bear

Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.

Top bullish points 4 of 5

  1. GrowthSales compounded 15% a year from FY2022 to FY2025.

  2. ProfitabilityOperating margin widened to 0.3% in FY2025 from −3.1% in FY2023 (SEC filings).

  3. ProfitabilityGross margin widened to 64.3% in FY2025 from 60.9% in FY2023 (SEC filings).

  4. GrowthSales grew 11% to $787M over the last 12 months vs the 12 months before (SEC filings).

Top bearish points 5 of 5

  1. ProfitabilityLoses money at the operating line: −2% operating margin over the last 12 months.

  2. ProfitabilityReturn on equity is only 1% over the last 12 months.

  3. ProfitabilityReturn on invested capital of −3.0%, below the 12% median for the 134 Technology companies we cover.

  4. ValuationTrades 22.6% above its Market Value of $12.92, the average price paid since the Aug 3 filing.

  5. QualityDoesn’t pass our quality screen: ROE under 12% and ROIC under 10%; net debt 6.2× EBITDA (limit 3×).

All fundamentals

ROE 1% · Sales +11%

Valuation

P/E
n/an/m: earnings near zero (P/E above 300)
Price / FCF
n/anot reported in its SEC filings
FCF yield
n/anot reported in its SEC filings
EV / EBITDA
28.8×
Price / sales
3.30×
Price / book
10.78×
Market cap
$2.6Blisted
Enterprise value
$2.7B

Growth

Revenue, 12 months
$787M
Sales growth, 12 months
+10.8%vs the 12 months before
Sales growth, 3 yrs
+15.0%/yrfrom FY2022
Diluted EPS, 12 months
n/anot reported in its SEC filings
EPS growth, last FY
n/afewer than two years of diluted EPS
Net income, 12 months
$4M
Net income growth
n/anot reported in its SEC filings

Profitability

Gross margin
64.0%
Operating margin
−1.7%
Net margin
0.5%
FCF margin
n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Return on equity
1%
Return on invested capital
−3%

Balance sheet

Cash & short-term inv.
$230M
Total debt
$339M
Net cash
−$108M
Debt / equity
1.40×
Interest coverage
n/ainterest expense not tagged in SEC data

Cash flow & returns

Free cash flow, 12 months
n/anot reported in its SEC filings
FCF growth, 12 months
n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Dividend yield
n/ano dividend payments tagged
Payout ratio
n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Buybacks, 12 months
n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Share count, 1 year
n/ano quarterly diluted share count
Stock-based comp
$57M

Trailing 12 months to Jun 30, 2026; balance sheet at Jun 30, 2026. From Vertex’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.

The business

FCF $0.1B · Sales +10%
  • Free cash flow, 12 months$0.1B
  • Free-cash-flow yield2.7%
  • Free-cash-flow margin9%
  • Gross margin64%
  • Operating margin3%
  • Return on invested capital9%
  • Return on equity2%
  • Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+10%
  • Net debt / EBITDA6.2×

Chart & levels

Where the price is vs its key levels and trends.

$15$20Jan ’26AprJulOctMV $12.92
Market ValueDrag across the chart to see any day

Key levels

Every level vs today’s $15.83

  1. 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$10.58−33.2%
  2. Market Valueavg paid since Aug 3$12.92−18.4%
  3. PriceMon Nov 2 close$15.83you are here
  4. 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$22.90+44.7%

Momentum & 52-week range

RSI 74 · 5 days +4.4%
$15.83nowMV
52-wk low $10.58high $22.90
Off 52-wk high−30.9%
5 days+4.4%
vs 50-day avg+19.9%
vs 200-day avg+19.3%
RSI (14), last close74
Market cap$3B

Signals

Reversal signal setups, the public ledger and the next earnings date.

Setup & signals

No setup armed

All setups

No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.

Next report

Nov 4

Calendar

  • DateWed Nov 4, after the close
  • Consensus EPS$0.16
  • Year-ago EPS$0.11
  • QuarterSep/2026

From Nasdaq’s earnings calendar. A report resets Market Value.

VERX is outside our quality screen

One text when a published rule fires on one of the 332 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.

By joining you agree we can text or email you about QualityDip. Message and data rates may apply. Reply STOP anytime. Not advice.

Voices & buzz

Who is talking about it, and how it compares with peers.

Who’s talking about it

Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on Vertex in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.

No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 3, 1:01 PM ET.

Compare with peers

Closest in size in Software

Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.