QualityDipStocks / Consumer Discretionary · Hotels/Resorts
Wynn Resorts Limited Common stock WYNN
Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 44% below its 52-week high.
Outside our quality screen. No fair value estimate for now: the model’s result is too extreme to stand behind.
- Fair value est.
- n/a
- Market Value
- $76.45price −2%
- Off 52-wk high
- −44%
- Risk vs market
- Below marketbeta 0.85
4 bullish · 5 bearish See why
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $74.66
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$71.38−4.4%
- PriceFri Oct 30 close$74.66you are here
- Market Valueavg paid since Sep 22$76.45+2.4%
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$133.09+78.3%
Fair value estimate
Estimate unreliable for WYNN: the model gives 218% above the price, more than we can stand behind (usually peak-cycle cash flow, heavy debt, or cash flows that include customer or loan balances). We’d rather show nothing than a made-up number.
What the price implies To be worth today’s price, WYNN’s free cash flow would need to shrink about 6% a year for five years; our estimate uses 15%.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 30 to Oct 30, 252 sessions). Beta = how much WYNN moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Moves a bit less than the market, and its own price swings are 2.5× the S&P 500’s.
- Beta vs S&P 500
- 0.85
- Volatility
- 32% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- 0.34
- Correlation QQQ
- 0.23
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 4 of 5
ValuationFree-cash-flow yield of 10.3% (price / FCF 9.7×): $792M of free cash in the last 12 months.
GrowthSales compounded 24% a year from FY2022 to FY2025.
ProfitabilityOperating margin widened to 15.7% in FY2025 from 12.9% in FY2023 (SEC filings).
Cash returnsDividend yield of 2.4% ($181M paid over 12 months, 40% of earnings).
Top bearish points 5 of 5
Balance sheetNet debt of $9.2B, 119% of the market cap (Jun 30, 2026).
Balance sheetOperating income covers interest only 1.9× over the last 12 months.
GrowthSales growth slowed to 6% over the last 12 months, from 24% a year over the prior three fiscal years.
GrowthDiluted EPS fell 28% to $3.14 in FY2025.
QualityDoesn’t pass our quality screen: ROE under 12% and ROIC under 10%; net debt 5.7× EBITDA (limit 3×).
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on Wynn Resorts Limited Common stock in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 1, 9:09 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in Hotels/Resorts
All fundamentals
P/E 17.1 · FCF yield 10.3% · Sales +6%
Valuation
- P/E
- 17.1×Consumer Discretionary median 20.9×
- Price / FCF
- 9.7×
- FCF yield
- 10.3%
- EV / EBITDA
- 9.3×
- Price / sales
- 1.04×
- Price / book
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Market cap
- $7.7Bprice × diluted shares
- Enterprise value
- $16.8B
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- $7.4B
- Sales growth, 12 months
- +6.4%vs the 12 months before
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- +23.9%/yrfrom FY2022
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- $4.17
- EPS growth, last FY
- −27.8%
- Net income, 12 months
- $449M
- Net income growth
- +17%12 months vs before
Profitability
- Gross margin
- n/agross profit isn't reported (common for service and financial companies)
- Operating margin
- 15.7%
- Net margin
- 6.1%
- FCF margin
- 10.7%
- Return on equity
- n/anegative shareholder equity
- Return on invested capital
- 11%
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- $1.6B
- Total debt
- $10.7B
- Net cash
- −$9.2B
- Debt / equity
- n/adebt or equity not tagged in SEC data
- Interest coverage
- 1.9×operating income / interest
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- $792M
- FCF growth, 12 months
- +7%
- Dividend yield
- 2.36%$181M paid
- Payout ratio
- 40%
- Buybacks, 12 months
- $168M2.2% of market cap
- Share count, 1 year
- −0.8%diluted shares vs a year ago
- Stock-based comp
- $86M
Trailing 12 months to Jun 30, 2026; balance sheet at Jun 30, 2026. From Wynn Resorts Limited Common stock’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
Valuation details
MV $76.45 · FCF value $117.88
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 43 · 5 days +2.7%
The business
FCF $0.5B · Sales +7%
- Free cash flow, 12 months$0.5B
- Free-cash-flow yield6.3%
- Free-cash-flow margin6%
- Gross margin68%
- Operating margin16%
- Return on invested capital10%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+7%
- Net debt / EBITDA5.7×
Next report
Nov 5
- DateThu Nov 5, after the close
- Consensus EPS$0.59
- Year-ago EPS$0.86
- QuarterSep/2026
From Nasdaq’s earnings calendar. A report resets Market Value.
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.
WYNN is outside our quality screen
One text when a published rule fires on one of the 333 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.