QualityDipStocks / Real Estate · REITs
Alexander's ALX
Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 12% below its 52-week high.
Outside our quality screen. No fair value estimate for now: there isn’t enough data.
Worth knowing
- Dividend yield 7.1%, top 3% of the 2092 we measure
From the data on this page, as of the last close. How we pick these
- Fair value est.
- n/a
- Market Value
- $253.95price −1%
- Off 52-wk high
- −12%
- Risk vs market
- Lowbeta 0.18
52-week range 57% of the way from its 52-week low to its high
Price $250.92Market Value $253.95
3 bullish · 3 bearish See why
Repriced or dip?
Dip: business intact
The price is 12% below its 52-week high (Jul 21), but the business held up: revenue +10.3%, revenue growth rate +11.9 pts, earnings per share +821.5%.
Some numbers held up (revenue +10.3%, revenue growth rate +11.9 pts, earnings per share +821.5%), others slipped. The price is 12% below its 52-week high.
The price is 12% below its 52-week high, and the business changed too.
Within 10% of its 52-week high, so there is no dip to judge yet.
The evidence 7 numbers, high vs now
- Revenue, last 12 months$212M → $233M (+10.3%)held up
- Revenue growth rate−3.7% → +8.2% a year (+11.9 pts)held up
- Earnings per share, 12 months$4.01 → $36.91 (+821.5%)held up
- Shares outstanding+0.9% (more shares, each owns less)held up
- Stock vs its sector (Real Estate)stock −12%, sector median −7% since Jul 21held up
- Price fall vs business numbersprice −12%, revenue/EPS/FCF median +416% (shown, not scored)
- Valuation multipleP/E 71.4× at the high → 6.8× now (shown, not scored)
Business numbers as reported at the high (12 months to Mar 31, 2026) vs the latest filing (12 months to Sep 30, 2026). Each measure is scored from −1 (business changed) to +1 (business intact) and weighted: revenue, earnings per share, free cash flow, operating margin, revenue growth rate, share count, net cash and the move vs its sector. 60 or more reads as a dip, 40 or less as a repricing. Analyst estimates are not in our data, so they are not used. How to read it
Data-based read, not advice.
Priced in
How much growth the market assumed at the 52-week high, the low and today (a reverse DCF).
52-wk high: P/E 71.4×; 52-wk low: P/E 28.7×; now: P/E 6.8×.
| High | Low | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price | $286.10Jul 21 | $205.15Nov 20 | $250.92 |
| Implied growth | n/a | n/a | n/a |
| P/E | 71.4× | 28.7× | 6.8× |
What this means: a lower P/E than at the high means you pay less for each dollar of profit than buyers did then.
How it’s computed
Reverse DCF: the same 10-year free-cash-flow model as our fair value estimate (9.5% discount rate, growth for years 1–5 fading to 3% by year 10, 3% after), solved for the growth that makes it equal the market value at each price. For the high and the low we use only the filings that were public on that day, so nothing from a later report leaks back. Market value = that close × diluted shares. P/E = market value / 12-month net income; Price / FCF = market value / 12-month free cash flow; EV / Sales = (market value + debt − cash) / 12-month revenue. Hidden when the share count moved over 20% (split, merger), free cash flow is negative, or the company reports in another currency.
Valuation
What we estimate it's worth, and how it ranks on value vs every stock we cover.
Fair value estimate
No estimate for ALX: Capital spending isn't tagged in SEC XBRL data. We’d rather show nothing than a made-up number.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 31 to Nov 2, 252 sessions). Beta = how much ALX moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Has moved mostly independently of the market, but its own price swings are 2.1× the S&P 500’s (it moves on its own news).
- Beta vs S&P 500
- 0.18
- Volatility
- 27% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- 0.09
- Correlation QQQ
- 0.04
Valuation details
MV $253.95
Fundamentals
The business itself: sales, profits, cash and debt, from SEC filings.
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 3 of 5
ValuationP/E of 6.8× vs a 25.2× median for the 90 Real Estate companies we cover.
Cash returnsDividend yield of 7.1% ($92M paid over 12 months, 48% of earnings).
ProfitabilityReturn on equity of 107%, above the 6.7% median for the 103 Real Estate companies we cover.
Top bearish points 3 of 5
GrowthDiluted EPS fell 35% to $5.50 in FY2025.
ValuationPrice / book of 5.7×, above the 1.8× median for the 105 Real Estate companies we cover.
QualityDoesn’t pass our quality screen: net debt 4.7× EBITDA (limit 3×).
All fundamentals
P/E 6.8 · ROE 107% · Sales +8%
Valuation
- P/E
- 6.8×Real Estate median 25.2×
- Price / FCF
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- FCF yield
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- EV / EBITDA
- n/aD&A or debt not tagged in SEC data
- Price / sales
- n/aneeds total revenue: the SEC revenue tag covers only part of this company's revenue (it is under 1.5x net income)
- Price / book
- 5.70×
- Market cap
- $1.3Blisted
- Enterprise value
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- n/athe SEC revenue tag covers only part of this company's revenue (it is under 1.5x net income)
- Sales growth, 12 months
- n/aneeds total revenue: the SEC revenue tag covers only part of this company's revenue (it is under 1.5x net income)
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- n/aneeds total revenue: the SEC revenue tag covers only part of this company's revenue (it is under 1.5x net income)
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- $37.23
- EPS growth, last FY
- −35.0%
- Net income, 12 months
- $191M
- Net income growth
- +421%12 months vs before
Profitability
- Gross margin
- n/agross profit isn't reported (common for service and financial companies)
- Operating margin
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Net margin
- n/aneeds total revenue: the SEC revenue tag covers only part of this company's revenue (it is under 1.5x net income)
- FCF margin
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Return on equity
- 107%
- Return on invested capital
- n/aoperating income, debt, equity or cash not tagged
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- $300M
- Total debt
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Net cash
- n/acash or debt not tagged in SEC data
- Debt / equity
- n/adebt or equity not tagged in SEC data
- Interest coverage
- n/ainterest expense not tagged in SEC data
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- FCF growth, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Dividend yield
- 7.11%$92M paid
- Payout ratio
- 48%
- Buybacks, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Share count, 1 year
- +0.1%diluted shares vs a year ago
- Stock-based comp
- $656,000
Trailing 12 months to Sep 30, 2026; balance sheet at Sep 30, 2026. From Alexander's’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
The business
Sales +35%
- Gross margin53%
- Operating margin49%
- Return on invested capital12%
- Return on equity107%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+35%
- Net debt / EBITDA4.7×
Chart & levels
Where the price is vs its key levels and trends.
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $250.92
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$205.15−18.2%
- PriceMon Nov 2 close$250.92you are here
- Market Valueavg paid since Mar 31$253.95+1.2%
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$286.10+14.0%
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 58 · 5 days +0.2%
Signals
Reversal signal setups, the public ledger and the next earnings date.
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.
ALX is outside our quality screen
One text when a published rule fires on one of the 332 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.
Voices & buzz
Who is talking about it, and how it compares with peers.
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on Alexander's in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 3, 5:14 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in REITs
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.