QualityDipStocks / Consumer Discretionary · Apparel retail
Abercrombie & Fitch Company ANF
Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 1% below its 52-week high.
Outside our quality screen, trading well below our fair value estimate, 12% over its Market Value.
- Fair value est.
- $346.30+111%
- Market Value
- $146.15price +12%
- Off 52-wk high
- −1%
- Risk vs market
- Market-likebeta 1.08
5 bullish · 3 bearish See why
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $164.44
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$65.61−60.1%
- Market Valueavg paid since Aug 26$146.15−11.1%
- PriceFri Oct 30 close$164.44you are here
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$165.77+0.8%
- Fair value est.base case$346.30+110.6%
Fair value estimate
How the range is computed
Ten-year free-cash-flow DCF. Same 10-year free-cash-flow model as the base: discount rate 9.5% ±1 point and growth 12.5% ±2 points. Bear = 10.5% and 10.5%; bull = 8.5% and 14.5% (both fade to 3%). A model estimate from public filings, not a forecast of where the price will go.
Price is below even the bear case.
Cyclical / peak cash flow — treat with care
What the price implies To be worth today’s price, ANF’s free cash flow would need to shrink about 1% a year for five years; our estimate uses 13%.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 30 to Oct 30, 252 sessions). Beta = how much ANF moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Moves about in line with the market, and its own price swings are 5.6× the S&P 500’s.
- Beta vs S&P 500
- 1.08
- Volatility
- 71% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- 0.19
- Correlation QQQ
- 0.11
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 5 of 5
ValuationOur DCF fair value estimate is $346.30, 111% above the price (cyclical or peak cash flow, so treat with care).
Cash returnsShare count down 9.3% in a year: $486M of buybacks over 12 months.
ValuationFree-cash-flow yield of 7.8% (price / FCF 12.8×): $566M of free cash in the last 12 months.
Cash returnsFree cash flow grew 64% over the last 12 months vs the 12 months before.
ProfitabilityReturn on equity of 41% over the last 12 months, up 4 points in two years.
Top bearish points 3 of 5
GrowthSales grew 4.7% over the last 12 months, below the 7.0% median for the 175 Consumer Discretionary companies we cover.
GrowthDiluted EPS fell 2.2% in the last fiscal year, below the 4.8% median for the 158 Consumer Discretionary companies we cover.
ValuationTrades 12.5% above its Market Value of $146.15, the average price paid since the Aug 26 filing.
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on Abercrombie & Fitch Company in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 1, 9:09 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in Apparel retail
All fundamentals
P/E 13.5 · FCF yield 7.8% · ROE 41%
Valuation
- P/E
- 13.5×Consumer Discretionary median 20.9×
- Price / FCF
- 12.8×
- FCF yield
- 7.8%
- EV / EBITDA
- n/aD&A or debt not tagged in SEC data
- Price / sales
- 1.36×
- Price / book
- 5.35×
- Market cap
- $7.2Bprice × diluted shares
- Enterprise value
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- $5.3B
- Sales growth, 12 months
- +4.7%vs the 12 months before
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- +12.5%/yrfrom FY2023
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- $11.58
- EPS growth, last FY
- −2.2%
- Net income, 12 months
- $536M
- Net income growth
- −1%12 months vs before
Profitability
- Gross margin
- n/agross profit isn't reported (common for service and financial companies)
- Operating margin
- 13.7%
- Net margin
- 10.0%
- FCF margin
- 10.6%
- Return on equity
- 41%
- Return on invested capital
- n/aoperating income, debt, equity or cash not tagged
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- $638M
- Total debt
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Net cash
- n/acash or debt not tagged in SEC data
- Debt / equity
- n/adebt or equity not tagged in SEC data
- Interest coverage
- n/ainterest expense not tagged in SEC data
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- $566M
- FCF growth, 12 months
- +64%
- Dividend yield
- n/ano dividend payments tagged
- Payout ratio
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Buybacks, 12 months
- $486M6.7% of market cap
- Share count, 1 year
- −9.3%diluted shares vs a year ago
- Stock-based comp
- $39M
Trailing 12 months to Aug 1, 2026; balance sheet at Aug 1, 2026. From Abercrombie & Fitch Company’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
Valuation details
DCF $346.30 · MV $146.15 · FCF value $258.41
Cyclical / peak cash flow — treat with care
Assumes 12.5% growth for 5 years (revenue grew 12.5% a year FY23–FY26), fading to 3%; 9.5% discount rate, 3% terminal growth. FCF base $12.86 a share (trailing 12 months to Aug 1, 2026), from the 10-Q filed Sep 4, 2026.
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 65 · 5 days +5.5%
The business
FCF $0.4B · Sales +5%
- Free cash flow, 12 months$0.4B
- Free-cash-flow yield6.3%
- Free-cash-flow margin8%
- Gross margin64%
- Operating margin20%
- Return on invested capital42%
- Return on equity41%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+5%
- Net debt / EBITDA0.7×
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.
ANF is outside our quality screen
One text when a published rule fires on one of the 333 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.