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Stocks / Consumer Staples · Packaged Foods

BG

Bunge BG

Consumer Staples · Packaged Foods
$96.64+0.65% dayFri Oct 30 close

Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 26% below its 52-week high.

Outside our quality screen. No fair value estimate for now: its free cash flow is negative.

Outside our quality screen
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Fair value est.
n/a
Market Value
forming
Off 52-wk high
−26%
Risk vs market
Lowbeta −0.12

4 bullish · 5 bearish See why

$100$120Jan ’26AprJulOct
Drag across the chart to see any day
Covered for reference — doesn’t pass our quality screen (market cap $18.4B, under our $20B floor; no positive free cash flow; ROE under 12% and ROIC under 10%; net debt 5.1× EBITDA (limit 3×)). We show its price, Market Value and DCF, but it never appears in Dips, Top Picks or reversal signals. The screen

Key levels

Every level vs today’s $96.64

  1. 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$88.55−8.4%
  2. PriceFri Oct 30 close$96.64you are here
  3. 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$131.41+36.0%

Fair value estimate

No estimate for BG: negative free cash flow. We’d rather show nothing than a made-up number.

Risk vs market

How risk vs market is measured

One year of daily returns (Oct 30 to Oct 30, 252 sessions). Beta = how much BG moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.

Low

Has moved mostly independently of the market, but its own price swings are 2.3× the S&P 500’s (it moves on its own news).

Beta vs S&P 500
-0.12
Volatility
30% vs 13% SPY
Correlation SPY
−0.05
Correlation QQQ
−0.09

Bull vs bear

Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.

Top bullish points 4 of 5

  1. GrowthSales grew 55% to $93.5B over the last 12 months vs the 12 months before (SEC filings).

  2. ValuationP/E of 15.9× vs a 21.7× median for the 36 Consumer Staples companies we cover.

  3. Cash returnsShare count down 2.2% in a year.

  4. Cash returnsDividend yield of 3.0% ($549M paid over 12 months, 47% of earnings).

Top bearish points 5 of 5

  1. ValuationFree cash flow is negative (−$2.7B over the last 12 months), so there’s no cash-flow value under the price.

  2. Balance sheetDebt rose 188% to $14.1B from FY2023 to FY2025.

  3. Balance sheetNet debt of $15.9B, 86% of the market cap (Sep 30, 2026).

  4. GrowthDiluted EPS fell 39% to $4.91 in FY2025.

  5. QualityDoesn’t pass our quality screen: no positive free cash flow; ROE under 12% and ROIC under 10%; net debt 5.1× EBITDA (limit 3×).

Who’s talking about it

Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on Bunge in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.

No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 1, 9:09 PM ET.

Compare with peers

Closest in size in Packaged Foods

All fundamentals

P/E 15.9 · FCF yield -14.4% · ROE 7%

Valuation

P/E
15.9×Consumer Staples median 21.7×
Price / FCF
n/anegative free cash flow
FCF yield
−14.4%
EV / EBITDA
n/aD&A or debt not tagged in SEC data
Price / sales
0.20×
Price / book
1.13×
Market cap
$18.4Blisted
Enterprise value
$34.3B

Growth

Revenue, 12 months
$93.5B
Sales growth, 12 months
+55.5%vs the 12 months before
Sales growth, 3 yrs
+1.5%/yrfrom FY2022
Diluted EPS, 12 months
$5.76
EPS growth, last FY
−38.5%
Net income, 12 months
$1.2B
Net income growth
−12%12 months vs before

Profitability

Gross margin
5.1%
Operating margin
n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Net margin
1.2%
FCF margin
−2.8%
Return on equity
7%
Return on invested capital
n/aoperating income, debt, equity or cash not tagged

Balance sheet

Cash & short-term inv.
$890M
Total debt
$16.7B
Net cash
−$15.9B
Debt / equity
1.03×
Interest coverage
n/ainterest expense not tagged in SEC data

Cash flow & returns

Free cash flow, 12 months
−$2.7B
FCF growth, 12 months
n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Dividend yield
2.98%$549M paid
Payout ratio
47%
Buybacks, 12 months
n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Share count, 1 year
−2.2%diluted shares vs a year ago
Stock-based comp
$89M

Trailing 12 months to Sep 30, 2026; balance sheet at Sep 30, 2026. From Bunge’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.

Valuation details

How

Market ValueForming: thesis-changing filing on Oct 29, needs five trading days
forming
Fair value estimaten/a — negative free cash flow
n/a
FCF valueTrailing free cash flow is negative
n/a

Setup & signals

No setup armed

All setups

No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.

Momentum & 52-week range

RSI 29 · 5 days −6.4%
$96.64now
52-wk low $88.55high $131.41
Off 52-wk high−26.5%
5 days−6.4%
vs 50-day avg−12.6%
vs 200-day avg−17.5%
RSI (14)29 oversold
Market cap$18B

The business

FCF $-3.0B · Sales +7%
  • Free cash flow, 12 months−$3.0B
  • Free-cash-flow yield−16.4%
  • Free-cash-flow margin−3%
  • Gross margin5%
  • Operating margin3%
  • Return on invested capital7%
  • Return on equity7%
  • Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+7%
  • Net debt / EBITDA5.1×

Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.

BG is outside our quality screen

One text when a published rule fires on one of the 333 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.

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