QualityDipStocks / Energy · Oil & Gas Production
BKV BKV
Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 38% below its 52-week high.
Outside our quality screen, 10% under its Market Value. No fair value estimate for now: its free cash flow is negative.
- Fair value est.
- n/a
- Market Value
- $22.35price −10%
- Off 52-wk high
- −38%
- Risk vs market
- Lowbeta 0.12
5 bullish · 5 bearish See why
Priced in
How much growth the market assumed at the 52-week high, the low and today (a reverse DCF).
52-wk low: P/E 8.2×; now: P/E 8.2×.
| Low | Now | |
|---|---|---|
| Price | $20.09Nov 2 | $20.09 |
| Implied growth | n/a | n/a |
| P/E | 8.2× | 8.2× |
| EV/Sales | 2.5× | 2.5× |
What this means: a lower P/E than at the high means you pay less for each dollar of profit than buyers did then.
How it’s computed
Reverse DCF: the same 10-year free-cash-flow model as our fair value estimate (9.5% discount rate, growth for years 1–5 fading to 3% by year 10, 3% after), solved for the growth that makes it equal the market value at each price. For the high and the low we use only the filings that were public on that day, so nothing from a later report leaks back. Market value = that close × diluted shares. P/E = market value / 12-month net income; Price / FCF = market value / 12-month free cash flow; EV / Sales = (market value + debt − cash) / 12-month revenue. Hidden when the share count moved over 20% (split, merger), free cash flow is negative, or the company reports in another currency.
Valuation
What we estimate it's worth, and how it ranks on value vs every stock we cover.
Fair value estimate
No estimate for BKV: negative free cash flow. We’d rather show nothing than a made-up number.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 31 to Nov 2, 252 sessions). Beta = how much BKV moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Has moved mostly independently of the market, but its own price swings are 3.3× the S&P 500’s (it moves on its own news).
- Beta vs S&P 500
- 0.12
- Volatility
- 42% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- 0.04
- Correlation QQQ
- 0.03
How it ranks
Where BKV stands vs every one of the 1,996 stocks we cover that has the number. Longer bar = better.
Top quarter on 1 of 5 measures
- Free cash flow yield−0.8% · free cash flow vs market capLowest 15%of 1,391
- Dividends + buybacks yield0% · cash paid out or used to retire shares, vs market capLowest 1%of 1,836
- Revenue growth, last 12 months+0.5% · vs the 12 months beforeLowest 14%of 1,814
- Operating margin35% · of sales kept as operating profitTop 8%of 1,288
- Return on invested capital11% · profit per dollar of capitalTop 48%of 838
From SEC filings and our fair value estimate model. A ranking, not advice.
Valuation details
MV $22.35
Fundamentals
The business itself: sales, profits, cash and debt, from SEC filings.
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 5 of 5
ValuationP/E of 8.2× vs a 15.9× median for the 73 Energy companies we cover.
ProfitabilityOperating margin widened to 26.6% in FY2025 from 18.5% in FY2023 (SEC filings).
ValuationEV/EBITDA of 5.0×: modest for what the business earns before interest, tax and depreciation.
ValuationPrice / book of 1.0×, below the 1.8× median for the 74 Energy companies we cover.
ValuationTrades 10.1% below its Market Value of $22.35, the average price paid since the Oct 7 filing.
Top bearish points 5 of 5
ValuationFree cash flow is negative (−$18M over the last 12 months), so there’s no cash-flow value under the price.
Balance sheetDebt rose 97% to $1.1B from FY2023 to FY2025.
Cash returnsShare count up 29.4% in a year: existing holders are being diluted.
GrowthSales shrank 12% a year from FY2022 to FY2025.
Balance sheetNet debt of $1.1B, 50% of the market cap (Jun 30, 2026).
All fundamentals
P/E 8.2 · FCF yield -0.8% · ROE 14%
Valuation
- P/E
- 8.2×Energy median 15.9×
- Price / FCF
- n/anegative free cash flow
- FCF yield
- −0.8%
- EV / EBITDA
- 5.0×
- Price / sales
- 1.69×
- Price / book
- 0.96×
- Market cap
- $2.2Blisted
- Enterprise value
- $3.3B
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- $1.3B
- Sales growth, 12 months
- +0.5%vs the 12 months before
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- −11.8%/yrfrom FY2022
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- $2.86
- EPS growth, last FY
- n/afewer than two years of diluted EPS
- Net income, 12 months
- $270M
- Net income growth
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Profitability
- Gross margin
- n/agross profit isn't reported (common for service and financial companies)
- Operating margin
- 34.7%
- Net margin
- 20.8%
- FCF margin
- −1.4%
- Return on equity
- 14%
- Return on invested capital
- 11%
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- $152M
- Total debt
- $1.2B
- Net cash
- −$1.1B
- Debt / equity
- 0.54×
- Interest coverage
- n/ainterest expense not tagged in SEC data
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- −$18M
- FCF growth, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Dividend yield
- 0%
- Payout ratio
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Buybacks, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Share count, 1 year
- +29.4%diluted shares vs a year ago
- Stock-based comp
- $17M
Trailing 12 months to Jun 30, 2026; balance sheet at Jun 30, 2026. From BKV’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
The business
FCF $-0.7B · Sales +19%
- Free cash flow, 12 months−$0.7B
- Free-cash-flow yield-0.8%
- Free-cash-flow margin−66%
- Gross margin54%
- Operating margin40%
- Return on invested capital10%
- Return on equity14%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+19%
- Net debt / EBITDA2.0×
Chart & levels
Where the price is vs its key levels and trends.
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $20.09
- PriceMon Nov 2 close$20.09you are here
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$20.09at the price
- Market Valueavg paid since Oct 7$22.35+11.2%
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$32.16+60.1%
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 34 · 5 days −3.5%
Signals
Reversal signal setups, the public ledger and the next earnings date.
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.
Next report
Nov 5
- DateThu Nov 5, before the open
- Consensus EPS$0.30
- Year-ago EPS$0.50
- QuarterSep/2026
From Nasdaq’s earnings calendar. A report resets Market Value.
BKV is outside our quality screen
One text when a published rule fires on one of the 332 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.
Voices & buzz
Who is talking about it, and how it compares with peers.
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on BKV in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 3, 1:01 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in Oil & Gas Production
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.