QualityDipStocks / Basic Materials · Metal Mining
Buenaventura Mining Company BVN
Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 39% below its 52-week high.
Outside our quality screen, trading well above our fair value estimate.
Worth knowing
- Deepest drop from a 52-week high in over 3 years
From the data on this page, as of the last close. How we pick these
- Fair value est.
- $12.68−53%
- Market Value
- —
- Off 52-wk high
- −39%
- Risk vs market
- Highbeta 1.90
4 bullish · 2 bearish See why
Valuation
What we estimate it's worth, and how it ranks on value vs every stock we cover.
Fair value estimate
How the range is computed
Ten-year free-cash-flow DCF. Same 10-year free-cash-flow model as the base: discount rate 9.5% ±1 point and growth 15.0% ±2 points. Bear = 10.5% and 13.0%; bull = 8.5% and 17.0% (both fade to 3%). A model estimate from public filings, not a forecast of where the price will go.
Price is above even the bull case.
Cyclical / peak cash flow — treat with care
What the price implies To be worth today’s price, BVN’s free cash flow would need to grow about 29% a year for five years; our estimate uses 15%.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 31 to Nov 2, 252 sessions). Beta = how much BVN moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Swings much more than the market, and its own price swings are 4.1× the S&P 500’s.
- Beta vs S&P 500
- 1.90
- Volatility
- 52% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- 0.47
- Correlation QQQ
- 0.45
Valuation details
DCF $12.68 · FCF value $40.47
Cyclical / peak cash flow — treat with care
Assumes 15.0% growth for 5 years (revenue grew 45.0% a year FY23–FY25; capped at 15%), fading to 3%; 9.5% discount rate, 3% terminal growth. FCF base $0.41 a share (fiscal year to Dec 31, 2025), from the 20-F filed Apr 30, 2026. Capex: purchases of property, plant and equipment (from the filing).
Fundamentals
The business itself: sales, profits, cash and debt, from SEC filings.
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 4 of 5
GrowthSales grew 26% in the latest quarter vs a year ago.
ValuationFree-cash-flow yield of 6.0%: $0.4B of free cash in the last 12 months on a $7B market cap.
Balance sheetMore cash than debt (net debt / EBITDA below zero).
ProfitabilityOperating margin of 42% over the last 12 months.
Top bearish points 2 of 5
ValuationOur DCF fair value estimate is $12.68, 53% below the price.
RiskCyclical business: one strong year of cash flow can make it look cheaper than it is.
All fundamentals
from SEC filings
No fundamentals for Buenaventura Mining Company: Latest SEC XBRL statements end 2024-12-31, too old to use. We show nothing rather than guess.
The business
FCF $0.4B · Sales +26%
- Free cash flow, 12 months$0.4B
- Free-cash-flow yield6.0%
- Free-cash-flow margin18%
- Gross margin62%
- Operating margin42%
- Return on invested capital18%
- Return on equity28%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+26%
- Net debt / EBITDA−0.2×
Chart & levels
Where the price is vs its key levels and trends.
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $26.85
- Fair value est.base case$12.68−52.8%
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$21.16−21.2%
- PriceMon Nov 2 close$26.85you are here
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$43.67+62.6%
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 30 · 5 days −5.6%
Signals
Reversal signal setups, the public ledger and the next earnings date.
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.
BVN is outside our quality screen
One text when a published rule fires on one of the 332 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.
Voices & buzz
Who is talking about it, and how it compares with peers.
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on Buenaventura Mining Company in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 3, 1:01 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in Metal Mining
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.