QualityDipStocks / Consumer Staples · Beverages
Coca-Cola Europacific Partners CCEP
Not in a dip: trading near its 52-week high.
A quality company trading near our fair value estimate.
- Fair value est.
- $104.47−8%
- Market Value
- —
- Off 52-wk high
- −1%
- Risk vs market
- Lowbeta 0.09
5 bullish · 3 bearish See why
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $113.22
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$85.43−24.5%
- Fair value est.base case$104.47−7.7%
- PriceFri Oct 30 close$113.22you are here
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$114.23+0.9%
Fair value estimate
How the range is computed
Ten-year free-cash-flow DCF. Same 10-year free-cash-flow model as the base: discount rate 9.5% ±1 point and growth 6.5% ±2 points. Bear = 10.5% and 4.5%; bull = 8.5% and 8.5% (both fade to 3%). A model estimate from public filings, not a forecast of where the price will go.
Price sits inside the range.
What the price implies To be worth today’s price, CCEP’s free cash flow would need to grow about 8% a year for five years; our estimate uses 6%.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 30 to Oct 30, 252 sessions). Beta = how much CCEP moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Has moved mostly independently of the market, but its own price swings are 1.8× the S&P 500’s (it moves on its own news).
- Beta vs S&P 500
- 0.09
- Volatility
- 24% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- 0.05
- Correlation QQQ
- −0.11
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 5 of 5
Balance sheetPaid down debt: $528M at FY2025, 64% less than at FY2023.
ProfitabilityReturn on invested capital of 29%, above the 9.5% discount rate our DCF uses.
ProfitabilityReturn on equity of 24% over the last 12 months, up 4 points in two years.
ValuationFree-cash-flow yield of 4.8% (price / FCF 20.9×): $2.5B of free cash in the last 12 months.
QualityPasses all four of our quality checks: cash generation, returns on capital, growth and balance sheet.
Top bearish points 3 of 5
ProfitabilityGross margin of 36%, below the 44% median for the 37 Consumer Staples companies we cover.
ValuationPrice / book of 5.9×, above the 2.7× median for the 35 Consumer Staples companies we cover.
GrowthSales grew 2.3% over the last 12 months, below the 3.5% median for the 39 Consumer Staples companies we cover.
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on Coca-Cola Europacific Partners in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 1, 9:09 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in Beverages
All fundamentals
P/E 23.7 · FCF yield 4.8% · ROE 24%
Valuation
- P/E
- 23.7×Consumer Staples median 21.7×
- Price / FCF
- 20.9×
- FCF yield
- 4.8%
- EV / EBITDA
- n/aD&A or debt not tagged in SEC data
- Price / sales
- 2.20×
- Price / book
- 5.87×
- Market cap
- $51.6Bprice × diluted shares
- Enterprise value
- $51.1B
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- $23.5B
- Sales growth, 12 months
- +2.3%vs the 12 months before
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- +6.5%/yrfrom FY2022
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- $4.26
- EPS growth, last FY
- +38.3%
- Net income, 12 months
- $2.2B
- Net income growth
- +37%12 months vs before
Profitability
- Gross margin
- 35.6%
- Operating margin
- 13.4%
- Net margin
- 9.3%
- FCF margin
- 10.5%
- Return on equity
- 24%
- Return on invested capital
- 29%
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- $1.0B
- Total debt
- $528M
- Net cash
- $503M
- Debt / equity
- 0.06×
- Interest coverage
- 9.1×operating income / interest
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- $2.5B
- FCF growth, 12 months
- −3%
- Dividend yield
- 0%
- Payout ratio
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Buybacks, 12 months
- $45M0.1% of market cap
- Share count, 1 year
- n/ano quarterly diluted share count
- Stock-based comp
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Trailing 12 months to Dec 31, 2025; balance sheet at Dec 31, 2025. From Coca-Cola Europacific Partners’s SEC filings, reported in EUR and converted to US dollars. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
Valuation details
DCF $104.47 · FCF value $115.13
Assumes 6.5% growth for 5 years (revenue grew 6.5% a year FY22–FY25), fading to 3%; 9.5% discount rate, 3% terminal growth. FCF base $5.42 a share (fiscal year to Dec 31, 2025, converted from EUR at 1.123), from the 20-F filed Mar 13, 2026. Net cash $503M, not added.
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only arm once a company is in a dip.
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 62 · 5 days +2.1%
The business
FCF $2.0B · Sales +2%
- Free cash flow, 12 months$2.0B
- Free-cash-flow yield4.1%
- Free-cash-flow margin10%
- Gross margin36%
- Operating margin14%
- Return on invested capital13%
- Return on equity25%
- Sales growth (last fiscal year vs prior)+2%
- Net debt / EBITDA2.5×
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.
Get a text when CCEP fires a reversal signal
One text when a published rule fires on CCEP or any of the 333 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.