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DEO

Diageo DEO

Consumer Staples · Beverages
$93.44+2.31% dayFri Oct 30 close

Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 9% below its 52-week high.

Outside our quality screen. No fair value estimate for now: there isn’t enough data.

Outside our quality screen
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Fair value est.
n/a
Market Value
—
Off 52-wk high
−9%
Risk vs market
Lowbeta 0.24

4 bullish · 5 bearish See why

$80$90$100Jan ’26AprJulOct
Drag across the chart to see any day
Covered for reference — doesn’t pass our quality screen (sales down vs the year-ago quarter; net debt 3.4× EBITDA (limit 3×)). We show its price, Market Value and DCF, but it never appears in Dips, Top Picks or reversal signals. The screen

Key levels

Every level vs today’s $93.44

  1. 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$72.47−22.4%
  2. PriceFri Oct 30 close$93.44you are here
  3. 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$102.14+9.3%

Fair value estimate

No estimate for DEO: Capital spending isn't tagged for the latest period in SEC XBRL data. We’d rather show nothing than a made-up number.

Risk vs market

How risk vs market is measured

One year of daily returns (Oct 30 to Oct 30, 252 sessions). Beta = how much DEO moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.

Low

Has moved mostly independently of the market, but its own price swings are 2.6× the S&P 500’s (it moves on its own news).

Beta vs S&P 500
0.24
Volatility
33% vs 13% SPY
Correlation SPY
0.09
Correlation QQQ
−0.06

Bull vs bear

Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.

Top bullish points 4 of 5

  1. Cash returnsDividend yield of 3.9% ($2.0B paid over 12 months).

  2. ProfitabilityReturn on invested capital of 20%, above the 9.5% discount rate our DCF uses.

  3. ProfitabilityReturn on equity of 18% over the last 12 months.

  4. Balance sheetDebt / equity of 0.2×, below the 0.7× median for the 28 Consumer Staples companies we cover.

Top bearish points 5 of 5

  1. ProfitabilityOperating margin narrowed to 11.4% in FY2026 from 21.5% in FY2024 (SEC filings).

  2. ProfitabilityReturn on equity fell 24 points in two fiscal years, to 18% in FY2026.

  3. Balance sheetOperating income covers interest only 2.9× over the last 12 months.

  4. GrowthDiluted EPS fell 26% to $0.78 in FY2026.

  5. QualityDoesn’t pass our quality screen: sales down vs the year-ago quarter; net debt 3.4× EBITDA (limit 3×).

Who’s talking about it

Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on Diageo in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.

No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 1, 9:09 PM ET.

Compare with peers

Closest in size in Beverages

All fundamentals

P/E 25.9 · ROE 18% · Sales −1%

Valuation

P/E
25.9×Consumer Staples median 21.7×
Price / FCF
n/anot reported in its SEC filings
FCF yield
n/anot reported in its SEC filings
EV / EBITDA
9.2×
Price / sales
1.83×
Price / book
4.67×
Market cap
$50.8Blisted
Enterprise value
$51.7B

Growth

Revenue, 12 months
$27.8B
Sales growth, 12 months
−0.7%vs the 12 months before
Sales growth, 3 yrs
−0.6%/yrfrom FY2023
Diluted EPS, 12 months
$0.78
EPS growth, last FY
−26.3%
Net income, 12 months
$2.0B
Net income growth
−23%12 months vs before

Profitability

Gross margin
42.1%
Operating margin
11.4%
Net margin
7.1%
FCF margin
n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Return on equity
18%
Return on invested capital
20%

Balance sheet

Cash & short-term inv.
$1.5B
Total debt
$2.4B
Net cash
−$929M
Debt / equity
0.23×
Interest coverage
2.9×operating income / interest

Cash flow & returns

Free cash flow, 12 months
n/anot reported in its SEC filings
FCF growth, 12 months
n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Dividend yield
3.92%$2.0B paid
Payout ratio
102%
Buybacks, 12 months
n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Share count, 1 year
n/ano quarterly diluted share count
Stock-based comp
n/anot reported in its SEC filings

Trailing 12 months to Jun 30, 2026; balance sheet at Jun 30, 2026. From Diageo’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.

Valuation details

FCF value $146.69

How

Market ValueNo thesis-changing filing in the window we track
—
Fair value estimaten/a — Capital spending isn't tagged for the latest period in SEC XBRL data
n/a
FCF valuePrice at a 4% yield on trailing free cash flow ($3.2B)
$146.69price −36%

Setup & signals

No setup armed

All setups

No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.

Momentum & 52-week range

RSI 57 · 5 days −2.6%
$93.44now
52-wk low $72.47high $102.14
Off 52-wk high−8.5%
5 days−2.6%
vs 50-day avg+4.2%
vs 200-day avg+8.9%
RSI (14)57
Market cap$51B

The business

FCF $3.2B · Sales −3%
  • Free cash flow, 12 months$3.2B
  • Free-cash-flow yield6.3%
  • Free-cash-flow margin16%
  • Gross margin60%
  • Operating margin16%
  • Return on invested capital8%
  • Return on equity16%
  • Sales growth (last fiscal year vs prior)−3%
  • Net debt / EBITDA3.4×

Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.

DEO is outside our quality screen

One text when a published rule fires on one of the 333 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.

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