QualityDipStocks / Consumer Staples · Beverages
Coca-Cola Consolidated COKE
Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 3% below its 52-week high.
Outside our quality screen, trading above our fair value estimate, 8% over its Market Value.
- Fair value est.
- $173.99−17%
- Market Value
- $195.58price +8%
- Off 52-wk high
- −3%
- Risk vs market
- Lowbeta −0.12
5 bullish · 5 bearish See why
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $210.30
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$130.38−38.0%
- Fair value est.base case$173.99−17.3%
- Market Valueavg paid since Aug 5$195.58−7.0%
- PriceFri Oct 30 close$210.30you are here
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$216.91+3.1%
Fair value estimate
How the range is computed
Ten-year free-cash-flow DCF. Same 10-year free-cash-flow model as the base: discount rate 9.5% ±1 point and growth 5.2% ±2 points. Bear = 10.5% and 3.2%; bull = 8.5% and 7.2% (both fade to 3%). A model estimate from public filings, not a forecast of where the price will go.
Price sits inside the range.
What the price implies To be worth today’s price, COKE’s free cash flow would need to grow about 9% a year for five years; our estimate uses 5%.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 30 to Oct 30, 252 sessions). Beta = how much COKE moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Has moved mostly independently of the market, but its own price swings are 2.9× the S&P 500’s (it moves on its own news).
- Beta vs S&P 500
- -0.12
- Volatility
- 37% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- −0.04
- Correlation QQQ
- −0.12
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 5 of 5
ProfitabilityReturn on equity of 97% over the last 12 months, up 6 points in two years.
ProfitabilityReturn on invested capital of 40%, above the 9.5% discount rate our DCF uses.
Cash returnsFree cash flow grew 35% over the last 12 months vs the 12 months before.
ValuationFree-cash-flow yield of 4.6% (price / FCF 21.7×): $644M of free cash in the last 12 months.
GrowthSales grew 11% to $7.7B over the last 12 months vs the 12 months before (SEC filings).
Top bearish points 5 of 5
ValuationOur DCF fair value estimate is $173.99, 17% below the price.
Balance sheetDebt rose 365% to $2.8B from FY2023 to FY2025.
Cash returnsDividend yield of 0.5%, below the 3.4% median for the 32 Consumer Staples companies we cover.
ValuationP/E of 25.5×, above the 21.7× median for the 36 Consumer Staples companies we cover.
ValuationTrades 7.5% above its Market Value of $195.58, the average price paid since the Aug 5 filing.
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on Coca-Cola Consolidated in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 1, 9:09 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in Beverages
All fundamentals
P/E 25.5 · FCF yield 4.6% · ROE 97%
Valuation
- P/E
- 25.5×Consumer Staples median 21.7×
- Price / FCF
- 21.7×
- FCF yield
- 4.6%
- EV / EBITDA
- 13.6×
- Price / sales
- 1.82×
- Price / book
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Market cap
- $14.0Bprice × diluted shares
- Enterprise value
- $16.3B
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- $7.7B
- Sales growth, 12 months
- +10.7%vs the 12 months before
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- +5.2%/yrfrom FY2022
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- EPS growth, last FY
- n/afewer than two years of diluted EPS
- Net income, 12 months
- $550M
- Net income growth
- −6%12 months vs before
Profitability
- Gross margin
- 39.1%
- Operating margin
- 13.0%
- Net margin
- 7.2%
- FCF margin
- 8.4%
- Return on equity
- 97%
- Return on invested capital
- 40%
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- $172M
- Total debt
- $2.5B
- Net cash
- −$2.3B
- Debt / equity
- n/adebt or equity not tagged in SEC data
- Interest coverage
- n/ainterest expense not tagged in SEC data
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- $644M
- FCF growth, 12 months
- +35%
- Dividend yield
- 0.55%$76M paid
- Payout ratio
- 14%
- Buybacks, 12 months
- $2.6B18.6% of market cap
- Share count, 1 year
- n/ano quarterly diluted share count
- Stock-based comp
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Trailing 12 months to Jul 3, 2026; balance sheet at Jul 3, 2026. From Coca-Cola Consolidated’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
Valuation details
DCF $173.99 · MV $195.58 · FCF value $166.42
Assumes 5.2% growth for 5 years (revenue grew 5.2% a year FY22–FY25), fading to 3%; 9.5% discount rate, 3% terminal growth. FCF base $9.68 a share (trailing 12 months to Jul 3, 2026), from the 10-Q filed Aug 5, 2026. Net debt $2.3B, not deducted.
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 58 · 5 days +3.4%
The business
FCF $0.4B · Sales +11%
- Free cash flow, 12 months$0.4B
- Free-cash-flow yield3.2%
- Free-cash-flow margin6%
- Gross margin39%
- Operating margin13%
- Return on invested capital40%
- Return on equity97%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+11%
- Net debt / EBITDA2.0×
Next report
Nov 4
- DateWed Nov 4, after the close
- Year-ago EPS$2.06
- QuarterSep/2026
From Nasdaq’s earnings calendar. A report resets Market Value.
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.
COKE is outside our quality screen
One text when a published rule fires on one of the 333 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.