QualityDipStocks / Consumer Discretionary · Auto dealers
Copart CPRT
In a deep dip: 30% below its 52-week high.
A quality company trading above our fair value estimate, 5% over its Market Value.
- Fair value est.
- $25.47−15%
- Market Value
- $28.66price +5%
- Off 52-wk high
- −30%
- Risk vs market
- Lowbeta 0.03
5 bullish · 5 bearish See why
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $30.13
- Fair value est.base case$25.47−15.5%
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$26.27−12.8%
- Market Valueavg paid since Oct 16$28.66−4.9%
- PriceFri Oct 30 close$30.13you are here
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$43.01+42.7%
Fair value estimate
How the range is computed
Ten-year free-cash-flow DCF. Same 10-year free-cash-flow model as the base: discount rate 9.5% ±1 point and growth 6.4% ±2 points. Bear = 10.5% and 4.4%; bull = 8.5% and 8.4% (both fade to 3%). A model estimate from public filings, not a forecast of where the price will go.
Price sits inside the range.
What the price implies To be worth today’s price, CPRT’s free cash flow would need to grow about 9% a year for five years; our estimate uses 6%.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 30 to Oct 30, 252 sessions). Beta = how much CPRT moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Has moved mostly independently of the market, but its own price swings are 2.5× the S&P 500’s (it moves on its own news).
- Beta vs S&P 500
- 0.03
- Volatility
- 32% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- 0.01
- Correlation QQQ
- −0.12
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 5 of 5
ValuationP/E of 19.4× is 31% below its own average of 28.2× at the last 3 fiscal year-ends.
ProfitabilityOperating margin of 35% over the last 12 months.
Cash returnsShare count down 3.6% in a year: $1.6B of buybacks over 12 months.
TechnicalA company that passes our quality screen, now 30% off its 52-week high (deep dip).
QualityPasses all four of our quality checks: cash generation, returns on capital, growth and balance sheet.
Top bearish points 5 of 5
ValuationOur DCF fair value estimate is $25.47, 15% below the price.
GrowthSales grew 0.4% over the last 12 months, below the 7.0% median for the 175 Consumer Discretionary companies we cover.
GrowthDiluted EPS fell 2.5% in the last fiscal year, below the 4.8% median for the 158 Consumer Discretionary companies we cover.
ValuationFree-cash-flow yield of 4.4%, below the 4.9% median for the 169 Consumer Discretionary companies we cover.
ValuationTrades 5.1% above its Market Value of $28.66, the average price paid since the Oct 16 filing.
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on Copart in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 1, 9:09 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in Auto dealers
All fundamentals
P/E 19.4 · FCF yield 4.4% · Sales +0%
Valuation
- P/E
- 19.4×3-yr-end avg 28.2× · Consumer Discretionary median 20.9×
- Price / FCF
- 22.8×
- FCF yield
- 4.4%
- EV / EBITDA
- n/aD&A or debt not tagged in SEC data
- Price / sales
- 6.18×
- Price / book
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Market cap
- $28.8Bprice × diluted shares
- Enterprise value
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- $4.7B
- Sales growth, 12 months
- +0.4%vs the 12 months before
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- +6.4%/yrfrom FY2023
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- $1.55
- EPS growth, last FY
- −2.5%
- Net income, 12 months
- $1.5B
- Net income growth
- −4%12 months vs before
Profitability
- Gross margin
- n/agross profit isn't reported (common for service and financial companies)
- Operating margin
- 35.4%
- Net margin
- 31.8%
- FCF margin
- 27.2%
- Return on equity
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Return on invested capital
- n/aoperating income, debt, equity or cash not tagged
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Total debt
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Net cash
- n/acash or debt not tagged in SEC data
- Debt / equity
- n/adebt or equity not tagged in SEC data
- Interest coverage
- n/ainterest expense not tagged in SEC data
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- $1.3B
- FCF growth, 12 months
- +3%
- Dividend yield
- 0%
- Payout ratio
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Buybacks, 12 months
- $1.6B5.7% of market cap
- Share count, 1 year
- −3.6%diluted shares vs a year ago
- Stock-based comp
- $39M
Trailing 12 months to Jul 31, 2026. From Copart’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
Valuation details
DCF $25.47 · MV $28.66 · FCF value $34.91
Assumes 6.4% growth for 5 years (revenue grew 6.4% a year FY23–FY26), fading to 3%; 9.5% discount rate, 3% terminal growth. FCF base $1.32 a share (fiscal year to Jul 31, 2026), from the 10-K filed Sep 29, 2026.
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. We watch it daily for our three reversal signal rules while it sits in a dip.
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 64 · 5 days +3.9%
The business
FCF $1.3B · Sales +2%
- Free cash flow, 12 months$1.3B
- Free-cash-flow yield4.6%
- Free-cash-flow margin27%
- Gross margin45%
- Operating margin35%
- Return on invested capital14%
- Return on equity16%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+2%
- Net debt / EBITDA−1.0×
Next report
Nov 19
- DateThu Nov 19
- Consensus EPS$0.41
- Year-ago EPS$0.41
- QuarterOct/2026
From Nasdaq’s earnings calendar. A report resets Market Value.
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.
Get a text when CPRT fires a reversal signal
One text when a published rule fires on CPRT or any of the 333 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.