QualityDipStocks / Consumer Discretionary · Auto dealers
Lithia Motors LAD
Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 30% below its 52-week high.
Outside our quality screen, 5% over its Market Value. No fair value estimate for now: its free cash flow is negative.
- Fair value est.
- n/a
- Market Value
- $286.33price +5%
- Off 52-wk high
- −30%
- Risk vs market
- Lowbeta 0.47
4 bullish · 5 bearish See why
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $299.72
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$243.00−18.9%
- Market Valueavg paid since Oct 21$286.33−4.5%
- PriceFri Oct 30 close$299.72you are here
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$427.48+42.6%
Fair value estimate
No estimate for LAD: negative free cash flow. We’d rather show nothing than a made-up number.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 30 to Oct 30, 252 sessions). Beta = how much LAD moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Moves much less than the market, but its own price swings are 3.2× the S&P 500’s (it moves on its own news).
- Beta vs S&P 500
- 0.47
- Volatility
- 41% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- 0.15
- Correlation QQQ
- 0.03
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 4 of 5
ValuationP/E of 8.1× vs a 20.9× median for the 169 Consumer Discretionary companies we cover.
Cash returnsShare count down 12.7% in a year: $923M of buybacks over 12 months.
GrowthSales compounded 10% a year from FY2022 to FY2025.
ValuationPrice / book of 1.0×, below the 4.9× median for the 151 Consumer Discretionary companies we cover.
Top bearish points 5 of 5
ValuationFree cash flow is negative (−$427M over the last 12 months), so there’s no cash-flow value under the price.
Balance sheetDebt rose 35% to $9.8B from FY2023 to FY2025.
GrowthSales growth slowed to 2% over the last 12 months, from 10% a year over the prior three fiscal years.
ValuationFree-cash-flow yield of −6.7%, below the 4.9% median for the 169 Consumer Discretionary companies we cover.
QualityDoesn’t pass our quality screen: no positive free cash flow; ROE under 12% and ROIC under 10%; net debt 8.8× EBITDA (limit 3×).
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on Lithia Motors in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 1, 9:09 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in Auto dealers
All fundamentals
P/E 8.1 · FCF yield -6.7% · ROE 12%
Valuation
- P/E
- 8.1×Consumer Discretionary median 20.9×
- Price / FCF
- n/anegative free cash flow
- FCF yield
- −6.7%
- EV / EBITDA
- n/aD&A or debt not tagged in SEC data
- Price / sales
- 0.17×
- Price / book
- 0.97×
- Market cap
- $6.4Blisted
- Enterprise value
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- $38.2B
- Sales growth, 12 months
- +1.6%vs the 12 months before
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- +10.1%/yrfrom FY2022
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- $34.67
- EPS growth, last FY
- +9.7%
- Net income, 12 months
- $788M
- Net income growth
- −12%12 months vs before
Profitability
- Gross margin
- 15.1%
- Operating margin
- 4.0%
- Net margin
- 2.1%
- FCF margin
- −1.1%
- Return on equity
- 12%
- Return on invested capital
- n/aoperating income, debt, equity or cash not tagged
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- $108M
- Total debt
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Net cash
- n/acash or debt not tagged in SEC data
- Debt / equity
- n/adebt or equity not tagged in SEC data
- Interest coverage
- 5.7×operating income / interest
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- −$427M
- FCF growth, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Dividend yield
- 0.85%$54M paid
- Payout ratio
- 7%
- Buybacks, 12 months
- $923M14.4% of market cap
- Share count, 1 year
- −12.7%diluted shares vs a year ago
- Stock-based comp
- $55M
Trailing 12 months to Sep 30, 2026; balance sheet at Sep 30, 2026. From Lithia Motors’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
Valuation details
MV $286.33
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 50 · 5 days +1.4%
The business
FCF $-0.4B · Sales +3%
- Free cash flow, 12 months−$0.4B
- Free-cash-flow yield−6.7%
- Gross margin15%
- Operating margin4%
- Return on invested capital6%
- Return on equity12%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+3%
- Net debt / EBITDA8.8×
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.
LAD is outside our quality screen
One text when a published rule fires on one of the 333 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.