QualityDipStocks / Utilities · Oil & Gas Production
Centuri CTRI
Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 49% below its 52-week high.
Outside our quality screen. No fair value estimate for now: its free cash flow is negative.
Worth knowing
- Down 50% from its 52-week high while revenue grew 25%
From the data on this page, as of the last close. How we pick these
- Fair value est.
- n/a
- Market Value
- $20.97price +2%
- Off 52-wk high
- −49%
- Risk vs market
- Highbeta 1.58
4 bullish · 5 bearish See why
Repriced or dip?
Dip: business intact
The price is 49% below its 52-week high (May 6), but the business held up: revenue +7.5%, revenue growth rate +6.5 pts, shares outstanding fewer shares, each owns more.
Some numbers held up (revenue +7.5%, revenue growth rate +6.5 pts, shares outstanding fewer shares, each owns more), others slipped. The price is 49% below its 52-week high.
The price is 49% below its 52-week high, and the business changed too.
Within 10% of its 52-week high, so there is no dip to judge yet.
The evidence 9 numbers, high vs now
- Revenue, last 12 months$3.2B → $3.4B (+7.5%)held up
- Revenue growth rate+18.7% → +25.2% a year (+6.5 pts)held up
- Earnings per share, 12 months$0.31 → $0.29 (−4.3%)about the same
- Operating margin3.2% → 2.7% (−0.5 pts)about the same
- Shares outstanding−2.1% (fewer shares, each owns more)held up
- Net cash (cash minus debt)−0.4% of market cap since the highheld up
- Stock vs its sector (Utilities)stock −49%, sector median −1% since May 6changed
- Price fall vs business numbersprice −49%, revenue/EPS/FCF median +2% (shown, not scored)
- Valuation multipleP/E 136.8× at the high → 72.8× now (shown, not scored)
Business numbers as reported at the high (12 months to Mar 29, 2026) vs the latest filing (12 months to Jun 28, 2026). Each measure is scored from −1 (business changed) to +1 (business intact) and weighted: revenue, earnings per share, free cash flow, operating margin, revenue growth rate, share count, net cash and the move vs its sector. 60 or more reads as a dip, 40 or less as a repricing. Analyst estimates are not in our data, so they are not used. How to read it
Data-based read, not advice.
Priced in
How much growth the market assumed at the 52-week high, the low and today (a reverse DCF).
52-wk high: P/E 136.8×; 52-wk low: P/E 67.1×; now: P/E 72.8×.
| High | Low | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price | $41.80May 6 | $19.07Sep 15 | $21.28 |
| Implied growth | n/a | n/a | n/a |
| P/E | 136.8× | 67.1× | 72.8× |
| EV/Sales | 1.5× | 0.8× | 0.8× |
What this means: a lower P/E than at the high means you pay less for each dollar of profit than buyers did then.
How it’s computed
Reverse DCF: the same 10-year free-cash-flow model as our fair value estimate (9.5% discount rate, growth for years 1–5 fading to 3% by year 10, 3% after), solved for the growth that makes it equal the market value at each price. For the high and the low we use only the filings that were public on that day, so nothing from a later report leaks back. Market value = that close × diluted shares. P/E = market value / 12-month net income; Price / FCF = market value / 12-month free cash flow; EV / Sales = (market value + debt − cash) / 12-month revenue. Hidden when the share count moved over 20% (split, merger), free cash flow is negative, or the company reports in another currency.
Valuation
What we estimate it's worth, and how it ranks on value vs every stock we cover.
Fair value estimate
No estimate for CTRI: negative free cash flow. We’d rather show nothing than a made-up number.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 31 to Nov 2, 252 sessions). Beta = how much CTRI moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Swings much more than the market, and its own price swings are 4.1× the S&P 500’s.
- Beta vs S&P 500
- 1.58
- Volatility
- 52% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- 0.39
- Correlation QQQ
- 0.37
How it ranks
Where CTRI stands vs every one of the 1,996 stocks we cover that has the number. Longer bar = better.
Top quarter on 1 of 4 measures
- Free cash flow yield−0.7% · free cash flow vs market capLowest 15%of 1,391
- Revenue growth, last 12 months+25% · vs the 12 months beforeTop 20%of 1,814
- Operating margin2.7% · of sales kept as operating profitLowest 18%of 1,288
- Return on invested capital6% · profit per dollar of capitalLowest 30%of 838
From SEC filings and our fair value estimate model. A ranking, not advice.
Valuation details
MV $20.97
Fundamentals
The business itself: sales, profits, cash and debt, from SEC filings.
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 4 of 5
GrowthSales grew 25% to $3.4B over the last 12 months vs the 12 months before (SEC filings).
ProfitabilityOperating margin widened to 3.1% in FY2025 from −2.7% in FY2023 (SEC filings).
Balance sheetPaid down debt: $738M at FY2025, 36% less than at FY2023.
Balance sheetDebt / equity of 0.8×, below the 1.5× median for the 66 Utilities companies we cover.
Top bearish points 5 of 5
ValuationFree cash flow is negative (−$15M over the last 12 months), so there’s no cash-flow value under the price.
ValuationP/E of 72.8× vs a 21.2× median for the 87 Utilities companies we cover.
Cash returnsShare count up 14.2% in a year: existing holders are being diluted.
QualityDoesn’t pass our quality screen: no positive free cash flow; ROE under 12% and ROIC under 10%; net debt 3.7× EBITDA (limit 3×).
RiskCyclical business: one strong year of cash flow can make it look cheaper than it is.
All fundamentals
P/E 72.8 · FCF yield -0.7% · ROE 4%
Valuation
- P/E
- 72.8×Utilities median 21.2×
- Price / FCF
- n/anegative free cash flow
- FCF yield
- −0.7%
- EV / EBITDA
- 11.9×
- Price / sales
- 0.62×
- Price / book
- 2.42×
- Market cap
- $2.1Blisted
- Enterprise value
- $2.8B
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- $3.4B
- Sales growth, 12 months
- +25.2%vs the 12 months before
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- +2.6%/yrfrom FY2023
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- $0.33
- EPS growth, last FY
- n/afewer than two years of diluted EPS
- Net income, 12 months
- $29M
- Net income growth
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Profitability
- Gross margin
- 7.8%
- Operating margin
- 2.7%
- Net margin
- 0.9%
- FCF margin
- −0.4%
- Return on equity
- 4%
- Return on invested capital
- 6%
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- $40M
- Total debt
- $718M
- Net cash
- −$677M
- Debt / equity
- 0.83×
- Interest coverage
- n/ainterest expense not tagged in SEC data
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- −$15M
- FCF growth, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Dividend yield
- n/ano dividend payments tagged
- Payout ratio
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Buybacks, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Share count, 1 year
- +14.2%diluted shares vs a year ago
- Stock-based comp
- $11M
Trailing 12 months to Jun 28, 2026; balance sheet at Jun 28, 2026. From Centuri’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
The business
FCF $-0.0B · Sales +33%
- Free cash flow, 12 months−$0.0B
- Free-cash-flow yield-0.7%
- Free-cash-flow margin0%
- Gross margin8%
- Operating margin3%
- Return on invested capital4%
- Return on equity4%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+33%
- Net debt / EBITDA3.7×
Chart & levels
Where the price is vs its key levels and trends.
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $21.28
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$19.07−10.4%
- Market Valueavg paid since Aug 4$20.97−1.5%
- PriceMon Nov 2 close$21.28you are here
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$41.80+96.4%
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 58 · 5 days +5.7%
Signals
Reversal signal setups, the public ledger and the next earnings date.
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.
Next report
Nov 5
- DateThu Nov 5, before the open
- Consensus EPS$0.23
- Year-ago EPS$0.17
- QuarterSep/2026
From Nasdaq’s earnings calendar. A report resets Market Value.
CTRI is outside our quality screen
One text when a published rule fires on one of the 332 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.
Voices & buzz
Who is talking about it, and how it compares with peers.
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on Centuri in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 3, 1:01 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in Oil & Gas Production
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.