QualityDipStocks / Industrials · Broadcasting
Liberty Media Series C FWONK
Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 13% below its 52-week high.
Outside our quality screen, trading near our fair value estimate, 4% under its Market Value.
- Fair value est.
- $87.60−5%
- Market Value
- $95.80price −4%
- Off 52-wk high
- −13%
- Risk vs market
- Lowbeta 0.27
4 bullish · 5 bearish See why
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $92.47
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$81.42−11.9%
- Fair value est.base case$87.60−5.3%
- PriceFri Oct 30 close$92.47you are here
- Market Valueavg paid since Aug 6$95.80+3.6%
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$106.66+15.3%
Fair value estimate
How the range is computed
Ten-year free-cash-flow DCF. Same 10-year free-cash-flow model as the base: discount rate 9.5% ±1 point and growth 12.3% ±2 points. Bear = 10.5% and 10.3%; bull = 8.5% and 14.3% (both fade to 3%). A model estimate from public filings, not a forecast of where the price will go.
Price sits inside the range.
What the price implies To be worth today’s price, FWONK’s free cash flow would need to grow about 13% a year for five years; our estimate uses 12%.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 30 to Oct 30, 252 sessions). Beta = how much FWONK moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Has moved mostly independently of the market, but its own price swings are 2.0× the S&P 500’s (it moves on its own news).
- Beta vs S&P 500
- 0.27
- Volatility
- 25% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- 0.14
- Correlation QQQ
- 0.05
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 4 of 5
ProfitabilityOperating margin widened to 12.9% in FY2025 from 7.4% in FY2023 (SEC filings).
GrowthSales grew 12% to $4.3B over the last 12 months vs the 12 months before (SEC filings).
GrowthSales grew 12% a year over the last three fiscal years, above the 4.5% median for the 146 Industrials companies we cover.
ValuationTrades 3.5% below its Market Value of $95.80, the average price paid since the Aug 6 filing.
Top bearish points 5 of 5
Balance sheetOperating income covers interest only 1.8× over the last 12 months.
ValuationP/E of 56.8× vs a 27.5× median for the 130 Industrials companies we cover.
GrowthDiluted EPS fell 63% in the last fiscal year, below the 7.9% median for the 123 Industrials companies we cover.
QualityDoesn’t pass our quality screen: ROE under 12% and ROIC under 10%; sales down vs the year-ago quarter; net debt 3.1× EBITDA (limit 3×).
RiskReports earnings Nov 5 (consensus EPS $0.64): results can move the price sharply and reset Market Value.
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on Liberty Media Series C in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 1, 9:09 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in Industrials
All fundamentals
P/E 56.8 · FCF yield 3.5% · Sales +12%
Valuation
- P/E
- 56.8×Industrials median 27.5×
- Price / FCF
- 28.2×
- FCF yield
- 3.5%
- EV / EBITDA
- n/aD&A or debt not tagged in SEC data
- Price / sales
- 5.34×
- Price / book
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Market cap
- $23.2Bprice × diluted shares
- Enterprise value
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- $4.3B
- Sales growth, 12 months
- +12.2%vs the 12 months before
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- +12.3%/yrfrom FY2022
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- EPS growth, last FY
- −63.5%
- Net income, 12 months
- $408M
- Net income growth
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Profitability
- Gross margin
- n/agross profit isn't reported (common for service and financial companies)
- Operating margin
- 11.9%
- Net margin
- 9.4%
- FCF margin
- 19.0%
- Return on equity
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Return on invested capital
- n/aoperating income, debt, equity or cash not tagged
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Total debt
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Net cash
- n/acash or debt not tagged in SEC data
- Debt / equity
- n/adebt or equity not tagged in SEC data
- Interest coverage
- 1.8×operating income / interest
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- $823M
- FCF growth, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Dividend yield
- 0%
- Payout ratio
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Buybacks, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Share count, 1 year
- n/ano quarterly diluted share count
- Stock-based comp
- $24M
Trailing 12 months to Jun 30, 2026. From Liberty Media Series C’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
Valuation details
DCF $87.60 · MV $95.80 · FCF value $79.72
Assumes 12.3% growth for 5 years (revenue grew 12.3% a year FY22–FY25), fading to 3%; 9.5% discount rate, 3% terminal growth. FCF base $3.28 a share (trailing 12 months to Jun 30, 2026), from the 10-Q filed Aug 6, 2026. Net debt $3.5B, not deducted.
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 50 · 5 days +3.6%
The business
FCF $0.8B · Sales −30%
- Free cash flow, 12 months$0.8B
- Free-cash-flow yield3.4%
- Free-cash-flow margin18%
- Gross margin36%
- Operating margin12%
- Return on invested capital3%
- Return on equity5%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)−30%
- Net debt / EBITDA3.1×
Next report
Nov 5
- DateThu Nov 5, before the open
- Consensus EPS$0.64
- Year-ago EPS$0.24
- QuarterSep/2026
From Nasdaq’s earnings calendar. A report resets Market Value.
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.
FWONK is outside our quality screen
One text when a published rule fires on one of the 333 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.