QualityDipCW
Cathie Wood (ARK Invest)Oct 28 · Fund trade
bullishARK bought about $9.1M of Robinhood as it fell nearly 10% on earnings, its biggest HOOD buy since April.
Stocks / Finance · Brokers & investment banks
HOOD
Robinhood Markets HOOD
$84.99−7.21% dayFri Oct 30 close
In a deep dip: 42% below its 52-week high.
A quality company. No fair value estimate for now: our model doesn’t fit it reliably.
- Fair value est.
- n/a
- Market Value
- forming
- Off 52-wk high
- −42%
- Risk vs market
- Highbeta 3.16
5 bullish · 2 bearish See why
Drag across the chart to see any day
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $84.99
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$65.16−23.3%
- PriceFri Oct 30 close$84.99you are here
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$147.08+73.1%
Fair value estimate
Estimate unreliable for HOOD: earnings swing too much for a book-value model (return on equity ranged from -51% to 22% across FY2021–2025 and the latest 12 months). We’d rather show nothing than a made-up number.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 30 to Oct 30, 252 sessions). Beta = how much HOOD moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
High
Swings much more than the market, and its own price swings are 5.6× the S&P 500’s.
- Beta vs S&P 500
- 3.16
- Volatility
- 72% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- 0.57
- Correlation QQQ
- 0.53
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 5 of 5
GrowthSales compounded 49% a year from FY2022 to FY2025.
GrowthDiluted EPS grew 31% to $2.05 in FY2025.
GrowthSales grew 21% to $5.1B over the last 12 months vs the 12 months before (SEC filings).
TechnicalA company that passes our quality screen, now 42% off its 52-week high (deep dip).
QualityPasses all four of our quality checks: cash generation, returns on capital, growth and balance sheet.
Top bearish points 2 of 5
ValuationP/E of 41.6× vs a 13.5× median for the 151 Finance companies we cover.
RiskSwings hard: beta 3.16 vs the S&P 500 and 72% yearly volatility (SPY 13%).
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on Robinhood Markets in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 1, 9:09 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in Brokers & investment banks
CompanyPrice1 yearvs fair valueP/EMkt cap
ICEIntercontinental Exchange$168.85+3.6%+14%+26%22.8×$92BCMECME Group$303.14+2.3%+15%−11%24.7×$106BNDAQNasdaq$106.23+0.6%+24%−12%28.7×$59BSCHWCharles Schwab$88.05−1.6%−7%−48%15.7×$155BBLKBlackRock$1,148−2.4%+5%−55%28.7×$182BIBKRInteractive Brokers Group$76.90−6.0%+12%−49%30.7×$37BAll fundamentals
P/E 41.6 · Sales +21%
Valuation
- P/E
- 41.6×Finance median 13.5×
- Price / FCF
- n/acash flow isn't a clean measure for a lender
- FCF yield
- n/acash flow isn't a clean measure for a lender
- EV / EBITDA
- n/anot meaningful for a lender
- Price / sales
- 16.23×
- Price / book
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Market cap
- $82.5Blisted
- Enterprise value
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- $5.1B
- Sales growth, 12 months
- +20.9%vs the 12 months before
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- +48.8%/yrfrom FY2022
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- $2.17
- EPS growth, last FY
- +31.4%
- Net income, 12 months
- $2.0B
- Net income growth
- −10%12 months vs before
Profitability
- Gross margin
- n/anot meaningful for a lender
- Operating margin
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Net margin
- 39.0%
- FCF margin
- 59.3%
- Return on equity
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Return on invested capital
- n/anot meaningful for a lender
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Total debt
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Net cash
- n/anot meaningful for a lender
- Debt / equity
- n/adeposits/float make debt/equity not comparable for a lender
- Interest coverage
- n/anot meaningful for a lender
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- $3.0B
- FCF growth, 12 months
- +160%
- Dividend yield
- 0%
- Payout ratio
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Buybacks, 12 months
- $789M1.0% of market cap
- Share count, 1 year
- −0.8%diluted shares vs a year ago
- Stock-based comp
- $353M
Trailing 12 months to Sep 30, 2026. From Robinhood Markets’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
Valuation details
Market ValueForming: thesis-changing filing on Oct 28, needs five trading days
forming
Fair value estimaten/a — Financials model: earnings swing too much for a book-value model (return on equity ranged from -51% to 22% across FY2021–2025 and the latest 12 months)
n/a
FCF valueNot meaningful for banks and insurers
n/a
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. We watch it daily for our three reversal signal rules while it sits in a dip.
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 29 · 5 days −10.6%
$84.99now
52-wk low $65.16high $147.08
Off 52-wk high−42.2%
5 days−10.6%
vs 50-day avg−21.7%
vs 200-day avg−8.2%
RSI (14)29 oversold
Market cap$82B
The business
FCF $3.0B · Sales +12%
- Free cash flow, 12 months$3.0B
- Free-cash-flow yield3.6%
- Return on equity21%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+12%
Investor buzz
2 from investors
Their view, not ours, and not advice. All buzz
CC
Chris CamilloSep 29 · Video
bullishVideo "The Two Stocks I Keep Buying"; an unofficial Camillo tracker lists HOOD as his #2 holding from it. Not checked against the video itself.
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.
Get a text when HOOD fires a reversal signal
One text when a published rule fires on HOOD or any of the 333 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.