QualityDipStocks / Consumer Discretionary · Hotels/Resorts
H World Group HTHT
Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 14% below its 52-week high.
Outside our quality screen. No fair value estimate for now: there isn’t enough data.
Worth knowing
- ROE 41% and more cash than debt
From the data on this page, as of the last close. How we pick these
- Fair value est.
- n/a
- Market Value
- —
- Off 52-wk high
- −14%
- Risk vs market
- Lowbeta 0.20
5 bullish · 4 bearish See why
Valuation
What we estimate it's worth, and how it ranks on value vs every stock we cover.
Fair value estimate
No estimate for HTHT: Capital spending isn't tagged for the latest period in SEC XBRL data. We’d rather show nothing than a made-up number.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 31 to Nov 2, 252 sessions). Beta = how much HTHT moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Has moved mostly independently of the market, but its own price swings are 2.6× the S&P 500’s (it moves on its own news).
- Beta vs S&P 500
- 0.20
- Volatility
- 33% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- 0.08
- Correlation QQQ
- −0.02
How it ranks
Where HTHT stands vs every one of the 1,996 stocks we cover that has the number. Longer bar = better.
Top quarter on 2 of 4 measures
- Dividends + buybacks yield4.7% · cash paid out or used to retire shares, vs market capTop 29%of 1,836
- Revenue growth, last 12 months+5.9% · vs the 12 months beforeLowest 33%of 1,814
- Operating margin27% · of sales kept as operating profitTop 15%of 1,288
- Return on invested capital55% · profit per dollar of capitalTop 4%of 838
From SEC filings and our fair value estimate model. A ranking, not advice.
Valuation details
FCF value $599.00
Fundamentals
The business itself: sales, profits, cash and debt, from SEC filings.
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 5 of 5
ProfitabilityReturn on invested capital of 55%, above the 9.5% discount rate our DCF uses.
GrowthSales compounded 22% a year from FY2022 to FY2025.
ProfitabilityReturn on equity of 41% over the last 12 months, up 6 points in two years.
ProfitabilityOperating margin widened to 26.9% in FY2025 from 21.5% in FY2023 (SEC filings).
Cash returnsDividend yield of 3.9% ($586M paid over 12 months, 77% of earnings).
Top bearish points 4 of 5
GrowthSales growth slowed to 6% over the last 12 months, from 22% a year over the prior three fiscal years.
Cash returnsDividends take 77% of earnings ($586M paid over 12 months), leaving little to reinvest or raise the payout.
ValuationPrice / book of 7.8×, above the 3.2× median for the 336 Consumer Discretionary companies we cover.
RiskReports earnings Nov 16 (consensus EPS $0.75): results can move the price sharply and reset Market Value.
All fundamentals
P/E 19.6 · ROE 41% · Sales +6%
Valuation
- P/E
- 19.6×Consumer Discretionary median 20.7×
- Price / FCF
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- FCF yield
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- EV / EBITDA
- 11.8×
- Price / sales
- 3.93×
- Price / book
- 7.76×
- Market cap
- $14.9Blisted
- Enterprise value
- $14.3B
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- $3.8B
- Sales growth, 12 months
- +5.9%vs the 12 months before
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- +22.2%/yrfrom FY2022
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- $1.60
- EPS growth, last FY
- +66.7%
- Net income, 12 months
- $762M
- Net income growth
- +67%12 months vs before
Profitability
- Gross margin
- n/agross profit isn't reported (common for service and financial companies)
- Operating margin
- 26.9%
- Net margin
- 20.1%
- FCF margin
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Return on equity
- 41%
- Return on invested capital
- 55%
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- $2.3B
- Total debt
- $1.7B
- Net cash
- $619M
- Debt / equity
- 0.87×
- Interest coverage
- 20.2×operating income / interest
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- FCF growth, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Dividend yield
- 3.93%$586M paid
- Payout ratio
- 77%
- Buybacks, 12 months
- $117M0.8% of market cap
- Share count, 1 year
- n/ano quarterly diluted share count
- Stock-based comp
- $63M
Trailing 12 months to Dec 31, 2025; balance sheet at Dec 31, 2025. From H World Group’s SEC filings, reported in CNY and converted to US dollars. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
The business
FCF $7.4B · Sales +11%
- Free cash flow, 12 months$7.4B
- Free-cash-flow yield49.5%
- Free-cash-flow margin28%
- Gross margin41%
- Operating margin31%
- Return on invested capital32%
- Return on equity38%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+11%
- Net debt / EBITDA2.1×
Chart & levels
Where the price is vs its key levels and trends.
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $48.44
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$38.60−20.3%
- PriceMon Nov 2 close$48.44you are here
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$56.06+15.7%
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 66 · 5 days +2.3%
Signals
Reversal signal setups, the public ledger and the next earnings date.
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.
Next report
Nov 16
- DateMon Nov 16
- Consensus EPS$0.75
- Year-ago EPS$0.63
- QuarterSep/2026
From Nasdaq’s earnings calendar. A report resets Market Value.
HTHT is outside our quality screen
One text when a published rule fires on one of the 332 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.
Voices & buzz
Who is talking about it, and how it compares with peers.
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on H World Group in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 3, 1:01 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in Hotels/Resorts
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.