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Stocks / Consumer Discretionary · Newspapers/Magazines

NWSA

News NWSA

Consumer Discretionary · Newspapers/Magazines
$29.12−1.12% dayFri Oct 30 close

Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 7% below its 52-week high.

Outside our quality screen, trading above our fair value estimate.

Outside our quality screenReports Nov 4
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Fair value est.
$24.43−16%
Market Value
$29.61price −2%
Off 52-wk high
−7%
Risk vs market
Lowbeta 0.18

4 bullish · 5 bearish See why

$22$25$28$30Jan ’26AprJulOctMV $29.61
Fair value est.Market ValueDrag across the chart to see any day
Covered for reference — doesn’t pass our quality screen (market cap $15.9B, under our $20B floor). We show its price, Market Value and DCF, but it never appears in Dips, Top Picks or reversal signals. The screen

Key levels

Every level vs today’s $29.12

  1. 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$22.40−23.1%
  2. Fair value est.base case$24.43−16.1%
  3. PriceFri Oct 30 close$29.12you are here
  4. Market Valueavg paid since Aug 5$29.61+1.7%
  5. 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$31.19+7.1%

Fair value estimate

How the range is computed

Ten-year free-cash-flow DCF. Same 10-year free-cash-flow model as the base: discount rate 9.5% ±1 point and growth 4.1% ±2 points. Bear = 10.5% and 2.1%; bull = 8.5% and 6.1% (both fade to 3%). A model estimate from public filings, not a forecast of where the price will go.

$24.43−16% vs price
Bear$18.94
Base$24.43
Bull$32.46

Price sits inside the range.

What the price implies To be worth today’s price, NWSA’s free cash flow would need to grow about 7% a year for five years; our estimate uses 4%.

Risk vs market

How risk vs market is measured

One year of daily returns (Oct 30 to Oct 30, 252 sessions). Beta = how much NWSA moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.

Low

Has moved mostly independently of the market, but its own price swings are 2.0× the S&P 500’s (it moves on its own news).

Beta vs S&P 500
0.18
Volatility
26% vs 13% SPY
Correlation SPY
0.09
Correlation QQQ
−0.06

Bull vs bear

Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.

Top bullish points 4 of 5

  1. Cash returnsFree cash flow grew 42% over the last 12 months vs the 12 months before.

  2. ValuationFree-cash-flow yield of 5.0% (price / FCF 20.1×): $811M of free cash in the last 12 months.

  3. Cash returnsShare count down 2.4% in a year: $641M of buybacks over 12 months.

  4. Balance sheetNet cash of $106M: cash and short-term investments exceed debt (Jun 30, 2026).

Top bearish points 5 of 5

  1. ValuationOur DCF fair value estimate is $24.43, 16% below the price.

  2. GrowthDiluted EPS fell 50% to $1.03 in FY2026.

  3. ProfitabilityReturn on equity is only 7% over the last 12 months.

  4. ValuationP/E of 28.4× vs a 20.9× median for the 169 Consumer Discretionary companies we cover.

  5. RiskReports earnings Nov 4 (consensus EPS $0.26): results can move the price sharply and reset Market Value.

Who’s talking about it

Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on News in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.

No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 1, 9:09 PM ET.

Compare with peers

Closest in size in Consumer Discretionary

All fundamentals

P/E 28.4 · FCF yield 5.0% · ROE 7%

Valuation

P/E
28.4×Consumer Discretionary median 20.9×
Price / FCF
20.1×
FCF yield
5.0%
EV / EBITDA
n/aD&A or debt not tagged in SEC data
Price / sales
1.80×
Price / book
1.91×
Market cap
$16.3Bprice × diluted shares
Enterprise value
$16.2B

Growth

Revenue, 12 months
$9.0B
Sales growth, 12 months
+6.8%vs the 12 months before
Sales growth, 3 yrs
+4.1%/yrfrom FY2023
Diluted EPS, 12 months
$1.03
EPS growth, last FY
−50.2%
Net income, 12 months
$573M
Net income growth
−51%12 months vs before

Profitability

Gross margin
n/agross profit isn't reported (common for service and financial companies)
Operating margin
n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Net margin
6.3%
FCF margin
9.0%
Return on equity
7%
Return on invested capital
n/aoperating income, debt, equity or cash not tagged

Balance sheet

Cash & short-term inv.
$2.1B
Total debt
$2.0B
Net cash
$106M
Debt / equity
0.23×
Interest coverage
n/ainterest expense not tagged in SEC data

Cash flow & returns

Free cash flow, 12 months
$811M
FCF growth, 12 months
+42%
Dividend yield
1.25%$204M paid
Payout ratio
36%
Buybacks, 12 months
$641M3.9% of market cap
Share count, 1 year
−2.4%diluted shares vs a year ago
Stock-based comp
$77M

Trailing 12 months to Jun 30, 2026; balance sheet at Jun 30, 2026. From News’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.

Valuation details

DCF $24.43 · MV $29.61 · FCF value $48.08

How

Market ValueAverage paid since the Aug 5 filing, 61 trading days
$29.61price −2%
Fair value estimateDCF: ten years of free cash flow per share, discounted
$24.4316% downside

Assumes 4.1% growth for 5 years (revenue grew 4.1% a year FY23–FY26), fading to 3%; 9.5% discount rate, 3% terminal growth. FCF base $1.45 a share (fiscal year to Jun 30, 2026), from the 10-K filed Aug 7, 2026. Net cash $106M, not added.

FCF valuePrice at a 4% yield on trailing free cash flow ($1.1B)
$48.08price −39%

Setup & signals

No setup armed

All setups

No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.

Momentum & 52-week range

RSI 43 · 5 days −5.3%
$29.12nowMV
52-wk low $22.40high $31.19
Off 52-wk high−6.6%
5 days−5.3%
vs 50-day avg−2.3%
vs 200-day avg+8.3%
RSI (14)43
Market cap$16B

The business

FCF $1.1B · Sales +11%
  • Free cash flow, 12 months$1.1B
  • Free-cash-flow yield6.6%
  • Free-cash-flow margin12%
  • Gross margin57%
  • Operating margin12%
  • Return on invested capital14%
  • Return on equity8%
  • Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+11%
  • Net debt / EBITDA0.6×

Next report

Nov 4

Calendar

  • DateWed Nov 4, after the close
  • Consensus EPS$0.26
  • Year-ago EPS$0.22
  • QuarterSep/2026

From Nasdaq’s earnings calendar. A report resets Market Value.

Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.

NWSA is outside our quality screen

One text when a published rule fires on one of the 333 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.

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