QualityDipStocks / Technology · Electrical Products
Sanmina SANM
Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 41% below its 52-week high.
Outside our quality screen, trading near our fair value estimate, 15% under its Market Value.
- Fair value est.
- $170.77+3%
- Market Value
- $193.92price −15%
- Off 52-wk high
- −41%
- Risk vs market
- Highbeta 2.59
4 bullish · 5 bearish See why
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $165.57
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$122.86−25.8%
- PriceFri Oct 30 close$165.57you are here
- Fair value est.base case$170.77+3.1%
- Market Valueavg paid since Jul 27$193.92+17.1%
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$282.72+70.8%
Fair value estimate
How the range is computed
Ten-year free-cash-flow DCF. Same 10-year free-cash-flow model as the base: discount rate 9.5% ±1 point and growth 3.0% ±2 points. Bear = 10.5% and 1.0%; bull = 8.5% and 5.0% (both fade to 3%). A model estimate from public filings, not a forecast of where the price will go.
Price sits inside the range.
What the price implies To be worth today’s price, SANM’s free cash flow would need to grow about 2% a year for five years; our estimate uses 3%.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 30 to Oct 30, 252 sessions). Beta = how much SANM moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Swings much more than the market, and its own price swings are 5.4× the S&P 500’s.
- Beta vs S&P 500
- 2.59
- Volatility
- 70% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- 0.48
- Correlation QQQ
- 0.55
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 4 of 5
GrowthSales grew 59% to $12.8B over the last 12 months vs the 12 months before (SEC filings).
Cash returnsFree cash flow grew 63% over the last 12 months vs the 12 months before.
ValuationFree-cash-flow yield of 6.5% (price / FCF 15.4×): $594M of free cash in the last 12 months.
ValuationTrades 14.6% below its Market Value of $193.92, the average price paid since the Jul 27 filing.
Top bearish points 5 of 5
ProfitabilityGross margin of 9.0%, below the 59% median for the 151 Technology companies we cover.
ProfitabilityOperating margin of 4.2%, below the 16% median for the 153 Technology companies we cover.
GrowthSales grew 0.9% a year over the last three fiscal years, below the 11% median for the 162 Technology companies we cover.
QualityDoesn’t pass our quality screen: no positive free cash flow.
RiskSwings hard: beta 2.59 vs the S&P 500 and 70% yearly volatility (SPY 13%).
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on Sanmina in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 1, 9:09 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in Electrical Products
All fundamentals
P/E 29.6 · FCF yield 6.5% · Sales +59%
Valuation
- P/E
- 29.6×Technology median 33.9×
- Price / FCF
- 15.4×
- FCF yield
- 6.5%
- EV / EBITDA
- n/aD&A or debt not tagged in SEC data
- Price / sales
- 0.72×
- Price / book
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Market cap
- $9.1Bprice × diluted shares
- Enterprise value
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- $12.8B
- Sales growth, 12 months
- +58.6%vs the 12 months before
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- +0.9%/yrfrom FY2022
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- $5.59
- EPS growth, last FY
- +14.1%
- Net income, 12 months
- $308M
- Net income growth
- +19%12 months vs before
Profitability
- Gross margin
- 9.0%
- Operating margin
- 4.2%
- Net margin
- 2.4%
- FCF margin
- 4.7%
- Return on equity
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Return on invested capital
- n/aoperating income, debt, equity or cash not tagged
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Total debt
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Net cash
- n/acash or debt not tagged in SEC data
- Debt / equity
- n/adebt or equity not tagged in SEC data
- Interest coverage
- 5.6×operating income / interest
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- $594M
- FCF growth, 12 months
- +63%
- Dividend yield
- 0%
- Payout ratio
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Buybacks, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Share count, 1 year
- +1.2%diluted shares vs a year ago
- Stock-based comp
- $89M
Trailing 12 months to Jun 27, 2026. From Sanmina’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
Valuation details
DCF $170.77 · MV $193.92
Assumes 3.0% growth for 5 years (revenue grew 0.9% a year FY22–FY25; floored at 3%), fading to 3%; 9.5% discount rate, 3% terminal growth. FCF base $10.78 a share (trailing 12 months to Jun 27, 2026), from the 10-Q filed Jul 27, 2026. Net debt $327M, not deducted.
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 37 · 5 days +6.3%
The business
FCF $-0.2B · Sales +70%
- Free cash flow, 12 months−$0.2B
- Free-cash-flow yield−2.4%
- Free-cash-flow margin−2%
- Gross margin9%
- Operating margin7%
- Return on invested capital23%
- Return on equity12%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+70%
- Net debt / EBITDA0.7×
Next report
Nov 9
- DateMon Nov 9, after the close
- Consensus EPS$2.89
- Year-ago EPS$1.40
- QuarterSep/2026
From Nasdaq’s earnings calendar. A report resets Market Value.
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.
SANM is outside our quality screen
One text when a published rule fires on one of the 333 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.