QualityDipStocks / Technology · Electrical Products
Jabil JBL
In a deep dip: 29% below its 52-week high.
A quality company trading well above our fair value estimate, 6% under its Market Value.
- Fair value est.
- $203.67−25%
- Market Value
- $290.34price −6%
- Off 52-wk high
- −29%
- Risk vs market
- Highbeta 2.20
5 bullish · 5 bearish See why
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $272.72
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$192.49−29.4%
- Fair value est.base case$203.67−25.3%
- PriceFri Oct 30 close$272.72you are here
- Market Valueavg paid since Sep 30$290.34+6.5%
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$385.63+41.4%
Fair value estimate
How the range is computed
Ten-year free-cash-flow DCF. Same 10-year free-cash-flow model as the base: discount rate 9.5% ±1 point and growth 3.0% ±2 points. Bear = 10.5% and 1.0%; bull = 8.5% and 5.0% (both fade to 3%). A model estimate from public filings, not a forecast of where the price will go.
Price is above even the bull case.
What the price implies To be worth today’s price, JBL’s free cash flow would need to grow about 8% a year for five years; our estimate uses 3%.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 30 to Oct 30, 252 sessions). Beta = how much JBL moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Swings much more than the market, and its own price swings are 3.7× the S&P 500’s.
- Beta vs S&P 500
- 2.20
- Volatility
- 47% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- 0.59
- Correlation QQQ
- 0.64
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 5 of 5
GrowthDiluted EPS grew 65% to $9.75 in FY2026.
ProfitabilityReturn on equity of 67% over the last 12 months.
ProfitabilityReturn on invested capital of 39%, above the 9.5% discount rate our DCF uses.
TechnicalA company that passes our quality screen, now 29% off its 52-week high (deep dip).
ValuationTrades 6.1% below its Market Value of $290.34, the average price paid since the Sep 30 filing.
Top bearish points 5 of 5
ValuationOur DCF fair value estimate is $203.67, 25% below the price.
ProfitabilityOperating margin narrowed to 4.7% in FY2026 from 7.0% in FY2024 (SEC filings).
ProfitabilityGross margin of 9.2%, below the 59% median for the 151 Technology companies we cover.
Balance sheetDebt is 2.1× shareholders’ equity.
RiskSwings hard: beta 2.20 vs the S&P 500 and 47% yearly volatility (SPY 13%).
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on Jabil in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 1, 9:09 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in Electrical Products
All fundamentals
P/E 28.0 · FCF yield 4.7% · ROE 67%
Valuation
- P/E
- 28.0×3-yr-end avg 25.2× · Technology median 33.9×
- Price / FCF
- 21.2×
- FCF yield
- 4.7%
- EV / EBITDA
- 12.9×
- Price / sales
- 0.81×
- Price / book
- 18.07×
- Market cap
- $29.2Bprice × diluted shares
- Enterprise value
- $30.8B
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- $36.0B
- Sales growth, 12 months
- +20.6%vs the 12 months before
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- +1.2%/yrfrom FY2023
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- $9.75
- EPS growth, last FY
- +64.7%
- Net income, 12 months
- $1.0B
- Net income growth
- +59%12 months vs before
Profitability
- Gross margin
- 9.2%
- Operating margin
- 4.7%
- Net margin
- 2.9%
- FCF margin
- 3.8%
- Return on equity
- 67%
- Return on invested capital
- 39%
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- $1.7B
- Total debt
- $3.4B
- Net cash
- −$1.6B
- Debt / equity
- 2.09×
- Interest coverage
- n/ainterest expense not tagged in SEC data
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- $1.4B
- FCF growth, 12 months
- +17%
- Dividend yield
- 0.12%$35M paid
- Payout ratio
- 3%
- Buybacks, 12 months
- $1.1B3.6% of market cap
- Share count, 1 year
- −2.6%diluted shares vs a year ago
- Stock-based comp
- $140M
Trailing 12 months to Aug 31, 2026; balance sheet at Aug 31, 2026. From Jabil’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
Valuation details
DCF $203.67 · MV $290.34 · FCF value $315.56
Assumes 3.0% growth for 5 years (revenue grew 1.2% a year FY23–FY26; floored at 3%), fading to 3%; 9.5% discount rate, 3% terminal growth. FCF base $12.85 a share (fiscal year to Aug 31, 2026), from the 10-K filed Oct 23, 2026. Net debt $1.6B, not deducted.
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. We watch it daily for our three reversal signal rules while it sits in a dip.
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 40 · 5 days −0.5%
The business
FCF $1.4B · Sales +29%
- Free cash flow, 12 months$1.4B
- Free-cash-flow yield4.6%
- Free-cash-flow margin4%
- Gross margin9%
- Operating margin5%
- Return on invested capital29%
- Return on equity73%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+29%
- Net debt / EBITDA1.0×
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.
Get a text when JBL fires a reversal signal
One text when a published rule fires on JBL or any of the 333 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.