QualityDipStocks / Consumer Discretionary · Consumer Electronics/Appliances
SharkNinja SN
Not in a dip: trading near its 52-week high.
A quality company trading above our fair value estimate, 15% over its Market Value.
- Fair value est.
- $175.40−16%
- Market Value
- $180.77price +15%
- Off 52-wk high
- −1%
- Risk vs market
- Above marketbeta 1.48
5 bullish · 5 bearish See why
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $208.00
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$84.57−59.3%
- Fair value est.base case$175.40−15.7%
- Market Valueavg paid since Aug 5$180.77−13.1%
- PriceFri Oct 30 close$208.00you are here
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$209.12+0.5%
Fair value estimate
How the range is computed
Ten-year free-cash-flow DCF. Same 10-year free-cash-flow model as the base: discount rate 9.5% ±1 point and growth 15.0% ±2 points. Bear = 10.5% and 13.0%; bull = 8.5% and 17.0% (both fade to 3%). A model estimate from public filings, not a forecast of where the price will go.
Price sits inside the range.
What the price implies To be worth today’s price, SN’s free cash flow would need to grow about 18% a year for five years; our estimate uses 15%.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 30 to Oct 30, 252 sessions). Beta = how much SN moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Swings more than the market, and its own price swings are 3.4× the S&P 500’s.
- Beta vs S&P 500
- 1.48
- Volatility
- 43% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- 0.44
- Correlation QQQ
- 0.33
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 5 of 5
GrowthDiluted EPS grew 59% to $4.94 in FY2025.
GrowthSales compounded 20% a year from FY2022 to FY2025.
ProfitabilityOperating margin widened to 14.4% in FY2025 from 8.8% in FY2023 (SEC filings).
ProfitabilityReturn on equity of 28% over the last 12 months, up 15 points in two years.
QualityPasses all four of our quality checks: cash generation, returns on capital, growth and balance sheet.
Top bearish points 5 of 5
ValuationOur DCF fair value estimate is $175.40, 16% below the price.
ValuationP/E of 42.3× is 31% above its own average of 32.2× at the last 3 fiscal year-ends.
ValuationP/E of 42.3× vs a 20.9× median for the 169 Consumer Discretionary companies we cover.
ValuationEV/EBITDA of 26.7×, above the 12.8× median for the 113 Consumer Discretionary companies we cover.
ValuationTrades 15.1% above its Market Value of $180.77, the average price paid since the Aug 5 filing.
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on SharkNinja in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 1, 9:09 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in Consumer Discretionary
All fundamentals
P/E 42.3 · FCF yield 2.7% · ROE 28%
Valuation
- P/E
- 42.3×3-yr-end avg 32.2× · Consumer Discretionary median 20.9×
- Price / FCF
- 36.6×
- FCF yield
- 2.7%
- EV / EBITDA
- 26.7×
- Price / sales
- 4.26×
- Price / book
- 10.35×
- Market cap
- $29.4Bprice × diluted shares
- Enterprise value
- $29.4B
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- $6.9B
- Sales growth, 12 months
- n/ano year-ago 12-month revenue
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- +19.8%/yrfrom FY2022
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- $4.90
- EPS growth, last FY
- +58.8%
- Net income, 12 months
- $695M
- Net income growth
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Profitability
- Gross margin
- 48.9%
- Operating margin
- 13.8%
- Net margin
- 10.1%
- FCF margin
- 11.6%
- Return on equity
- 28%
- Return on invested capital
- 27%
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- $780M
- Total debt
- $716M
- Net cash
- $63M
- Debt / equity
- 0.25×
- Interest coverage
- n/ainterest expense not tagged in SEC data
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- $805M
- FCF growth, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Dividend yield
- n/ano dividend payments tagged
- Payout ratio
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Buybacks, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Share count, 1 year
- −0.3%diluted shares vs a year ago
- Stock-based comp
- $99M
Trailing 12 months to Jun 30, 2026; balance sheet at Jun 30, 2026. From SharkNinja’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
Valuation details
DCF $175.40 · MV $180.77 · FCF value $139.25
Assumes 15.0% growth for 5 years (revenue grew 19.8% a year FY22–FY25; capped at 15%), fading to 3%; 9.5% discount rate, 3% terminal growth. FCF base $5.69 a share (trailing 12 months to Jun 30, 2026), from the 10-Q filed Aug 5, 2026. Net cash $63M, not added.
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only arm once a company is in a dip.
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 70 · 5 days +5.9%
The business
FCF $0.8B · Sales +22%
- Free cash flow, 12 months$0.8B
- Free-cash-flow yield2.7%
- Free-cash-flow margin11%
- Gross margin49%
- Operating margin14%
- Return on invested capital21%
- Return on equity27%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+22%
- Net debt / EBITDA0.1×
Next report
Nov 4
- DateWed Nov 4, before the open
- Consensus EPS$1.78
- Year-ago EPS$1.45
- QuarterSep/2026
From Nasdaq’s earnings calendar. A report resets Market Value.
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.
Get a text when SN fires a reversal signal
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