QualityDipStocks / Consumer Discretionary · Industrial machinery
Snap-On SNA
Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 15% below its 52-week high.
Outside our quality screen, trading near our fair value estimate.
- Fair value est.
- $324.62−9%
- Market Value
- $356.98at the price
- Off 52-wk high
- −15%
- Risk vs market
- Lowbeta 0.57
5 bullish · 4 bearish See why
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $355.66
- Fair value est.base case$324.62−8.7%
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$328.69−7.6%
- PriceFri Oct 30 close$355.66you are here
- Market Valueavg paid since Oct 22$356.98+0.4%
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$419.31+17.9%
Fair value estimate
How the range is computed
Ten-year free-cash-flow DCF. Same 10-year free-cash-flow model as the base: discount rate 9.5% ±1 point and growth 3.0% ±2 points. Bear = 10.5% and 1.0%; bull = 8.5% and 5.0% (both fade to 3%). A model estimate from public filings, not a forecast of where the price will go.
Price sits inside the range.
What the price implies To be worth today’s price, SNA’s free cash flow would need to grow about 5% a year for five years; our estimate uses 3%.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 30 to Oct 30, 252 sessions). Beta = how much SNA moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Moves much less than the market, but its own price swings are 1.5× the S&P 500’s (it moves on its own news).
- Beta vs S&P 500
- 0.57
- Volatility
- 19% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- 0.39
- Correlation QQQ
- 0.25
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 5 of 5
ValuationFree-cash-flow yield of 5.8% (price / FCF 17.4×): $1.1B of free cash in the last 12 months.
ProfitabilityReturn on invested capital of 18%, above the 9.5% discount rate our DCF uses.
Balance sheetNet cash of $465M: cash and short-term investments exceed debt (Oct 3, 2026).
ProfitabilityReturn on equity of 17% over the last 12 months.
Cash returnsDividend yield of 2.7% ($506M paid over 12 months, 50% of earnings).
Top bearish points 4 of 5
GrowthSales grew only 2.1% a year from FY2022 to FY2026.
GrowthSales grew 2.9% over the last 12 months, below the 7.0% median for the 175 Consumer Discretionary companies we cover.
GrowthDiluted EPS fell 1.6% in the last fiscal year, below the 4.8% median for the 158 Consumer Discretionary companies we cover.
QualityDoesn’t pass our quality screen: sales down vs the year-ago quarter.
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on Snap-On in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 1, 9:09 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in Industrial machinery
All fundamentals
P/E 18.4 · FCF yield 5.8% · ROE 17%
Valuation
- P/E
- 18.4×Consumer Discretionary median 20.9×
- Price / FCF
- 17.4×
- FCF yield
- 5.8%
- EV / EBITDA
- 13.1×
- Price / sales
- 3.54×
- Price / book
- 3.06×
- Market cap
- $18.6Bprice × diluted shares
- Enterprise value
- $18.2B
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- $5.3B
- Sales growth, 12 months
- +2.9%vs the 12 months before
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- +2.1%/yrfrom FY2022
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- $19.25
- EPS growth, last FY
- −1.6%
- Net income, 12 months
- $1.0B
- Net income growth
- −0%12 months vs before
Profitability
- Gross margin
- n/agross profit isn't reported (common for service and financial companies)
- Operating margin
- 24.9%
- Net margin
- 19.2%
- FCF margin
- 20.4%
- Return on equity
- 17%
- Return on invested capital
- 18%
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- $1.7B
- Total debt
- $1.2B
- Net cash
- $465M
- Debt / equity
- 0.20×
- Interest coverage
- 25.9×operating income / interest
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- $1.1B
- FCF growth, 12 months
- +5%
- Dividend yield
- 2.71%$506M paid
- Payout ratio
- 50%
- Buybacks, 12 months
- $359M1.9% of market cap
- Share count, 1 year
- −0.9%diluted shares vs a year ago
- Stock-based comp
- $31M
Trailing 12 months to Oct 3, 2026; balance sheet at Oct 3, 2026. From Snap-On’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
Valuation details
DCF $324.62 · MV $356.98 · FCF value $523.88
Assumes 3.0% growth for 5 years (revenue grew 2.1% a year FY22–FY26; floored at 3%), fading to 3%; 9.5% discount rate, 3% terminal growth. FCF base $20.49 a share (trailing 12 months to Oct 3, 2026), from the 10-Q filed Oct 22, 2026. Net cash $465M, not added.
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 37 · 5 days −0.4%
The business
FCF $1.1B · Sales −1%
- Free cash flow, 12 months$1.1B
- Free-cash-flow yield5.9%
- Free-cash-flow margin21%
- Gross margin52%
- Operating margin25%
- Return on invested capital18%
- Return on equity17%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)−1%
- Net debt / EBITDA−0.3×
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.
SNA is outside our quality screen
One text when a published rule fires on one of the 333 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.