QualityDipStocks / Industrials · Industrial machinery
SPX Technologies SPXC
Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 35% below its 52-week high.
Outside our quality screen, trading above our fair value estimate.
- Fair value est.
- $138.04−14%
- Market Value
- forming
- Off 52-wk high
- −35%
- Risk vs market
- Highbeta 1.76
4 bullish · 5 bearish See why
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $159.95
- Fair value est.base case$138.04−13.7%
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$159.95at the price
- PriceFri Oct 30 close$159.95you are here
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$246.41+54.1%
Fair value estimate
How the range is computed
Ten-year free-cash-flow DCF. Same 10-year free-cash-flow model as the base: discount rate 9.5% ±1 point and growth 15.0% ±2 points. Bear = 10.5% and 13.0%; bull = 8.5% and 17.0% (both fade to 3%). A model estimate from public filings, not a forecast of where the price will go.
Price sits inside the range.
What the price implies To be worth today’s price, SPXC’s free cash flow would need to grow about 18% a year for five years; our estimate uses 15%.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 30 to Oct 30, 252 sessions). Beta = how much SPXC moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Swings much more than the market, and its own price swings are 3.3× the S&P 500’s.
- Beta vs S&P 500
- 1.76
- Volatility
- 42% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- 0.54
- Correlation QQQ
- 0.53
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 4 of 5
GrowthSales grew 20% to $2.6B over the last 12 months vs the 12 months before (SEC filings).
GrowthSales compounded 16% a year from FY2022 to FY2025.
ProfitabilityOperating margin widened to 15.5% in FY2025 from 12.7% in FY2023 (SEC filings).
GrowthDiluted EPS grew 18% to $5.03 in FY2025.
Top bearish points 5 of 5
ValuationOur DCF fair value estimate is $138.04, 14% below the price.
Cash returnsShare count up 3.5% in a year: existing holders are being diluted.
ProfitabilityReturn on invested capital of 8.9%, below the 13% median for the 102 Industrials companies we cover.
ValuationFree-cash-flow yield of 2.8%, below the 3.5% median for the 144 Industrials companies we cover.
RiskSwings hard: beta 1.76 vs the S&P 500 and 42% yearly volatility (SPY 13%).
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on SPX Technologies in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 1, 9:09 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in Industrial machinery
All fundamentals
P/E 27.2 · FCF yield 2.8% · ROE 13%
Valuation
- P/E
- 27.2×Industrials median 27.5×
- Price / FCF
- 35.7×
- FCF yield
- 2.8%
- EV / EBITDA
- 16.7×
- Price / sales
- 3.12×
- Price / book
- 3.31×
- Market cap
- $8.1Bprice × diluted shares
- Enterprise value
- $9.3B
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- $2.6B
- Sales growth, 12 months
- +20.2%vs the 12 months before
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- +15.7%/yrfrom FY2022
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- $5.90
- EPS growth, last FY
- +18.1%
- Net income, 12 months
- $298M
- Net income growth
- +34%12 months vs before
Profitability
- Gross margin
- 39.9%
- Operating margin
- 16.1%
- Net margin
- 11.5%
- FCF margin
- 8.7%
- Return on equity
- 13%
- Return on invested capital
- 9%
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- $119M
- Total debt
- $1.3B
- Net cash
- −$1.2B
- Debt / equity
- 0.54×
- Interest coverage
- 11.5×operating income / interest
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- $227M
- FCF growth, 12 months
- −16%
- Dividend yield
- n/ano dividend payments tagged
- Payout ratio
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Buybacks, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Share count, 1 year
- +3.5%diluted shares vs a year ago
- Stock-based comp
- $17M
Trailing 12 months to Sep 26, 2026; balance sheet at Sep 26, 2026. From SPX Technologies’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
Valuation details
DCF $138.04 · FCF value $76.17
Assumes 15.0% growth for 5 years (revenue grew 15.7% a year FY22–FY25; capped at 15%), fading to 3%; 9.5% discount rate, 3% terminal growth. FCF base $4.47 a share (trailing 12 months to Sep 26, 2026), from the 10-Q filed Oct 30, 2026. Net cash $32M, not added.
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 36 · 5 days −0.2%
The business
FCF $0.2B · Sales +20%
- Free cash flow, 12 months$0.2B
- Free-cash-flow yield1.9%
- Free-cash-flow margin6%
- Gross margin40%
- Operating margin17%
- Return on invested capital10%
- Return on equity13%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+20%
- Net debt / EBITDA2.2×
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.
SPXC is outside our quality screen
One text when a published rule fires on one of the 333 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.