QualityDipStocks / Energy · Oil & Gas Production
Vista Energy S.A.B. de C.V. VIST
Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 16% below its 52-week high.
Outside our quality screen. No fair value estimate for now: its free cash flow is negative.
Worth knowing
- Operating margin 51%, top 3% of the 1288 we measure
- ROE 35% and more cash than debt
From the data on this page, as of the last close. How we pick these
- Fair value est.
- n/a
- Market Value
- —
- Off 52-wk high
- −16%
- Risk vs market
- Lowbeta −0.38
5 bullish · 5 bearish See why
Valuation
What we estimate it's worth, and how it ranks on value vs every stock we cover.
Fair value estimate
No estimate for VIST: negative free cash flow. We’d rather show nothing than a made-up number.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 31 to Nov 2, 252 sessions). Beta = how much VIST moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Has moved mostly independently of the market, but its own price swings are 3.4× the S&P 500’s (it moves on its own news).
- Beta vs S&P 500
- -0.38
- Volatility
- 44% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- −0.11
- Correlation QQQ
- −0.07
How it ranks
Where VIST stands vs every one of the 1,996 stocks we cover that has the number. Longer bar = better.
Top quarter on 3 of 5 measures
- Free cash flow yield−8.9% · free cash flow vs market capLowest 4%of 1,391
- Dividends + buybacks yield0.7% · cash paid out or used to retire shares, vs market capLowest 27%of 1,836
- Revenue growth, last 12 months+50% · vs the 12 months beforeTop 7%of 1,814
- Operating margin51% · of sales kept as operating profitTop 2%of 1,288
- Return on invested capital39% · profit per dollar of capitalTop 8%of 838
From SEC filings and our fair value estimate model. A ranking, not advice.
Valuation details
FCF value $174.00
Fundamentals
The business itself: sales, profits, cash and debt, from SEC filings.
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 5 of 5
GrowthSales grew 50% to $2.5B over the last 12 months vs the 12 months before (SEC filings).
GrowthSales compounded 28% a year from FY2022 to FY2025.
ProfitabilityOperating margin of 51% over the last 12 months.
GrowthDiluted EPS grew 45% to $6.71 in FY2025.
ValuationEV/EBITDA of 3.6×: modest for what the business earns before interest, tax and depreciation.
Top bearish points 5 of 5
ValuationFree cash flow is negative (−$659M over the last 12 months), so there’s no cash-flow value under the price.
ProfitabilityOperating margin narrowed to 50.6% in FY2025 from 54.0% in FY2023 (SEC filings).
ProfitabilityGross margin narrowed to 47.5% in FY2025 from 50.6% in FY2023 (SEC filings).
ValuationFree-cash-flow yield of −8.9%, below the 7.6% median for the 74 Energy companies we cover.
RiskCyclical business: one strong year of cash flow can make it look cheaper than it is.
All fundamentals
P/E 10.3 · FCF yield -8.9% · ROE 35%
Valuation
- P/E
- 10.3×Energy median 15.9×
- Price / FCF
- n/anegative free cash flow
- FCF yield
- −8.9%
- EV / EBITDA
- 3.6×
- Price / sales
- 2.99×
- Price / book
- 2.95×
- Market cap
- $7.4Blisted
- Enterprise value
- $7.2B
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- $2.5B
- Sales growth, 12 months
- +50.2%vs the 12 months before
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- +27.7%/yrfrom FY2022
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- $6.71
- EPS growth, last FY
- +44.8%
- Net income, 12 months
- $719M
- Net income growth
- +51%12 months vs before
Profitability
- Gross margin
- 47.5%
- Operating margin
- 50.6%
- Net margin
- 29.1%
- FCF margin
- −26.6%
- Return on equity
- 35%
- Return on invested capital
- 39%
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- $538M
- Total debt
- $350M
- Net cash
- $188M
- Debt / equity
- 0.14×
- Interest coverage
- 7.7×operating income / interest
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- −$659M
- FCF growth, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Dividend yield
- n/ano dividend payments tagged
- Payout ratio
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Buybacks, 12 months
- $50M0.7% of market cap
- Share count, 1 year
- n/ano quarterly diluted share count
- Stock-based comp
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Trailing 12 months to Dec 31, 2025; balance sheet at Dec 31, 2025. From Vista Energy S.A.B. de C.V.’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
The business
FCF $0.8B · Sales +83%
- Free cash flow, 12 months$0.8B
- Free-cash-flow yield-8.9%
- Free-cash-flow margin19%
- Gross margin82%
- Operating margin44%
- Return on invested capital22%
- Return on equity27%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+83%
- Net debt / EBITDA1.2×
Chart & levels
Where the price is vs its key levels and trends.
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $66.89
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$43.88−34.4%
- PriceMon Nov 2 close$66.89you are here
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$79.25+18.5%
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 41 · 5 days −8.3%
Signals
Reversal signal setups, the public ledger and the next earnings date.
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.
VIST is outside our quality screen
One text when a published rule fires on one of the 332 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.
Voices & buzz
Who is talking about it, and how it compares with peers.
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on Vista Energy S.A.B. de C.V. in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 3, 1:01 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in Oil & Gas Production
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.