QualityDipStocks / Consumer Staples · Food Chains
Weis Markets WMK
Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 8% below its 52-week high.
Outside our quality screen, 4% over its Market Value. No fair value estimate for now: a capital-spending surge is squeezing its free cash flow.
- Fair value est.
- n/a
- Market Value
- $73.01price +4%
- Off 52-wk high
- −8%
- Risk vs market
- Lowbeta −0.12
52-week range 67% of the way from its 52-week low to its high
Price $75.77Market Value $73.01
4 bullish · 5 bearish See why
Repriced or dip?
Near its high
The price is 8% below its 52-week high (Jun 12), but the business held up: free cash flow +62.4%, revenue growth rate +0.5 pts, operating margin −0.1 pts.
Some numbers held up (free cash flow +62.4%, revenue growth rate +0.5 pts, operating margin −0.1 pts), others slipped. The price is 8% below its 52-week high.
The price is 8% below its 52-week high, and the business changed too.
Within 10% of its 52-week high, so there is no dip to judge yet.
Data-based read, not advice.
Priced in
How much growth the market assumed at the 52-week high, the low and today (a reverse DCF).
At the high ($82.63, Jun 12) the price assumed about 34%/yr free-cash-flow growth; today about 24%. The last 3 years delivered −63%/yr (free cash flow).
Dashed line: what the last 3 years delivered, −63%/yr (free cash flow)
| High | Low | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price | $82.63Jun 12 | $61.60Mar 10 | $75.77 |
| Implied growth | +34% | over 80% | +24% |
| P/E | 20.0× | 15.3× | 19.1× |
| P/FCF | 84.9× | 718.7× | 48.6× |
What this means: the higher the implied growth, the more the price already counts on. If today's number sits well below what the business has delivered, the market expects less than its track record.
How it’s computed
Reverse DCF: the same 10-year free-cash-flow model as our fair value estimate (9.5% discount rate, growth for years 1–5 fading to 3% by year 10, 3% after), solved for the growth that makes it equal the market value at each price. For the high and the low we use only the filings that were public on that day, so nothing from a later report leaks back. Market value = that close × diluted shares. P/E = market value / 12-month net income; Price / FCF = market value / 12-month free cash flow; EV / Sales = (market value + debt − cash) / 12-month revenue. Hidden when the share count moved over 20% (split, merger), free cash flow is negative, or the company reports in another currency.
Valuation
What we estimate it's worth, and how it ranks on value vs every stock we cover.
Fair value estimate
Estimate unreliable for WMK: free cash flow is squeezed by a capital-spending surge (capex is 84% of operating cash flow over the last 12 months, vs 56% in FY2022), so a DCF on today's free cash flow would understate the business. We’d rather show nothing than a made-up number.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 31 to Nov 2, 252 sessions). Beta = how much WMK moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Has moved mostly independently of the market, but its own price swings are 2.1× the S&P 500’s (it moves on its own news).
- Beta vs S&P 500
- -0.12
- Volatility
- 26% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- −0.06
- Correlation QQQ
- −0.15
How it ranks
Where WMK stands vs every one of the 2,467 stocks we cover that has the number. Longer bar = better.
Not in the top quarter on any of these 4 measures
- Free cash flow yield2.1% · free cash flow vs market capLowest 30%of 1,690
- Dividends + buybacks yield1.8% · cash paid out or used to retire shares, vs market capLowest 40%of 2,227
- Revenue growth, last 12 months+4.7% · vs the 12 months beforeLowest 29%of 2,184
- Operating margin2.5% · of sales kept as operating profitLowest 21%of 1,549
From SEC filings and our fair value estimate model. A ranking, not advice.
Valuation details
MV $73.01
Fundamentals
The business itself: sales, profits, cash and debt, from SEC filings.
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 4 of 5
Cash returnsShare count down 6.1% in a year.
Balance sheetOperating income covers interest 2432× over.
ValuationPrice / book of 1.4×, below the 2.3× median for the 68 Consumer Staples companies we cover.
GrowthSales grew 4.7% over the last 12 months, above the 2.3% median for the 73 Consumer Staples companies we cover.
Top bearish points 5 of 5
ProfitabilityReturn on equity is only 7% over the last 12 months.
GrowthSales grew only 1.7% a year from FY2022 to FY2025.
ValuationPrice / free cash flow of 49×: a rich price for the cash it generates today.
QualityDoesn’t pass our quality screen: ROE under 12% and ROIC under 10%.
RiskReports earnings Nov 3: results can move the price sharply and reset Market Value.
All fundamentals
P/E 19.1 · FCF yield 2.1% · ROE 7%
Valuation
- P/E
- 19.1×Consumer Staples median 21.1×
- Price / FCF
- 48.6×
- FCF yield
- 2.1%
- EV / EBITDA
- n/aD&A or debt not tagged in SEC data
- Price / sales
- 0.37×
- Price / book
- 1.37×
- Market cap
- $1.9Blisted
- Enterprise value
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- $5.1B
- Sales growth, 12 months
- +4.7%vs the 12 months before
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- +1.7%/yrfrom FY2022
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- $4.01
- EPS growth, last FY
- −7.4%
- Net income, 12 months
- $100M
- Net income growth
- −3%12 months vs before
Profitability
- Gross margin
- 25.5%
- Operating margin
- 2.5%
- Net margin
- 2.0%
- FCF margin
- 0.8%
- Return on equity
- 7%
- Return on invested capital
- n/aoperating income, debt, equity or cash not tagged
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- $208M
- Total debt
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Net cash
- n/acash or debt not tagged in SEC data
- Debt / equity
- n/adebt or equity not tagged in SEC data
- Interest coverage
- 2431.8×operating income / interest
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- $39M
- FCF growth, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Dividend yield
- 1.77%$34M paid
- Payout ratio
- 34%
- Buybacks, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Share count, 1 year
- −6.1%diluted shares vs a year ago
- Stock-based comp
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Trailing 12 months to Jun 27, 2026; balance sheet at Jun 27, 2026. From Weis Markets’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
The business
FCF $0.0B · Sales +5%
- Free cash flow, 12 months$0.0B
- Free-cash-flow yield2.1%
- Free-cash-flow margin0%
- Gross margin26%
- Operating margin2%
- Return on invested capital7%
- Return on equity7%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+5%
- Net debt / EBITDA−0.1×
Chart & levels
Where the price is vs its key levels and trends.
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $75.77
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$61.60−18.7%
- Market Valueavg paid since Aug 4$73.01−3.6%
- PriceMon Nov 2 close$75.77you are here
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$82.63+9.1%
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 54 · 5 days −2.4%
Signals
Reversal signal setups, the public ledger and the next earnings date.
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.
Next report
Nov 3
- DateTue Nov 3
- Year-ago EPS$0.74
- QuarterSep/2026
From Nasdaq’s earnings calendar. A report resets Market Value.
WMK is outside our quality screen
One text when a published rule fires on one of the 332 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.
Voices & buzz
Who is talking about it, and how it compares with peers.
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on Weis Markets in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 3, 5:14 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in Food Chains
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.