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WPM

Wheaton Precious Metals WPM

Basic Materials · Precious Metals
$116.58−5.42% dayFri Oct 30 close

Deep dip with a setup armed: a close above $118.26 triggers it. 30% below its 52-week high.

A quality company. No fair value estimate for now: the model doesn’t fit.

Setup armedDeep dipReports Nov 5
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Fair value est.
n/a
Market Value
—
Off 52-wk high
−30%
Risk vs market
Highbeta 1.96

5 bullish · 5 bearish See why

$100$120$140$160Jan ’26AprJulOctTrigger $118.26Stop $113.81
TriggerStopDrag across the chart to see any day

Key levels

Every level vs today’s $116.58

  1. 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$94.37−19.1%
  2. Stopreference, not an order$113.81−2.4%
  3. PriceFri Oct 30 close$116.58you are here
  4. Triggerclose above fires the setup$118.26+1.4%
  5. 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$165.72+42.2%

Fair value estimate

No estimate for WPM: Streaming company: its spending is stream purchases (mineral interests), which can't be separated from acquisitions for a cash-flow DCF. We’d rather show nothing than a made-up number.

Risk vs market

How risk vs market is measured

One year of daily returns (Oct 30 to Oct 30, 252 sessions). Beta = how much WPM moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.

High

Swings much more than the market, and its own price swings are 3.9× the S&P 500’s.

Beta vs S&P 500
1.96
Volatility
51% vs 13% SPY
Correlation SPY
0.50
Correlation QQQ
0.46

Bull vs bear

Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.

Top bullish points 5 of 5

  1. GrowthSales grew 80% to $2.3B over the last 12 months vs the 12 months before (SEC filings).

  2. GrowthDiluted EPS grew 178% to $3.24 in FY2025.

  3. ProfitabilityGross margin widened to 72.2% in FY2025 from 56.4% in FY2023 (SEC filings).

  4. ProfitabilityOperating margin widened to 68.3% in FY2025 from 49.7% in FY2023 (SEC filings).

  5. SetupA capitulation-reversal setup is armed: a close above $118.26 triggers it, with a reference stop at $113.81.

Top bearish points 5 of 5

  1. ValuationP/E of 38.1× vs a 20.5× median for the 19 Basic Materials companies we cover.

  2. Cash returnsDividend yield of 0.5%, below the 1.2% median for the 17 Basic Materials companies we cover.

  3. ValuationPrice / book of 6.4×, above the 3.8× median for the 19 Basic Materials companies we cover.

  4. RiskCyclical business: one strong year of cash flow can make it look cheaper than it is.

  5. RiskReports earnings Nov 5 (consensus EPS $0.93): results can move the price sharply and reset Market Value.

Who’s talking about it

Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on Wheaton Precious Metals in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.

No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 1, 9:09 PM ET.

Compare with peers

Closest in size in Precious Metals

All fundamentals

P/E 38.1 · ROE 18% · Sales +80%

Valuation

P/E
38.1×Basic Materials median 20.5×
Price / FCF
n/anot reported in its SEC filings
FCF yield
n/anot reported in its SEC filings
EV / EBITDA
n/aD&A or debt not tagged in SEC data
Price / sales
24.19×
Price / book
6.44×
Market cap
$56.0Blisted
Enterprise value
n/anot reported in its SEC filings

Growth

Revenue, 12 months
$2.3B
Sales growth, 12 months
+80.2%vs the 12 months before
Sales growth, 3 yrs
+29.5%/yrfrom FY2022
Diluted EPS, 12 months
$3.24
EPS growth, last FY
+177.9%
Net income, 12 months
$1.5B
Net income growth
+178%12 months vs before

Profitability

Gross margin
72.2%
Operating margin
68.3%
Net margin
63.6%
FCF margin
n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Return on equity
18%
Return on invested capital
n/aoperating income, debt, equity or cash not tagged

Balance sheet

Cash & short-term inv.
$1.2B
Total debt
n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Net cash
n/acash or debt not tagged in SEC data
Debt / equity
n/adebt or equity not tagged in SEC data
Interest coverage
274.6×operating income / interest

Cash flow & returns

Free cash flow, 12 months
n/anot reported in its SEC filings
FCF growth, 12 months
n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Dividend yield
0.53%$296M paid
Payout ratio
20%
Buybacks, 12 months
n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Share count, 1 year
n/ano quarterly diluted share count
Stock-based comp
n/anot reported in its SEC filings

Trailing 12 months to Dec 31, 2025; balance sheet at Dec 31, 2025. From Wheaton Precious Metals’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.

Valuation details

How

Market ValueNo thesis-changing filing in the window we track
—
Fair value estimaten/a — Streaming company: its spending is stream purchases (mineral interests), which can't be separated from acquisitions for a cash-flow DCF
n/a
FCF valueTrailing free cash flow is negative
n/a

Setup & signals

Armed · trigger $118.26

All setups

TriggerFires on a close above this
$118.26+1.4% from here
StopUnder the Oct 30 panic low
$113.81−2.4% from here
Risk if it triggersTrigger to stop
−3.8%

Momentum & 52-week range

RSI 31 · 5 days −3.6%
$116.58now
52-wk low $94.37high $165.72
Off 52-wk high−29.7%
5 days−3.6%
vs 50-day avg−17.8%
vs 200-day avg−12.9%
RSI (14)31
Market cap$56B

The business

FCF $-2.9B · Sales +85%
  • Free cash flow, 12 months−$2.9B
  • Free-cash-flow yield−5.2%
  • Free-cash-flow margin−92%
  • Gross margin75%
  • Operating margin73%
  • Return on invested capital16%
  • Return on equity24%
  • Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+85%
  • Net debt / EBITDA0.7×

Next report

Nov 5

Calendar

  • DateThu Nov 5, after the close
  • Consensus EPS$0.93
  • Year-ago EPS$0.62
  • QuarterSep/2026

From Nasdaq’s earnings calendar. A report resets Market Value.

Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.

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