QualityDipStocks / Consumer Discretionary · Diversified Commercial Services
AerCap AER
Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 1% below its 52-week high.
Outside our quality screen. No fair value estimate for now: there isn’t enough data.
- Fair value est.
- n/a
- Market Value
- —
- Off 52-wk high
- −1%
- Risk vs market
- Market-likebeta 0.94
4 bullish · 4 bearish See why
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $158.52
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$130.24−17.8%
- PriceFri Oct 30 close$158.52you are here
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$159.71+0.8%
Fair value estimate
No estimate for AER: Capital spending isn't tagged for the latest period in SEC XBRL data. We’d rather show nothing than a made-up number.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 30 to Oct 30, 252 sessions). Beta = how much AER moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Moves about in line with the market, and its own price swings are 2.0× the S&P 500’s.
- Beta vs S&P 500
- 0.94
- Volatility
- 26% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- 0.47
- Correlation QQQ
- 0.37
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 4 of 5
GrowthDiluted EPS grew 97% to $21.30 in FY2025.
ValuationP/E of 6.6× vs a 20.9× median for the 169 Consumer Discretionary companies we cover.
ProfitabilityReturn on equity of 21% over the last 12 months.
ValuationPrice / book of 1.3×, below the 4.9× median for the 151 Consumer Discretionary companies we cover.
Top bearish points 4 of 5
Balance sheetNet debt of $42.2B, 171% of the market cap (Dec 31, 2025).
Balance sheetDebt is 2.4× shareholders’ equity.
Cash returnsDividend yield of 0.8%, below the 1.7% median for the 114 Consumer Discretionary companies we cover.
QualityDoesn’t pass our quality screen: net debt 6.9× EBITDA (limit 3×).
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on AerCap in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 1, 9:09 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in Diversified Commercial Services
All fundamentals
P/E 6.6 · ROE 21% · Sales +7%
Valuation
- P/E
- 6.6×Consumer Discretionary median 20.9×
- Price / FCF
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- FCF yield
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- EV / EBITDA
- n/aD&A or debt not tagged in SEC data
- Price / sales
- 2.90×
- Price / book
- 1.35×
- Market cap
- $24.7Blisted
- Enterprise value
- $66.9B
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- $8.5B
- Sales growth, 12 months
- +6.5%vs the 12 months before
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- +6.7%/yrfrom FY2022
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- $21.30
- EPS growth, last FY
- +97.4%
- Net income, 12 months
- $3.8B
- Net income growth
- +79%12 months vs before
Profitability
- Gross margin
- n/agross profit isn't reported (common for service and financial companies)
- Operating margin
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Net margin
- 44.0%
- FCF margin
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Return on equity
- 21%
- Return on invested capital
- n/aoperating income, debt, equity or cash not tagged
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- $1.4B
- Total debt
- $43.6B
- Net cash
- −$42.2B
- Debt / equity
- 2.38×
- Interest coverage
- n/ainterest expense not tagged in SEC data
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- FCF growth, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Dividend yield
- 0.78%$192M paid
- Payout ratio
- 5%
- Buybacks, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Share count, 1 year
- n/ano quarterly diluted share count
- Stock-based comp
- $166M
Trailing 12 months to Dec 31, 2025; balance sheet at Dec 31, 2025. From AerCap’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
Valuation details
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 71 · 5 days +8.6%
The business
FCF $-0.7B · Sales +5%
- Free cash flow, 12 months−$0.7B
- Free-cash-flow yield−3.0%
- Free-cash-flow margin−8%
- Gross margin42%
- Operating margin37%
- Return on invested capital4%
- Return on equity17%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+5%
- Net debt / EBITDA6.9×
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.
AER is outside our quality screen
One text when a published rule fires on one of the 333 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.