QualityDipStocks / Industrials · Ordnance And Accessories
Axon Enterprise AXON
Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 42% below its 52-week high.
Outside our quality screen. No fair value estimate for now: the model’s result is too extreme to stand behind.
- Fair value est.
- n/a
- Market Value
- $418.81price +2%
- Off 52-wk high
- −42%
- Risk vs market
- Highbeta 1.53
3 bullish · 5 bearish See why
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $427.77
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$345.94−19.1%
- Market Valueavg paid since Sep 21$418.81−2.1%
- PriceFri Oct 30 close$427.77you are here
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$738.88+72.7%
Fair value estimate
Estimate unreliable for AXON: the model gives 88% below the price; trailing free cash flow is small next to the company's value, so a DCF on it says little. We’d rather show nothing than a made-up number.
What the price implies To be worth today’s price, AXON’s free cash flow would need to grow about 59% a year for five years; our estimate uses 15%.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 30 to Oct 30, 252 sessions). Beta = how much AXON moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Swings much more than the market, and its own price swings are 4.8× the S&P 500’s.
- Beta vs S&P 500
- 1.53
- Volatility
- 62% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- 0.32
- Correlation QQQ
- 0.25
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 3 of 5
GrowthSales compounded 33% a year from FY2022 to FY2025.
GrowthSales grew 35% to $3.2B over the last 12 months vs the 12 months before (SEC filings).
ProfitabilityGross margin of 59%, above the 35% median for the 114 Industrials companies we cover.
Top bearish points 5 of 5
ProfitabilityOperating margin narrowed to −2.2% in FY2025 from 10.1% in FY2023 (SEC filings).
Balance sheetOperating income covers interest only 0.2× over the last 12 months.
GrowthDiluted EPS fell 69% to $1.51 in FY2025.
ValuationP/E of 177.2× vs a 27.5× median for the 130 Industrials companies we cover.
QualityDoesn’t pass our quality screen: ROE under 12% and ROIC under 10%; net debt 3.0× EBITDA (limit 3×).
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on Axon Enterprise in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 1, 9:09 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in Industrials
All fundamentals
P/E 177.2 · FCF yield 0.4% · ROE 6%
Valuation
- P/E
- 177.2×Industrials median 27.5×
- Price / FCF
- 265.1×
- FCF yield
- 0.4%
- EV / EBITDA
- n/an/m: EBITDA near zero
- Price / sales
- 10.97×
- Price / book
- 9.61×
- Market cap
- $35.3Bprice × diluted shares
- Enterprise value
- $36.4B
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- $3.2B
- Sales growth, 12 months
- +34.6%vs the 12 months before
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- +32.8%/yrfrom FY2022
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- $2.40
- EPS growth, last FY
- −68.5%
- Net income, 12 months
- $199M
- Net income growth
- −39%12 months vs before
Profitability
- Gross margin
- 59.4%
- Operating margin
- 0.7%
- Net margin
- 6.2%
- FCF margin
- 4.1%
- Return on equity
- 6%
- Return on invested capital
- 1%
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- $673M
- Total debt
- $1.7B
- Net cash
- −$1.1B
- Debt / equity
- 0.47×
- Interest coverage
- 0.2×operating income / interest
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- $133M
- FCF growth, 12 months
- −25%
- Dividend yield
- 0%
- Payout ratio
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Buybacks, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Share count, 1 year
- +0.6%diluted shares vs a year ago
- Stock-based comp
- $633M
Trailing 12 months to Jun 30, 2026; balance sheet at Jun 30, 2026. From Axon Enterprise’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
Valuation details
MV $418.81 · FCF value $39.05
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 49 · 5 days +1.8%
The business
FCF $0.1B · Sales +35%
- Free cash flow, 12 months$0.1B
- Free-cash-flow yield0.4%
- Free-cash-flow margin4%
- Gross margin59%
- Operating margin1%
- Return on invested capital0%
- Return on equity6%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+35%
- Net debt / EBITDA3.0×
Next report
Nov 5
- DateThu Nov 5, after the close
- Consensus EPS$0.44
- Year-ago EPS($0.23)
- QuarterSep/2026
From Nasdaq’s earnings calendar. A report resets Market Value.
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.
AXON is outside our quality screen
One text when a published rule fires on one of the 333 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.