QualityDipStocks / Consumer Discretionary · Manufacturing
Brady BRC
Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 13% below its 52-week high.
Outside our quality screen, trading near our fair value estimate.
- Fair value est.
- $83.04−2%
- Market Value
- $82.80price +3%
- Off 52-wk high
- −13%
- Risk vs market
- Lowbeta 0.44
5 bullish · 3 bearish See why
Repriced or dip?
Dip: business intact
The price is 13% below its 52-week high (Aug 6), but the business held up: net cash (cash minus debt) +0.6% of market cap since the high, shares outstanding fewer shares, each owns more, free cash flow +6.2%.
Some numbers held up (net cash (cash minus debt) +0.6% of market cap since the high, shares outstanding fewer shares, each owns more, free cash flow +6.2%), others slipped. The price is 13% below its 52-week high.
The price is 13% below its 52-week high, and the business changed too.
Within 10% of its 52-week high, so there is no dip to judge yet.
The evidence 10 numbers, high vs now
- Revenue, last 12 months$1.6B → $1.7B (+2.4%)held up
- Revenue growth rate+11.1% → +9.8% a year (−1.3 pts)about the same
- Earnings per share, 12 months$4.38 → $4.30 (−1.9%)about the same
- Free cash flow, 12 months$181M → $193M (+6.2%)held up
- Operating margin16.2% → 15.9% (−0.3 pts)held up
- Shares outstanding−0.1% (fewer shares, each owns more)held up
- Net cash (cash minus debt)+0.6% of market cap since the highheld up
- Stock vs its sector (Consumer Discretionary)stock −13%, sector median −1% since Aug 6about the same
- Price fall vs business numbersprice −13%, revenue/EPS/FCF median +2% (shown, not scored)
- Valuation multipleP/FCF 25.9× at the high → 21.1× now (shown, not scored)
Business numbers as reported at the high (12 months to Apr 30, 2026) vs the latest filing (12 months to Jul 31, 2026). Each measure is scored from −1 (business changed) to +1 (business intact) and weighted: revenue, earnings per share, free cash flow, operating margin, revenue growth rate, share count, net cash and the move vs its sector. 60 or more reads as a dip, 40 or less as a repricing. Analyst estimates are not in our data, so they are not used. How to read it
Data-based read, not advice.
Priced in
How much growth the market assumed at the 52-week high, the low and today (a reverse DCF).
At the high ($98.24, Aug 6) the price assumed about 12%/yr free-cash-flow growth; at the low ($70.96, May 15) about 7%; today about 8%. The last 3 years delivered 0%/yr (free cash flow).
Dashed line: what the last 3 years delivered, 0%/yr (free cash flow)
| High | Low | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price | $98.24Aug 6 | $70.96May 15 | $85.03 |
| Implied growth | +12% | +7% | +8% |
| P/E | 22.4× | 16.6× | 19.8× |
| P/FCF | 25.9× | 20.0× | 21.1× |
| EV/Sales | 2.8× | 2.1× | 2.3× |
What this means: the higher the implied growth, the more the price already counts on. If today's number sits well below what the business has delivered, the market expects less than its track record.
How it’s computed
Reverse DCF: the same 10-year free-cash-flow model as our fair value estimate (9.5% discount rate, growth for years 1–5 fading to 3% by year 10, 3% after), solved for the growth that makes it equal the market value at each price. For the high and the low we use only the filings that were public on that day, so nothing from a later report leaks back. Market value = that close × diluted shares. P/E = market value / 12-month net income; Price / FCF = market value / 12-month free cash flow; EV / Sales = (market value + debt − cash) / 12-month revenue. Hidden when the share count moved over 20% (split, merger), free cash flow is negative, or the company reports in another currency.
Valuation
What we estimate it's worth, and how it ranks on value vs every stock we cover.
Fair value estimate
How the range is computed
Ten-year free-cash-flow DCF. Same 10-year free-cash-flow model as the base: discount rate 9.5% ±1 point and growth 7.7% ±2 points. Bear = 10.5% and 5.7%; bull = 8.5% and 9.7% (both fade to 3%). A model estimate from public filings, not a forecast of where the price will go.
Price sits inside the range.
What the price implies To be worth today’s price, BRC’s free cash flow would need to grow about 8% a year for five years; our estimate uses 8%.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 31 to Nov 2, 252 sessions). Beta = how much BRC moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Moves much less than the market, but its own price swings are 2.6× the S&P 500’s (it moves on its own news).
- Beta vs S&P 500
- 0.44
- Volatility
- 33% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- 0.17
- Correlation QQQ
- 0.06
How it ranks
Where BRC stands vs every one of the 1,996 stocks we cover that has the number. Longer bar = better.
Not in the top quarter on any of these 6 measures
- Discount to fair value estimate2% · price above our base caseTop 46%of 1,314
- Free cash flow yield4.7% · free cash flow vs market capTop 43%of 1,391
- Dividends + buybacks yield2.2% · cash paid out or used to retire shares, vs market capLowest 43%of 1,836
- Revenue growth, last 12 months+9.8% · vs the 12 months beforeTop 49%of 1,814
- Operating margin16% · of sales kept as operating profitTop 38%of 1,288
- Return on invested capital18% · profit per dollar of capitalTop 27%of 838
From SEC filings and our fair value estimate model. A ranking, not advice.
Valuation details
DCF $83.04 · MV $82.80 · FCF value $90.34
Assumes 7.7% growth for 5 years (revenue grew 7.7% a year FY23–FY26), fading to 3%; 9.5% discount rate, 3% terminal growth. FCF base $4.03 a share (fiscal year to Jul 31, 2026), from the 10-K filed Sep 3, 2026. Net cash $172M, not added.
Fundamentals
The business itself: sales, profits, cash and debt, from SEC filings.
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 5 of 5
Balance sheetNet cash of $172M: cash and short-term investments exceed debt (Jul 31, 2026).
ValuationFree-cash-flow yield of 4.7% (price / FCF 21.1×): $193M of free cash in the last 12 months.
ProfitabilityReturn on invested capital of 18%, above the 9.5% discount rate our DCF uses.
Cash returnsFree cash flow grew 25% over the last 12 months vs the 12 months before.
ProfitabilityReturn on equity of 16% over the last 12 months.
Top bearish points 3 of 5
ProfitabilityOperating margin narrowed to 15.9% in FY2026 from 18.1% in FY2024 (SEC filings).
ValuationEV/EBITDA of 12.6×, above the 12.3× median for the 230 Consumer Discretionary companies we cover.
RiskReports earnings Nov 16: results can move the price sharply and reset Market Value.
All fundamentals
P/E 19.8 · FCF yield 4.7% · ROE 16%
Valuation
- P/E
- 19.8×Consumer Discretionary median 20.7×
- Price / FCF
- 21.1×
- FCF yield
- 4.7%
- EV / EBITDA
- 12.6×
- Price / sales
- 2.44×
- Price / book
- 2.99×
- Market cap
- $4.1Bprice × diluted shares
- Enterprise value
- $3.9B
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- $1.7B
- Sales growth, 12 months
- +9.8%vs the 12 months before
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- +7.7%/yrfrom FY2023
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- EPS growth, last FY
- n/afewer than two years of diluted EPS
- Net income, 12 months
- $205M
- Net income growth
- +9%12 months vs before
Profitability
- Gross margin
- 51.7%
- Operating margin
- 15.9%
- Net margin
- 12.4%
- FCF margin
- 11.6%
- Return on equity
- 16%
- Return on invested capital
- 18%
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- $187M
- Total debt
- $15M
- Net cash
- $172M
- Debt / equity
- 0.01×
- Interest coverage
- 27.2×operating income / interest
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- $193M
- FCF growth, 12 months
- +25%
- Dividend yield
- 1.14%$46M paid
- Payout ratio
- 22%
- Buybacks, 12 months
- $42M1.0% of market cap
- Share count, 1 year
- −0.5%diluted shares vs a year ago
- Stock-based comp
- $23M
Trailing 12 months to Jul 31, 2026; balance sheet at Jul 31, 2026. From Brady’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
The business
FCF $0.2B · Sales +10%
- Free cash flow, 12 months$0.2B
- Free-cash-flow yield4.7%
- Free-cash-flow margin10%
- Gross margin52%
- Operating margin20%
- Return on invested capital22%
- Return on equity16%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+10%
- Net debt / EBITDA−0.3×
Chart & levels
Where the price is vs its key levels and trends.
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $85.03
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$70.96−16.5%
- Market Valueavg paid since Oct 16$82.80−2.6%
- Fair value est.base case$83.04−2.3%
- PriceMon Nov 2 close$85.03you are here
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$98.24+15.5%
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 55 · 5 days +3.7%
Signals
Reversal signal setups, the public ledger and the next earnings date.
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.
Next report
Nov 16
- DateMon Nov 16
- Year-ago EPS$1.21
- QuarterOct/2026
From Nasdaq’s earnings calendar. A report resets Market Value.
BRC is outside our quality screen
One text when a published rule fires on one of the 332 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.
Voices & buzz
Who is talking about it, and how it compares with peers.
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on Brady in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 3, 1:01 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in Consumer Discretionary
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.