QualityDipStocks / Consumer Discretionary · Entertainment & recreation
Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading under the Legal Name to begin at the market open on July 21 2025. BRSL
Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 41% below its 52-week high.
Outside our quality screen. No fair value estimate for now: its free cash flow is negative.
Worth knowing
- Lowest price in 5 years of weekly closes
From the data on this page, as of the last close. How we pick these
- Fair value est.
- n/a
- Market Value
- —
- Off 52-wk high
- −41%
- Risk vs market
- Below marketbeta 0.79
52-week range 10% of the way from its 52-week low to its high
Price $10.03
3 bullish · 5 bearish See why
Priced in
How much growth the market assumed at the 52-week high, the low and today (a reverse DCF).
52-wk low: P/E 12.4×; now: P/E 12.9×.
| Low | Now | |
|---|---|---|
| Price | $9.23Oct 21 | $10.03 |
| Implied growth | n/a | n/a |
| P/E | 12.4× | 12.9× |
| EV/Sales | 1.8× | 1.8× |
What this means: a lower P/E than at the high means you pay less for each dollar of profit than buyers did then.
How it’s computed
Reverse DCF: the same 10-year free-cash-flow model as our fair value estimate (9.5% discount rate, growth for years 1–5 fading to 3% by year 10, 3% after), solved for the growth that makes it equal the market value at each price. For the high and the low we use only the filings that were public on that day, so nothing from a later report leaks back. Market value = that close × diluted shares. P/E = market value / 12-month net income; Price / FCF = market value / 12-month free cash flow; EV / Sales = (market value + debt − cash) / 12-month revenue. Hidden when the share count moved over 20% (split, merger), free cash flow is negative, or the company reports in another currency.
Valuation
What we estimate it's worth, and how it ranks on value vs every stock we cover.
Fair value estimate
No estimate for BRSL: negative free cash flow. We’d rather show nothing than a made-up number.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 31 to Nov 2, 252 sessions). Beta = how much BRSL moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Moves a bit less than the market, but its own price swings are 2.6× the S&P 500’s (it moves on its own news).
- Beta vs S&P 500
- 0.79
- Volatility
- 33% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- 0.31
- Correlation QQQ
- 0.21
How it ranks
Where BRSL stands vs every one of the 2,467 stocks we cover that has the number. Longer bar = better.
Top quarter on 1 of 3 measures
- Free cash flow yield−22% · free cash flow vs market capLowest 1%of 1,690
- Dividends + buybacks yield14% · cash paid out or used to retire shares, vs market capTop 3%of 2,227
- Revenue growth, last 12 months−0% · vs the 12 months beforeLowest 14%of 2,184
From SEC filings and our fair value estimate model. A ranking, not advice.
Valuation details
Fundamentals
The business itself: sales, profits, cash and debt, from SEC filings.
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 3 of 5
ValuationP/E of 12.9× vs a 20.1× median for the 411 Consumer Discretionary companies we cover.
Balance sheetPaid down debt: $4.2B at FY2025, 26% less than at FY2023.
ValuationPrice / book of 2.2×, below the 3.0× median for the 413 Consumer Discretionary companies we cover.
Top bearish points 5 of 5
ValuationFree cash flow is negative (−$415M over the last 12 months), so there’s no cash-flow value under the price.
GrowthDiluted EPS fell 57% to $0.74 in FY2025.
Balance sheetNet debt of $2.7B, 144% of the market cap (Dec 31, 2025).
Balance sheetDebt is 4.8× shareholders’ equity.
QualityDoesn’t pass our quality screen: no positive free cash flow; sales down vs the year-ago quarter; net debt 4.7× EBITDA (limit 3×).
All fundamentals
P/E 12.9 · FCF yield -21.8% · ROE 12%
Valuation
- P/E
- 12.9×Consumer Discretionary median 20.1×
- Price / FCF
- n/anegative free cash flow
- FCF yield
- −21.8%
- EV / EBITDA
- n/aD&A or debt not tagged in SEC data
- Price / sales
- 0.76×
- Price / book
- 2.17×
- Market cap
- $1.9Blisted
- Enterprise value
- $4.6B
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- $2.5B
- Sales growth, 12 months
- −0.0%vs the 12 months before
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- −1.1%/yrfrom FY2022
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- $0.74
- EPS growth, last FY
- −56.7%
- Net income, 12 months
- $147M
- Net income growth
- −58%12 months vs before
Profitability
- Gross margin
- n/agross profit isn't reported (common for service and financial companies)
- Operating margin
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Net margin
- 5.9%
- FCF margin
- −16.5%
- Return on equity
- 12%
- Return on invested capital
- n/aoperating income, debt, equity or cash not tagged
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- $1.4B
- Total debt
- $4.2B
- Net cash
- −$2.7B
- Debt / equity
- 4.77×
- Interest coverage
- n/ainterest expense not tagged in SEC data
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- −$415M
- FCF growth, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Dividend yield
- n/adividends paid in the last 12 months were over 3x profit, likely a one-off (e.g. a payment to a former parent at a spin-off)
- Payout ratio
- n/an/m
- Buybacks, 12 months
- $271M14.3% of market cap
- Share count, 1 year
- n/ano quarterly diluted share count
- Stock-based comp
- $15M
Trailing 12 months to Dec 31, 2025; balance sheet at Dec 31, 2025. From Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading under the Legal Name to begin at the market open on July 21 2025.’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
The business
Sales −7%
- Gross margin48%
- Operating margin21%
- Return on invested capital9%
- Return on equity15%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)−7%
- Net debt / EBITDA4.7×
Chart & levels
Where the price is vs its key levels and trends.
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $10.03
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$9.23−8.0%
- PriceMon Nov 2 close$10.03you are here
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$16.91+68.6%
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 56 · 5 days +5.6%
Signals
Reversal signal setups, the public ledger and the next earnings date.
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.
Next report
Nov 10
- DateTue Nov 10, before the open
- Consensus EPS$0.02
- Year-ago EPS$0.36
- QuarterSep/2026
From Nasdaq’s earnings calendar. A report resets Market Value.
BRSL is outside our quality screen
One text when a published rule fires on one of the 332 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.
Voices & buzz
Who is talking about it, and how it compares with peers.
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading under the Legal Name to begin at the market open on July 21 2025. in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 3, 5:14 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.