QualityDipStocks / Consumer Discretionary · Restaurants
Chagee CHA
Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 22% below its 52-week high.
Outside our quality screen. No fair value estimate for now: its share count is unclear.
Worth knowing
- Dividend yield 8.9%, top 2% of the 1731 we measure
From the data on this page, as of the last close. How we pick these
- Fair value est.
- n/a
- Market Value
- —
- Off 52-wk high
- −22%
- Risk vs market
- Lowbeta 0.21
5 bullish · 4 bearish See why
Valuation
What we estimate it's worth, and how it ranks on value vs every stock we cover.
Fair value estimate
No estimate for CHA: SEC share count doesn't match the listed ADRs (ADR ratio unclear). We’d rather show nothing than a made-up number.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 31 to Nov 2, 252 sessions). Beta = how much CHA moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Has moved mostly independently of the market, but its own price swings are 4.2× the S&P 500’s (it moves on its own news).
- Beta vs S&P 500
- 0.21
- Volatility
- 54% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- 0.05
- Correlation QQQ
- 0.03
How it ranks
Where CHA stands vs every one of the 1,996 stocks we cover that has the number. Longer bar = better.
Top quarter on 2 of 4 measures
- Free cash flow yield8.8% · free cash flow vs market capTop 14%of 1,391
- Dividends + buybacks yield8.9% · cash paid out or used to retire shares, vs market capTop 9%of 1,836
- Revenue growth, last 12 months+4% · vs the 12 months beforeLowest 25%of 1,814
- Operating margin10% · of sales kept as operating profitLowest 44%of 1,288
From SEC filings and our fair value estimate model. A ranking, not advice.
Valuation details
FCF value $92.31
Fundamentals
The business itself: sales, profits, cash and debt, from SEC filings.
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 5 of 5
GrowthSales compounded 67% a year from FY2023 to FY2025.
ValuationFree-cash-flow yield of 8.8% (price / FCF 11.3×): $184M of free cash in the last 12 months.
ValuationP/E of 13.7× vs a 20.7× median for the 341 Consumer Discretionary companies we cover.
Cash returnsDividend yield of 8.9% ($185M paid over 12 months).
ProfitabilityReturn on equity of 20% over the last 12 months.
Top bearish points 4 of 5
ProfitabilityOperating margin narrowed to 10.4% in FY2025 from 23.1% in FY2023 (SEC filings).
GrowthSales growth slowed to 4% over the last 12 months, from 67% a year over the prior three fiscal years.
Cash returnsFree cash flow fell 53% over the last 12 months vs the 12 months before.
Cash returnsPays out more in dividends than it earns: $185M paid vs $153M of net income.
All fundamentals
P/E 13.7 · FCF yield 8.8% · ROE 20%
Valuation
- P/E
- 13.7×Consumer Discretionary median 20.7×
- Price / FCF
- 11.3×
- FCF yield
- 8.8%
- EV / EBITDA
- n/aD&A or debt not tagged in SEC data
- Price / sales
- 1.08×
- Price / book
- 1.89×
- Market cap
- $2.1Bprice × diluted shares
- Enterprise value
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- $1.9B
- Sales growth, 12 months
- +4.0%vs the 12 months before
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- +66.8%/yrfrom FY2023
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- $6.18
- EPS growth, last FY
- −56.7%
- Net income, 12 months
- $153M
- Net income growth
- −29%12 months vs before
Profitability
- Gross margin
- n/agross profit isn't reported (common for service and financial companies)
- Operating margin
- 10.4%
- Net margin
- 7.9%
- FCF margin
- 9.5%
- Return on equity
- 20%
- Return on invested capital
- n/aoperating income, debt, equity or cash not tagged
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- $1.2B
- Total debt
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Net cash
- n/acash or debt not tagged in SEC data
- Debt / equity
- n/adebt or equity not tagged in SEC data
- Interest coverage
- n/ainterest expense not tagged in SEC data
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- $184M
- FCF growth, 12 months
- −53%
- Dividend yield
- 8.87%$185M paid
- Payout ratio
- 121%
- Buybacks, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Share count, 1 year
- n/ano quarterly diluted share count
- Stock-based comp
- $108M
Trailing 12 months to Dec 31, 2025; balance sheet at Dec 31, 2025. From Chagee’s SEC filings, reported in CNY and converted to US dollars. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
The business
FCF $0.7B · Sales +2%
- Free cash flow, 12 months$0.7B
- Free-cash-flow yield8.8%
- Free-cash-flow margin5%
- Gross margin41%
- Operating margin15%
- Return on equity16%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+2%
- Net debt / EBITDA−3.9×
Chart & levels
Where the price is vs its key levels and trends.
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $12.66
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$9.16−27.6%
- PriceMon Nov 2 close$12.66you are here
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$16.24+28.3%
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 59 · 5 days +2.0%
Signals
Reversal signal setups, the public ledger and the next earnings date.
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.
CHA is outside our quality screen
One text when a published rule fires on one of the 332 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.
Voices & buzz
Who is talking about it, and how it compares with peers.
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on Chagee in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 3, 1:01 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in Restaurants
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.