QualityDipStocks / Industrials · Industrial machinery
EnerSys ENS
Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 34% below its 52-week high.
Outside our quality screen, trading well below our fair value estimate.
- Fair value est.
- $302.09+89%
- Market Value
- forming
- Off 52-wk high
- −34%
- Risk vs market
- Highbeta 1.79
5 bullish · 5 bearish See why
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $159.95
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$123.11−23.0%
- PriceFri Oct 30 close$159.95you are here
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$243.34+52.1%
- Fair value est.base case$302.09+88.9%
Fair value estimate
How the range is computed
Ten-year free-cash-flow DCF. Same 10-year free-cash-flow model as the base: discount rate 9.5% ±1 point and growth 3.0% ±2 points. Bear = 10.5% and 1.0%; bull = 8.5% and 5.0% (both fade to 3%). A model estimate from public filings, not a forecast of where the price will go.
Price is below even the bear case.
What the price implies To be worth today’s price, ENS’s free cash flow would need to shrink about 8% a year for five years; our estimate uses 3%.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 30 to Oct 30, 252 sessions). Beta = how much ENS moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Swings much more than the market, and its own price swings are 3.3× the S&P 500’s.
- Beta vs S&P 500
- 1.79
- Volatility
- 42% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- 0.54
- Correlation QQQ
- 0.59
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 5 of 5
ValuationOur DCF fair value estimate is $302.09, 89% above the price.
ValuationFree-cash-flow yield of 11.9% (price / FCF 8.4×): $717M of free cash in the last 12 months.
Cash returnsFree cash flow grew 440% over the last 12 months vs the 12 months before.
ValuationP/E of 17.1× vs a 27.5× median for the 130 Industrials companies we cover.
Cash returnsShare count down 4.2% in a year: $271M of buybacks over 12 months.
Top bearish points 5 of 5
Balance sheetDebt rose 33% to $1.1B from FY2024 to FY2026.
GrowthDiluted EPS fell 14% to $7.70 in FY2026.
GrowthSales grew only 0.4% a year from FY2023 to FY2026.
RiskReports earnings Nov 11 (consensus EPS $3.19): results can move the price sharply and reset Market Value.
RiskSwings hard: beta 1.79 vs the S&P 500 and 42% yearly volatility (SPY 13%).
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on EnerSys in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 1, 9:09 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in Industrial machinery
All fundamentals
P/E 17.1 · FCF yield 11.9% · ROE 18%
Valuation
- P/E
- 17.1×Industrials median 27.5×
- Price / FCF
- 8.4×
- FCF yield
- 11.9%
- EV / EBITDA
- 10.7×
- Price / sales
- 1.59×
- Price / book
- 3.06×
- Market cap
- $6.0Bprice × diluted shares
- Enterprise value
- $6.5B
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- $3.8B
- Sales growth, 12 months
- +3.7%vs the 12 months before
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- +0.4%/yrfrom FY2023
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- $9.33
- EPS growth, last FY
- −14.3%
- Net income, 12 months
- $353M
- Net income growth
- +0%12 months vs before
Profitability
- Gross margin
- 30.5%
- Operating margin
- 13.0%
- Net margin
- 9.3%
- FCF margin
- 18.9%
- Return on equity
- 18%
- Return on invested capital
- 17%
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- $531M
- Total debt
- $1.0B
- Net cash
- −$508M
- Debt / equity
- 0.53×
- Interest coverage
- 9.9×operating income / interest
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- $717M
- FCF growth, 12 months
- +440%
- Dividend yield
- 0.64%$39M paid
- Payout ratio
- 11%
- Buybacks, 12 months
- $271M4.5% of market cap
- Share count, 1 year
- −4.2%diluted shares vs a year ago
- Stock-based comp
- $28M
Trailing 12 months to Jul 5, 2026; balance sheet at Jul 5, 2026. From EnerSys’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
Valuation details
DCF $302.09 · FCF value $393.43
Assumes 3.0% growth for 5 years (revenue grew 0.4% a year FY23–FY26; floored at 3%), fading to 3%; 9.5% discount rate, 3% terminal growth. FCF base $19.06 a share (trailing 12 months to Jul 5, 2026), from the 10-Q filed Aug 12, 2026. Net debt $508M, not deducted.
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 34 · 5 days −3.7%
The business
FCF $0.6B · Sales +5%
- Free cash flow, 12 months$0.6B
- Free-cash-flow yield9.8%
- Free-cash-flow margin16%
- Gross margin30%
- Operating margin14%
- Return on invested capital17%
- Return on equity18%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+5%
- Net debt / EBITDA0.9×
Next report
Nov 11
- DateWed Nov 11, after the close
- Consensus EPS$3.19
- Year-ago EPS$2.56
- QuarterSep/2026
From Nasdaq’s earnings calendar. A report resets Market Value.
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.
ENS is outside our quality screen
One text when a published rule fires on one of the 333 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.