QualityDipStocks / Technology · Consumer Electronics/Appliances
GE Vernova GEV
In a deep dip: 27% below its 52-week high.
A quality company trading well below our fair value estimate.
- Fair value est.
- $1,392+62%
- Market Value
- forming
- Off 52-wk high
- −27%
- Risk vs market
- Highbeta 2.09
5 bullish · 4 bearish See why
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $857.87
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$547.96−36.1%
- PriceFri Oct 30 close$857.87you are here
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$1,175+37.0%
- Fair value est.base case$1,392+62.3%
Fair value estimate
How the range is computed
Ten-year free-cash-flow DCF. Same 10-year free-cash-flow model as the base: discount rate 9.5% ±1 point and growth 8.7% ±2 points. Bear = 10.5% and 6.7%; bull = 8.5% and 10.7% (both fade to 3%). A model estimate from public filings, not a forecast of where the price will go.
Price is below even the bear case.
What the price implies To be worth today’s price, GEV’s free cash flow would need to stay flat for five years; our estimate uses 9%.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 30 to Oct 30, 252 sessions). Beta = how much GEV moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Swings much more than the market, and its own price swings are 4.2× the S&P 500’s.
- Beta vs S&P 500
- 2.09
- Volatility
- 54% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- 0.50
- Correlation QQQ
- 0.55
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 5 of 5
ValuationOur DCF fair value estimate is $1,392, 62% above the price.
GrowthDiluted EPS grew 217% to $17.69 in FY2025.
ValuationFree-cash-flow yield of 7.4% (price / FCF 13.4×): $17.1B of free cash in the last 12 months.
ValuationP/E of 22.2× vs a 33.9× median for the 138 Technology companies we cover.
TechnicalA company that passes our quality screen, now 27% off its 52-week high (deep dip).
Top bearish points 4 of 5
ValuationEV/EBITDA of 51×: a rich multiple of current earnings power.
ValuationPrice / book of 20.2×, above the 7.1× median for the 149 Technology companies we cover.
Cash returnsDividend yield of 0.2%, below the 0.9% median for the 69 Technology companies we cover.
RiskSwings hard: beta 2.09 vs the S&P 500 and 54% yearly volatility (SPY 13%).
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on GE Vernova in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 1, 9:09 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in Consumer Electronics/Appliances
All fundamentals
P/E 22.2 · FCF yield 7.4% · ROE 104%
Valuation
- P/E
- 22.2×Technology median 33.9×
- Price / FCF
- 13.4×
- FCF yield
- 7.4%
- EV / EBITDA
- 50.7×
- Price / sales
- 5.22×
- Price / book
- 20.20×
- Market cap
- $230Bprice × diluted shares
- Enterprise value
- $216B
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- $44.0B
- Sales growth, 12 months
- +16.9%vs the 12 months before
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- +8.7%/yrfrom FY2022
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- $38.09
- EPS growth, last FY
- +217.0%
- Net income, 12 months
- $10.4B
- Net income growth
- n/an/m: earnings a year ago near zero
Profitability
- Gross margin
- 21.7%
- Operating margin
- 6.4%
- Net margin
- 23.5%
- FCF margin
- 38.9%
- Return on equity
- 104%
- Return on invested capital
- n/aoperating income, debt, equity or cash not tagged
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- $16.8B
- Total debt
- $2.8B
- Net cash
- $13.9B
- Debt / equity
- 0.25×
- Interest coverage
- n/ainterest expense not tagged in SEC data
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- $17.1B
- FCF growth, 12 months
- n/an/m: free cash flow a year ago near zero
- Dividend yield
- 0.21%$474M paid
- Payout ratio
- 5%
- Buybacks, 12 months
- $6.4B2.8% of market cap
- Share count, 1 year
- −2.5%diluted shares vs a year ago
- Stock-based comp
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Trailing 12 months to Sep 30, 2026; balance sheet at Sep 30, 2026. From GE Vernova’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
Valuation details
DCF $1,392 · FCF value $1,562
Assumes 8.7% growth for 5 years (revenue grew 8.7% a year FY22–FY25), fading to 3%; 9.5% discount rate, 3% terminal growth. FCF base $63.86 a share (trailing 12 months to Sep 30, 2026), from the 10-Q filed Oct 28, 2026.
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. We watch it daily for our three reversal signal rules while it sits in a dip.
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 41 · 5 days +5.3%
The business
FCF $17.1B · Sales +27%
- Free cash flow, 12 months$17.1B
- Free-cash-flow yield7.3%
- Free-cash-flow margin39%
- Gross margin22%
- Operating margin6%
- Return on invested capital16%
- Return on equity91%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+27%
- Net debt / EBITDA−3.3×
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.
Get a text when GEV fires a reversal signal
One text when a published rule fires on GEV or any of the 333 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.