QualityDipStocks / Industrials · Steel
Arcelor Mittal NY Registry Shares NEW MT
Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 24% below its 52-week high.
Outside our quality screen. No fair value estimate for now: a capital-spending surge is squeezing its free cash flow.
- Fair value est.
- n/a
- Market Value
- —
- Off 52-wk high
- −24%
- Risk vs market
- Highbeta 2.08
5 bullish · 5 bearish See why
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $59.81
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$36.91−38.3%
- PriceFri Oct 30 close$59.81you are here
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$78.74+31.7%
Fair value estimate
Estimate unreliable for MT: free cash flow is squeezed by a capital-spending surge (capex is 90% of operating cash flow over the last 12 months, vs 34% in FY2022), so a DCF on today's free cash flow would understate the business. We’d rather show nothing than a made-up number.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 30 to Oct 30, 252 sessions). Beta = how much MT moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Swings much more than the market, and its own price swings are 3.4× the S&P 500’s.
- Beta vs S&P 500
- 2.08
- Volatility
- 44% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- 0.61
- Correlation QQQ
- 0.52
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 5 of 5
GrowthDiluted EPS grew 143% to $4.11 in FY2025.
ValuationP/E of 14.9× vs a 27.5× median for the 130 Industrials companies we cover.
Balance sheetNet cash of $2.7B: cash and short-term investments exceed debt (Dec 31, 2025).
ValuationEV/EBITDA of 6.7×: modest for what the business earns before interest, tax and depreciation.
ProfitabilityOperating margin widened to 5.9% in FY2025 from 3.4% in FY2023 (SEC filings).
Top bearish points 5 of 5
GrowthSales shrank 8% a year from FY2022 to FY2025.
ValuationFree-cash-flow yield is just 1.0% (price / FCF 100×), so the price leans on future growth.
ProfitabilityReturn on equity is only 6% over the last 12 months.
QualityDoesn’t pass our quality screen: no positive free cash flow; ROE under 12% and ROIC under 10%.
RiskCyclical business: one strong year of cash flow can make it look cheaper than it is.
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on Arcelor Mittal NY Registry Shares NEW in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 1, 9:09 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in Steel
All fundamentals
P/E 14.9 · FCF yield 1.0% · ROE 6%
Valuation
- P/E
- 14.9×Industrials median 27.5×
- Price / FCF
- 99.8×
- FCF yield
- 1.0%
- EV / EBITDA
- 6.7×
- Price / sales
- 0.77×
- Price / book
- 0.86×
- Market cap
- $47.0Blisted
- Enterprise value
- $44.3B
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- $61.4B
- Sales growth, 12 months
- −1.7%vs the 12 months before
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- −8.4%/yrfrom FY2022
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- $4.11
- EPS growth, last FY
- +143.2%
- Net income, 12 months
- $3.2B
- Net income growth
- +135%12 months vs before
Profitability
- Gross margin
- 7.1%
- Operating margin
- 5.9%
- Net margin
- 5.1%
- FCF margin
- 0.8%
- Return on equity
- 6%
- Return on invested capital
- 6%
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- $5.4B
- Total debt
- $2.7B
- Net cash
- $2.7B
- Debt / equity
- 0.05×
- Interest coverage
- 6.3×operating income / interest
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- $471M
- FCF growth, 12 months
- +5%
- Dividend yield
- 1.15%$542M paid
- Payout ratio
- 17%
- Buybacks, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Share count, 1 year
- n/ano quarterly diluted share count
- Stock-based comp
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Trailing 12 months to Dec 31, 2025; balance sheet at Dec 31, 2025. From Arcelor Mittal NY Registry Shares NEW’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
Valuation details
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 37 · 5 days +0.6%
The business
FCF $-0.2B · Sales +5%
- Free cash flow, 12 months−$0.2B
- Free-cash-flow yield−0.3%
- Free-cash-flow margin0%
- Gross margin9%
- Operating margin4%
- Return on invested capital3%
- Return on equity3%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+5%
- Net debt / EBITDA1.5×
Next report
Nov 5
- DateThu Nov 5, before the open
- Consensus EPS$0.80
- Year-ago EPS$0.62
- QuarterSep/2026
From Nasdaq’s earnings calendar. A report resets Market Value.
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.
MT is outside our quality screen
One text when a published rule fires on one of the 333 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.