QualityDipStocks / Technology · Electronic Components
Sandisk SNDK
In a deep dip: 51% below its 52-week high.
A quality company. No fair value estimate for now: the model’s result is too extreme to stand behind.
- Fair value est.
- n/a
- Market Value
- forming
- Off 52-wk high
- −51%
- Risk vs market
- Highbeta 4.10
5 bullish · 3 bearish See why
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $1,151
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$194.38−83.1%
- PriceFri Oct 30 close$1,151you are here
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$2,335+102.9%
Fair value estimate
Estimate unreliable for SNDK: the model gives 202% above the price, more than we can stand behind (usually peak-cycle cash flow, heavy debt, or cash flows that include customer or loan balances). We’d rather show nothing than a made-up number.
What the price implies To be worth today’s price, SNDK’s free cash flow would need to shrink about 5% a year for five years; our estimate uses 15%.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 30 to Oct 30, 252 sessions). Beta = how much SNDK moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Swings much more than the market, and its own price swings are 8.8× the S&P 500’s.
- Beta vs S&P 500
- 4.10
- Volatility
- 113% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- 0.47
- Correlation QQQ
- 0.61
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 5 of 5
ProfitabilityGross margin widened to 71.5% in FY2026 from 16.1% in FY2024 (SEC filings).
ProfitabilityOperating margin widened to 61.2% in FY2026 from −7.0% in FY2024 (SEC filings).
ValuationFree-cash-flow yield of 9.8% (price / FCF 10.2×): $17.4B of free cash in the last 12 months.
ValuationP/E of 9.1× vs a 33.9× median for the 138 Technology companies we cover.
TechnicalA company that passes our quality screen, now 51% off its 52-week high (deep dip).
Top bearish points 3 of 5
Cash returnsShare count up 3.4% in a year: existing holders are being diluted.
ValuationPrice / book of 9.8×, above the 7.1× median for the 149 Technology companies we cover.
RiskSwings hard: beta 4.10 vs the S&P 500 and 113% yearly volatility (SPY 13%).
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on Sandisk in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
David GoeckelerChairman & CEO, SandiskCompany
SanDisk CEO David Goeckeler Sees ‘Tremendous Pull’ as Customers Lock in Supply and Come Back for More — Pipeline Runs Through 2030Yahoo Finance ·
Checked Nov 1, 9:09 PM ET. Matched by name against a maintained list plus the company’s own executives. Information only, not advice.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in Electronic Components
All fundamentals
P/E 9.1 · FCF yield 9.8% · ROE 141%
Valuation
- P/E
- 9.1×Technology median 33.9×
- Price / FCF
- 10.2×
- FCF yield
- 9.8%
- EV / EBITDA
- n/aD&A or debt not tagged in SEC data
- Price / sales
- n/aneeds total revenue: the SEC revenue tag covers only part of this company's revenue (it is under 1.5x net income)
- Price / book
- 9.77×
- Market cap
- $177Bprice × diluted shares
- Enterprise value
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- n/athe SEC revenue tag covers only part of this company's revenue (it is under 1.5x net income)
- Sales growth, 12 months
- n/aneeds total revenue: the SEC revenue tag covers only part of this company's revenue (it is under 1.5x net income)
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- n/aneeds total revenue: the SEC revenue tag covers only part of this company's revenue (it is under 1.5x net income)
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- $125.61
- EPS growth, last FY
- n/afewer than two years of diluted EPS
- Net income, 12 months
- $19.4B
- Net income growth
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Profitability
- Gross margin
- 80.0%
- Operating margin
- 72.5%
- Net margin
- n/aneeds total revenue: the SEC revenue tag covers only part of this company's revenue (it is under 1.5x net income)
- FCF margin
- 59.9%
- Return on equity
- 141%
- Return on invested capital
- n/aoperating income, debt, equity or cash not tagged
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- $5.1B
- Total debt
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Net cash
- n/acash or debt not tagged in SEC data
- Debt / equity
- n/adebt or equity not tagged in SEC data
- Interest coverage
- 599.8×operating income / interest
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- $17.4B
- FCF growth, 12 months
- n/an/m: free cash flow a year ago near zero
- Dividend yield
- 0%
- Payout ratio
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Buybacks, 12 months
- $9.5B5.4% of market cap
- Share count, 1 year
- +3.4%diluted shares vs a year ago
- Stock-based comp
- $270M
Trailing 12 months to Oct 2, 2026; balance sheet at Oct 2, 2026. From Sandisk’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
Valuation details
FCF value $2,584
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. We watch it daily for our three reversal signal rules while it sits in a dip.
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 33 · 5 days −7.0%
The business
FCF $17.4B · Sales +372%
- Free cash flow, 12 months$17.4B
- Free-cash-flow yield9.0%
- Free-cash-flow margin60%
- Gross margin80%
- Operating margin73%
- Return on invested capital106%
- Return on equity166%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+372%
- Net debt / EBITDA−0.2×
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.
Get a text when SNDK fires a reversal signal
One text when a published rule fires on SNDK or any of the 333 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.