QualityDipStocks / Basic Materials · Paper
Suzano SUZ
Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 19% below its 52-week high.
Outside our quality screen. No fair value estimate for now: the model’s result is too extreme to stand behind.
Worth knowing
- FCF yield 22%, top 1% of the 1145 we measure
- Net cash = 19% of its market cap
From the data on this page, as of the last close. How we pick these
- Fair value est.
- n/a
- Market Value
- —
- Off 52-wk high
- −19%
- Risk vs market
- Lowbeta 0.63
5 bullish · 5 bearish See why
Valuation
What we estimate it's worth, and how it ranks on value vs every stock we cover.
Fair value estimate
Estimate unreliable for SUZ: the model gives 242% above the price, more than we can stand behind (usually peak-cycle cash flow, heavy debt, or cash flows that include customer or loan balances). We’d rather show nothing than a made-up number.
What the price implies To be worth today’s price, SUZ’s free cash flow would need to shrink about 18% a year for five years; our estimate uses 3%.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 31 to Nov 2, 252 sessions). Beta = how much SUZ moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Moves much less than the market, but its own price swings are 2.4× the S&P 500’s (it moves on its own news).
- Beta vs S&P 500
- 0.63
- Volatility
- 30% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- 0.26
- Correlation QQQ
- 0.20
How it ranks
Where SUZ stands vs every one of the 1,996 stocks we cover that has the number. Longer bar = better.
Top quarter on 2 of 5 measures
- Free cash flow yield22% · free cash flow vs market capTop 1%of 1,391
- Dividends + buybacks yield0.3% · cash paid out or used to retire shares, vs market capLowest 23%of 1,836
- Revenue growth, last 12 months+5.7% · vs the 12 months beforeLowest 32%of 1,814
- Operating margin21% · of sales kept as operating profitTop 25%of 1,288
- Return on invested capital34% · profit per dollar of capitalTop 9%of 838
From SEC filings and our fair value estimate model. A ranking, not advice.
Valuation details
FCF value $3.56
Fundamentals
The business itself: sales, profits, cash and debt, from SEC filings.
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 5 of 5
ValuationFree-cash-flow yield of 21.6% (price / FCF 4.6×): $2.5B of free cash in the last 12 months.
ValuationP/E of 4.7× vs a 17.3× median for the 38 Basic Materials companies we cover.
Balance sheetNet cash of $2.2B: cash and short-term investments exceed debt (Dec 31, 2025).
ValuationEV/EBITDA of 2.3×: modest for what the business earns before interest, tax and depreciation.
ProfitabilityReturn on equity of 35% over the last 12 months.
Top bearish points 5 of 5
ProfitabilityOperating margin narrowed to 21.2% in FY2025 from 30.7% in FY2023 (SEC filings).
Balance sheetOperating income covers interest only 1.5× over the last 12 months.
ProfitabilityGross margin narrowed to 32.4% in FY2025 from 36.9% in FY2023 (SEC filings).
GrowthSales grew only 0.2% a year from FY2022 to FY2025.
QualityDoesn’t pass our quality screen: sales down vs the year-ago quarter; net debt 3.7× EBITDA (limit 3×).
All fundamentals
P/E 4.7 · FCF yield 21.6% · ROE 35%
Valuation
- P/E
- 4.7×Basic Materials median 17.3×
- Price / FCF
- 4.6×
- FCF yield
- 21.6%
- EV / EBITDA
- 2.3×
- Price / sales
- 1.26×
- Price / book
- 1.44×
- Market cap
- $11.5Bprice × diluted shares
- Enterprise value
- $9.2B
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- $9.1B
- Sales growth, 12 months
- +5.7%vs the 12 months before
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- +0.2%/yrfrom FY2022
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- $10.82
- EPS growth, last FY
- n/afewer than two years of diluted EPS
- Net income, 12 months
- $2.4B
- Net income growth
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Profitability
- Gross margin
- 32.4%
- Operating margin
- 21.2%
- Net margin
- 26.8%
- FCF margin
- 27.1%
- Return on equity
- 35%
- Return on invested capital
- 34%
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- $2.8B
- Total debt
- $548M
- Net cash
- $2.2B
- Debt / equity
- 0.07×
- Interest coverage
- 1.5×operating income / interest
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- $2.5B
- FCF growth, 12 months
- +19%
- Dividend yield
- 0.01%$1M paid
- Payout ratio
- 0%
- Buybacks, 12 months
- $35M0.3% of market cap
- Share count, 1 year
- n/ano quarterly diluted share count
- Stock-based comp
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Trailing 12 months to Dec 31, 2025; balance sheet at Dec 31, 2025. From Suzano’s SEC filings, reported in BRL and converted to US dollars. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
The business
FCF $0.2B · Sales −13%
- Free cash flow, 12 months$0.2B
- Free-cash-flow yield21.6%
- Free-cash-flow margin0%
- Gross margin29%
- Operating margin27%
- Return on invested capital12%
- Return on equity18%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)−13%
- Net debt / EBITDA3.7×
Chart & levels
Where the price is vs its key levels and trends.
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $9.25
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$7.67−17.1%
- PriceMon Nov 2 close$9.25you are here
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$11.46+23.9%
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 68 · 5 days +4.9%
Signals
Reversal signal setups, the public ledger and the next earnings date.
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.
Next report
Nov 5
- DateThu Nov 5, after the close
- Consensus EPS$0.15
- Year-ago EPS$0.29
- QuarterSep/2026
From Nasdaq’s earnings calendar. A report resets Market Value.
SUZ is outside our quality screen
One text when a published rule fires on one of the 332 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.
Voices & buzz
Who is talking about it, and how it compares with peers.
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on Suzano in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 3, 1:01 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in Basic Materials
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.