QualityDip
Get alerts

Stocks / Consumer Discretionary · Entertainment & recreation

TKO

TKO Group TKO

Consumer Discretionary · Entertainment & recreation
$180.68+1.07% dayFri Oct 30 close

Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 20% below its 52-week high.

Outside our quality screen. No fair value estimate for now: there isn’t enough data.

Outside our quality screenReports Nov 4
Get alerts
Fair value est.
n/a
Market Value
$185.48price −3%
Off 52-wk high
−20%
Risk vs market
Lowbeta 0.43

2 bullish · 5 bearish See why

$180$200$220Jan ’26AprJulOctMV $185.48
Market ValueDrag across the chart to see any day
Covered for reference — doesn’t pass our quality screen (ROE under 12% and ROIC under 10%). We show its price, Market Value and DCF, but it never appears in Dips, Top Picks or reversal signals. The screen

Key levels

Every level vs today’s $180.68

  1. 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$171.23−5.2%
  2. PriceFri Oct 30 close$180.68you are here
  3. Market Valueavg paid since Aug 3$185.48+2.7%
  4. 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$224.96+24.5%

Fair value estimate

No estimate for TKO: Capital spending isn't tagged in SEC XBRL data. We’d rather show nothing than a made-up number.

Risk vs market

How risk vs market is measured

One year of daily returns (Oct 30 to Oct 30, 252 sessions). Beta = how much TKO moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.

Low

Moves much less than the market, but its own price swings are 2.5× the S&P 500’s (it moves on its own news).

Beta vs S&P 500
0.43
Volatility
32% vs 13% SPY
Correlation SPY
0.17
Correlation QQQ
0.07

Bull vs bear

Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.

Top bullish points 2 of 5

  1. GrowthSales compounded 61% a year from FY2022 to FY2025.

  2. ProfitabilityOperating margin widened to 17.6% in FY2025 from 11.7% in FY2023 (SEC filings).

Top bearish points 5 of 5

  1. GrowthSales growth slowed to 5% over the last 12 months, from 61% a year over the prior three fiscal years.

  2. ValuationP/E of 147.2× vs a 20.9× median for the 169 Consumer Discretionary companies we cover.

  3. Balance sheetDebt rose 37% to $3.8B from FY2023 to FY2025.

  4. Cash returnsPays out more in dividends than it earns: $240M paid vs $230M of net income.

  5. QualityDoesn’t pass our quality screen: ROE under 12% and ROIC under 10%.

Who’s talking about it

Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on TKO Group in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.

No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 1, 9:09 PM ET.

Compare with peers

Closest in size in Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation

All fundamentals

P/E 147.2 · ROE 6% · Sales +5%

Valuation

P/E
147.2×Consumer Discretionary median 20.9×
Price / FCF
n/anot reported in its SEC filings
FCF yield
n/anot reported in its SEC filings
EV / EBITDA
24.8×
Price / sales
6.38×
Price / book
9.95×
Market cap
$33.8Blisted
Enterprise value
$37.8B

Growth

Revenue, 12 months
$5.3B
Sales growth, 12 months
+5.1%vs the 12 months before
Sales growth, 3 yrs
+60.7%/yrfrom FY2022
Diluted EPS, 12 months
$2.85
EPS growth, last FY
n/an/m: EPS a year ago near zero
Net income, 12 months
$230M
Net income growth
+9%12 months vs before

Profitability

Gross margin
n/agross profit isn't reported (common for service and financial companies)
Operating margin
18.8%
Net margin
4.3%
FCF margin
n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Return on equity
6%
Return on invested capital
12%

Balance sheet

Cash & short-term inv.
$592M
Total debt
$4.6B
Net cash
−$4.0B
Debt / equity
1.36×
Interest coverage
4.1×operating income / interest

Cash flow & returns

Free cash flow, 12 months
n/anot reported in its SEC filings
FCF growth, 12 months
n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Dividend yield
0.71%$240M paid
Payout ratio
105%
Buybacks, 12 months
n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Share count, 1 year
n/ano quarterly diluted share count
Stock-based comp
$134M

Trailing 12 months to Jun 30, 2026; balance sheet at Jun 30, 2026. From TKO Group’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.

Valuation details

MV $185.48 · FCF value $223.18

How

Market ValueAverage paid since the Aug 3 filing, 63 trading days
$185.48price −3%
Fair value estimaten/a — Capital spending isn't tagged in SEC XBRL data
n/a
FCF valuePrice at a 4% yield on trailing free cash flow ($1.7B)
$223.18price −19%

Setup & signals

No setup armed

All setups

No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.

Momentum & 52-week range

RSI 54 · 5 days +4.4%
$180.68nowMV
52-wk low $171.23high $224.96
Off 52-wk high−19.7%
5 days+4.4%
vs 50-day avg−1.1%
vs 200-day avg−6.5%
RSI (14)54
Market cap$34B

The business

FCF $1.7B · Sales +18%
  • Free cash flow, 12 months$1.7B
  • Free-cash-flow yield4.9%
  • Free-cash-flow margin32%
  • Gross margin60%
  • Operating margin19%
  • Return on invested capital10%
  • Return on equity6%
  • Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+18%
  • Net debt / EBITDA2.8×

Next report

Nov 4

Calendar

  • DateWed Nov 4, after the close
  • Consensus EPS$1.20
  • Year-ago EPS$0.50
  • QuarterSep/2026

From Nasdaq’s earnings calendar. A report resets Market Value.

Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.

TKO is outside our quality screen

One text when a published rule fires on one of the 333 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.

By joining you agree we can text or email you about QualityDip. Message and data rates may apply. Reply STOP anytime. Not advice.